Celtic — Besiktas Prediction: UEFA Europa League Preview
Celtic
BesiktasMore picks
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5) 1.27 pending
Celtic host Besiktas at Celtic Park in the fourth round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Besiktas has seven points from three matches and sits eighth, while Celtic has no points and is thirty-fifth with a 3:9 goal difference. Another defeat would leave the Scottish side with a very narrow route toward the knockout phase.
Celtic’s home profile and selection picture
Celtic’s last five matches produced two wins, one draw and two defeats. The sequence includes a 7:1 home win over Heart of Midlothian, a 1:2 home defeat by Celta and a 2:2 draw with Dundee United. Away from Glasgow, Celtic beat Hibernian 2:1 before losing 0:2 to Falkirk. The team scored in four of those five games but conceded in all five, so the recent attack has been more reliable than the defensive structure.
Where Celtic can hurt Besiktas
- The 7:1 result shows a high attacking ceiling at Celtic Park.
- Celtic scored in its home league-phase match, despite losing to Celta.
- Camilo Duran and Mika Baur have each scored once in two Europa League appearances, while Haissem Hassan has one assist.
- The main weakness is defensive: nine goals conceded in three European matches and eight in the last five games overall.
The expected attacking adjustment is the possible use of Kasper Høgh and Benjamin Nygren. Jota is absent from the European squad. Alistair Johnston is out with a hamstring injury, Yang Hyun-jun is still recovering, and Cameron Carter-Vickers is doubtful with a tendon problem. No confirmed Celtic starting eleven or fixed formation is provided.
Celtic’s table position is thirty-fifth, with zero points and a 3:9 record. The comparison relies on league-phase results and recent form.
- Falkirkaway0:2
- Dundee Unitedhome2:2
- Hibernianaway2:1
- Celtahome1:2
- Heart of Midlothianhome7:1
Besiktas bring the stronger European record
Besiktas are unbeaten in their three Europa League matches, collecting seven points with nine goals scored and five conceded. Across the last five matches in all competitions, the Turkish side recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. Its latest result was a 2:2 draw at Kasimpasa; before that came a 2:0 home win over Istanbul BFK. The away pattern is mixed: a 3:2 win at Hoffenheim, a 0:2 loss at Trabzonspor and the recent 2:2 draw.
Strengths, risks and available players
- Besiktas scored in four of its last five matches and has nine European goals.
- Hyeon-gyu Oh leads the tournament output with two goals and one assist in two matches.
- Junior Olaitan has one goal and one assist, while Wilfred Ndidi has scored once.
- The side conceded in four of its last five games and allowed Kasimpasa to recover from a two-goal deficit.
Orkun Kökçü has returned to the squad after missing the previous four matches, but Vincenzo Italiano said he is expected to begin on the bench. Václav Černý and Hyeon-gyu Oh are available after their respective recovery periods, while Ridvan Yilmaz is available. Fabio Miretti is out with a shoulder injury, Ümit Akdağ is suspended, and Azem Yortaç, Ahmet Sami Bircan, Mehmet Yeşilyurt, Mustafa Erhan Hekimoğlu, Ozan Sevim and Emir Yaşar are also unavailable. Italiano indicated that changes are possible and that Trossard can operate either in midfield or wide.
Besiktas is eighth in the league phase with seven points, nine goals scored and five conceded. The table gives the visitors a clear platform, while Celtic must chase a result from a much weaker starting position.
Personal meetings
The coach’s reference to a previous match, in which Besiktas came back from 0:2 to draw 2:2, provides limited context for comparison.
- Kasimpasaaway2:2
- Istanbul BFKhome2:0
- Crystal Palacehome2:2
- Trabzonsporaway0:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimaway3:2
Team news and pre-match viewpoints
Another setback would seriously damage Celtic’s chances of reaching the knockout stage. The possible reinforcement of the attack with Høgh and Nygren fits that context, but the defensive absences leave uncertainty around the back line, particularly if Carter-Vickers cannot play.
Besiktas arrives unbeaten in the competition. Italiano said Celtic will push for points and that the home atmosphere makes the match more difficult. He also stressed that his team has performed well in Europe, while acknowledging that the collapse against Kasimpasa exposed problems in controlling a lead.
Pre-match update
No further results, standings changes or team updates have been confirmed ahead of kick-off. The latest selection news has Orkun Kokcu back in Besiktas’s squad after missing four matches, although Vincenzo Italiano says he will start on the bench. Vaclav Cerny has already returned to action, while Oh Hyeon-gyu is available.
Celtic remain without Alistair Johnston through a hamstring injury, with Cameron Carter-Vickers doubtful because of a tendon problem. For Besiktas, Fabio Miretti is unavailable and Umit Akdag is suspended. Confirmed starting line-ups are not available.
Our scoring pick
Our bet is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.42. Besiktas’s nine goals in three European rounds make an away goal the stronger half of this selection, but five conceded over that stretch leave Celtic a route to scoring too. The hosts have conceded in all five of their latest matches and scored in four; the visitors have scored and conceded in four of five. Those sequences produced goals at both ends in seven of the ten matches combined.
The main risk is Celtic’s attack after drawing a blank at Falkirk, rather than an expectation of a clean sheet. Besiktas also conceded twice on each of their last three away trips, so their defensive record offers the hosts an opening. A 1:2 score is a plausible outcome.
Final verdict
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.42 is our selection: it relies on the visitors maintaining their European scoring output and Celtic exploiting a defence that has repeatedly conceded away from home.
FAQ
When does Celtic — Besiktas kick off?
The match starts on 05.11.2026 at 15:00 (New York), Celtic Park (Glasgow).
What is the prediction for Celtic — Besiktas?
Our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.42.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Celtic win — 32%, draw — 25%, Besiktas win — 43%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Falkirkaway0:2
- Dundee Unitedhome2:2
- Hibernianaway2:1
- Celtahome1:2
- Heart of Midlothianhome7:1
- Kasimpasaaway2:2
- Istanbul BFKhome2:0
- Crystal Palacehome2:2
- Trabzonsporaway0:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimaway3:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 34 | Olympique de Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat - Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
About the match
- 5 November · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Celtic Park (Glasgow)
Odds
Odds updated 05.11 12:10
How the market is framing the match
The market makes Besiktas the favourite at 43.4% for an away win, compared with 31.3% for Celtic and 25.3% for the draw. The margin in the 1X2 market is 3.1%, and the prices have shown no notable movement during the last twenty-four hours. That distribution gives the visitors an edge, but not the profile of a dominant favourite: Celtic’s home advantage and urgent table situation retain substantial weight.
The goal markets lean toward an open match. Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 58.1%, while the probability of both teams scoring is 61.2%. Those percentages match the statistical pattern: Celtic conceded in each of its last five games, Besiktas conceded in four of five, and both teams scored in four of their respective last five matches. With no line movement, the market currently treats the attacking potential as stable rather than reacting to fresh late information.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Current odds
- 1.42
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.42
- Potential win
- 42 $
- Status
- pending
