Sunderland — Dinamo Zagreb prediction: UEFA Europa League
Sunderland
Dinamo ZagrebMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.31 lost
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.33 lost
Match result
Sunderland 0:2 Dinamo Zagreb (0:2, 0:0)
In the UEFA Europa League match, Sunderland faced Dinamo Zagreb, suffering a 0:2 defeat. The visitors established their lead early with a 0:2 score in the first half, followed by a goalless second half (0:0). Our prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) lost as the home team failed to score.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.47 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.31 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (4.5) at 1.33 — the bet lost.
Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb at the Stadium of Light on 5 November in the fourth round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. The hosts are chasing a top-eight place; Dinamo Zagreb are 18th with four points.
Sunderland: European progress, domestic pressure
Recent results and the home advantage
Sunderland have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring five goals and conceding eight. Their latest result was a 3–1 defeat at Coventry City. At home, they drew 0–0 with Leeds and beat Brentford 3–2 in the League Cup; their three away fixtures brought one point and six goals conceded.
- The hosts are ninth in Europe with seven points from three matches, two behind leaders Benfica.
- They have scored four European goals and conceded two.
- BTTS (both teams to score) occurred in three of their last five games; Leeds was their only clean sheet.
Returning attackers and a midfield absence
Thomas Meunier and Wilson Isidor have returned from injury and appeared as substitutes in a recent Premier League match, adding options on the right and at centre-forward. Habib Diarra will miss this fixture through injury. Noah Sadiki, Jules Ahoka and Timur Tutierov each have one European goal in two appearances.
- Coventry Cityaway1:3
- Brentfordhome3:2
- Leeds Unitedhome0:0
- Lech Poznanaway1:1
- Bournemouthaway0:2
Dinamo Zagreb: scoring output without defensive security
Wins interrupted by costly defeats
Dinamo have won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring ten goals and conceding seven. They beat Anderlecht 1–0 in Europe and Slaven Belupo 5–1 away, lost 4–2 to N.E.C., beat Rijeka 2–1 and lost 1–0 at Rudes. Their two away games produced their highest goal tally in this sequence and a scoring blank.
- Dinamo stand 18th with four points from three European matches, with three goals scored and four conceded.
- They scored in four of their last five games and conceded in four; BTTS occurred three times.
- Three of those five matches exceeded 2.5 goals; the other two each produced one goal.
Beljo carries the European scoring threat
Dion Drena Beljo leads Dinamo’s European scoring with two goals in two appearances, while Matteo Perez Vinlof has one assist. The available data does not provide starting lineups, formations, additional injury or suspension details, or comparable team-strength assessments. Dinamo have won six of their last 13 matches across all competitions.
- Rudesaway0:1
- Rijekahome2:1
- N.E.C.home2:4
- Slaven Belupoaway5:1
- Anderlechthome1:0
Domestic struggles shape the backdrop
Sunderland are bottom of the Premier League but have reached the League Cup quarter-finals. Dinamo have four wins in their last eight Croatian league rounds and two defeats in the last four. The available data does not specify expert comments for this fixture.
Line-ups
Sunderland
Starting XI: 4. Kevin Danso, 6. Dayann Methalie, 10. Nilson David Angulo Ramirez, 11. Christopher Rigg, 12. Thomas Meunier, 15. Omar Alderete, 18. Wilson Isidor, 22. Robin Roefs, 29. Jules Ahoka, 34. Granit Xhaka, 39. Malick Martin Fofana
Substitutes: 7. Chemsdine Talbi, 9. Brian Brobbey, 13. Luke O'Nien, 17. Reinildo Mandava, 21. Simon Moore, 27. Noah Sadiki, 28. Enzo Le Fee, 32. Trai Hume, 40. Jack Whittaker, 48. Jenson Jones, 57. Timur Tutierov, 77. Tom Proctor
Coach: Regis Le Bris
Dinamo Zagreb
Starting XI: 3. Bruno Goda, 9. Dion Drena Beljo, 10. Luka Stojkovic, 15. Niko Galesic, 21. Mateo Lisica, 24. Dominik Kotarski, 25. Moris Valincic, 27. Josip Misic, 36. Sergi Dominguez, 80. Lukas Kacavenda, 99. Mislav Orsic
Substitutes: 1. Danijel Zagorac, 6. Stjepan Radeljic, 7. Daniel Rodriguez Crespo, 8. Miha Zajc, 11. Arber Hoxha, 14. Smail Prevljak, 17. Luka Ivanusec, 22. Matteo Perez Vinlof, 23. Iker Almena, 35. Noa Mikic, 41. Sven Sunta, 44. Ivan Filipovic
Coach: Jerko Leko
Our pick: Sunderland to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.47. Dinamo have conceded in four of their last five matches, with the 4–2 loss to N.E.C. exposing their vulnerability in this competition. Sunderland scored three in their latest home cup tie against Brentford: the hosts have a recent example of reaching the required attacking output at the Stadium of Light.
According to media reports, Thomas Meunier and Wilson Isidor have returned from injury and made substitute appearances, while Habib Diarra remains unavailable. The returning pair broaden Sunderland's options on the right and through the middle. The main caution is their 0–0 home draw with Leeds: two goals are a target, not a routine expectation. A projected 2–1 score fits the selection without requiring Sunderland to keep a clean sheet.
The final call
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.47 targets Sunderland's scoring rather than the match result. Dinamo's recent defensive record makes two home goals a credible expectation, with the returning attackers strengthening that case.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Coventry Cityaway1:3
- Brentfordhome3:2
- Leeds Unitedhome0:0
- Lech Poznanaway1:1
- Bournemouthaway0:2
- Rudesaway0:1
- Rijekahome2:1
- N.E.C.home2:4
- Slaven Belupoaway5:1
- Anderlechthome1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
About the match
- 5 November · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Stadium of Light (Sunderland), Sanderlend
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market confidence rests with the hosts
Sunderland are clear 1X2 favourites: the margin-free probabilities are 65.9% for a home win, 20.1% for a draw and 14% for an away win. The market favours the hosts more strongly than their recent all-competition results suggest; their European record and home results offer stronger support.
Over 2.5 goals has a 57.7% probability, compared with 52% for BTTS. The market is less decisive on both teams scoring than on Sunderland winning. No notable line movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Odds
- 1.47
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 64%
- Market estimate
- 64%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.47
- Potential win
- 47 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.47
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $