N.E.C. vs AC Omonia Prediction in the UEFA Europa League
N.E.C.
AC OmoniaN.E.C. host AC Omonia at Goffert in Nijmegen on 5 November in round four of the UEFA Europa League league phase. The hosts sit 20th with four points, while Omonia are 11th with six. A home win would reverse their order; an away win would extend the gap to five points.
N.E.C.: scoring options, defensive exposure
Recent results and home pattern
N.E.C. have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring nine goals and conceding eight. Their latest outing ended in a 1:0 defeat at Heerenveen. The three home games in that sequence all finished level: 1:1 against Levski Sofia, then 2:2 against Fortuna Sittard and Groningen. Away from home, a 4:2 victory at Dinamo Zagreb preceded the loss at Heerenveen: attacking output has varied sharply between those two trips.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Scored in four of the last five matches, but kept no clean sheets.
- BTTS landed in all three recent home fixtures, with five goals scored and five conceded.
- Three of the last five games finished Over 2.5; the other two produced two goals or fewer.
- The league-phase goal difference is minus three, with five scored and eight conceded in three matches.
Attacking personnel and selection
Tjaronn Chery and Bryan Linssen each have two tournament goals in two appearances. Clement Bischoff has contributed one goal and one assist over the same number of appearances, giving N.E.C. three documented sources of direct attacking returns.
- Heerenveenaway0:1
- Groningenhome2:2
- Dinamo Zagrebaway4:2
- Fortuna Sittardhome2:2
- Levski Sofiahome1:1
Omonia: a recovery before the trip
Form across domestic and European games
Omonia arrive after beating AEL Limassol 2:0, ending a sequence that included a 1:4 defeat by Benfica and a 2:0 loss at AEK Larnaca. Across their last five fixtures, they have two wins, one draw and two defeats, with eight goals scored and eight conceded. Their two away games in that run produced contrasting results: a 3:0 success at Celje and the defeat in Larnaca.
Where the balance shifts
- Two clean sheets in five matches show a defensive ceiling N.E.C. have not reached over the same span.
- Omonia scored in four of those five games; BTTS occurred twice.
- Three of the five fixtures finished Over 2.5, including both European matches.
- The visitors have a plus-one league-phase goal difference, with five scored and four conceded.
Absences and attacking contributors
Carel Eiting is ruled out with a knee injury, while David Akintola will miss the match with a muscle injury. Jaden Montnor has one goal and one assist in two tournament appearances; Senou Coulibaly and Muamer Tankovic each scored in their sole appearance.
- AEL Limassolhome2:0
- AEK Larnacaaway0:2
- Benficahome1:4
- Olympiakos Nicosiahome2:2
- Celjeaway3:0
European context and match conditions
The pre-match coverage frames this European campaign as an unusual experience for N.E.C. Conditions at kickoff are forecast at 8°C with no precipitation, a wind of 4.2 m/s and gusts reaching 6.8 m/s. There is no rain-related pitch concern in that forecast.
Our prediction
N.E.C. meet AC Omonia at Goffert with a stronger home profile and greater need for points: after three league-phase matches, the hosts have 4 points and Omonia have 6. N.E.C. have scored in four of their last five matches, including four goals away to Dinamo Zagreb, while their European attack has already shown it can produce against quality opposition. Tjaronn Chery and Bryan Linssen have scored two tournament goals each, giving the home side clear finishing options.
Omonia’s recent 2:0 win over AEL Limassol improves their momentum, but the visitors have lost 1:4 to Benfica and 0:2 at AEK Larnaca in their last four matches. Their squad is also weakened: according to media reports, Karel Eiting is out with a knee injury and David Akintola with a muscle injury. With N.E.C. supported by their own stadium, the draw protection is valuable. Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) 1.33. Expected score: 2:1.
Conclusion
Handicap 1 (0) 1.33 is the preferred selection. N.E.C. offer more attacking upside at home, while Omonia arrive with two confirmed absences and a less convincing away sequence.
FAQ
When does N.E.C. — AC Omonia kick off?
The match starts on 05.11.2026 at 12:45 (New York), Goffert (Nijmegen).
What is the prediction for N.E.C. — AC Omonia?
Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.33.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: N.E.C. win — 54%, draw — 23%, AC Omonia win — 23%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Heerenveenaway0:1
- Groningenhome2:2
- Dinamo Zagrebaway4:2
- Fortuna Sittardhome2:2
- Levski Sofiahome1:1
- AEL Limassolhome2:0
- AEK Larnacaaway0:2
- Benficahome1:4
- Olympiakos Nicosiahome2:2
- Celjeaway3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | AC Omonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Stade Rennais | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | N.E.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 4 |
About the match
- 5 November · 12:45 New York
- Venue: Goffert (Nijmegen), Neymegen
- Weather: 7° · precip. 0% · wind 3.6 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 04.11 13:10
Home favouritism without a late shift
N.E.C. are the market favourites, with a margin-free home-win probability of 54.1%, compared with 23.4% for the draw and 22.5% for Omonia. That preference runs against the visitors’ higher table position, while the hosts’ recent home draws illustrate why favouritism is not overwhelming. No notable movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
The goals markets lean towards Over 2.5 and BTTS rather than a low-scoring or one-sided scoring pattern. Both positions fit the hosts’ recent home results, although Omonia’s two clean sheets provide a counterweight. These lines have also remained stable.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.33
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
