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Anderlecht vs FC Salzburg prediction: UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League· League phase. Tour 4
AnderlechtAnderlecht
12:45
5 November · New York
FC SalzburgFC Salzburg
12.0448%
X3.9625%
23.4728%
Our prediction
Handicap 1 (0) 1.52
our estimate 64% · market 63% The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match

Anderlecht host FC Salzburg at Constant Vanden Stock in the fourth round of the UEFA Europa League league phase, with both clubs on three points in the qualification race. Anderlecht have played three matches; Salzburg are listed with one match played, though their standings entry conflicts with their European result.

Anderlecht
AnderlechtLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L

Anderlecht: home response after an uneven run

Anderlecht have won two of their last five matches and lost three, scoring eight goals and conceding eight. A European away win at Jagiellonia Bialystok preceded two domestic defeats, including a heavy loss at Gent, before a 4:1 home victory over K.V.C. Westerlo. All three defeats came away from Brussels; Westerlo is their only home match in this five-game stretch.

Attack has a ceiling, but defensive control is unstable

  • Scored in three of the last five matches and conceded in four.
  • Averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
  • Kept one clean sheet, in the 3:0 win at Jagiellonia.
  • Scored four goals and conceded three in their three European matches.

Mihajlo Cvetkovic and Marten Winkler each have one tournament goal in two appearances. Jayden Onia Seke has one goal in one match.

Recent matches
  • K.V.C. Westerlohome4:1
  • Gentaway0:4
  • Jagiellonia Bialystokaway3:0
  • Beerschotaway1:2
  • Dinamo Zagrebaway0:1
FC Salzburg
FC SalzburgLast 5: 4 W, 1 D, 0 L

Salzburg bring the sharper current profile

FC Salzburg are unbeaten in their last five matches, with four wins, one draw, sixteen goals scored and six conceded. They scored in every match and conceded in four. Their latest result, a 5:1 home win over Austria Lustenau, extended their winning run to three games.

The recent sequence includes three away victories. The listed trips to Rheindorf Altach, Bregenz and Celje produced eight goals, with wins at the first two and a draw at the third.

High output comes with occasional gaps at the back

Salzburg average 3.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across the last five. Their only clean sheet came at Rheindorf Altach, and they conceded at least two goals in two of the other four matches.

Their Europa League result is a 2:2 draw at Celje, which conflicts with the three-point total attached to their single-match entry. FC Salzburg are listed fourteenth, while a separate Red Bull Salzburg entry makes their exact league position unclear.

Recent matches
  • Austria Lustenauhome5:1
  • Bregenzaway3:2
  • LASK Linzhome3:1
  • Celjeaway2:2
  • Rheindorf Altachaway3:0

Head-to-head

Anderlecht wins 1draws 0FC Salzburg wins 3
  • 07.07.2017Red Bull Salzburg4:1AnderlechtClub Friendlies
  • 08.07.2012Red Bull Salzburg2:0AnderlechtClub Friendlies
  • 30.09.1997Anderlecht4:2Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
  • 16.09.1997Red Bull Salzburg4:3AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

Available team news and motivation

Sikan started for Anderlecht in the 0:4 defeat by Gent. Neither side has a confirmed starting lineup or formation, and there are no confirmed injury or suspension updates or further statements from coaches or experts.

Anderlecht need to convert their return to Brussels into European points after three away defeats in their recent run. Salzburg’s scoring output puts pressure on the hosts’ defence, but conceding multiple goals twice in five matches leaves openings at the other end.

Our pick: home side with protection

Our bet is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.52. Anderlecht enter the match after a 4:1 home win over K.V.C. Westerlo, their second victory in the last five fixtures, while the three defeats in that run all came away from Brussels. At Constant Vanden Stock, the team can use the stronger home setting to correct the defensive issues shown in the 0:4 defeat at Gent and the 1:2 loss to Beerschot.

Salzburg are unbeaten in five matches, with four wins, 16 goals scored and six conceded. They have also found the net in each of those games, so the visitors carry the sharper attacking trend. Their defensive record is less secure: Salzburg conceded in four of five, including twice against Celje and twice against Bregenz. The draw protection is therefore essential in a balanced market, while Anderlecht’s recent 4:1 response gives sufficient support for the home handicap. No confirmed injury, suspension or starting-lineup updates are available. Expected score: 2:2.

Conclusion

Handicap 1 (0) is the selection: Anderlecht receive home advantage and insurance against a draw, while Salzburg’s scoring run is offset by six conceded goals in their last five matches, with the team conceding in four of five.

Our prediction
Handicap 1 (0) 1.52
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FAQ

When does Anderlecht — FC Salzburg kick off?

The match starts on 05.11.2026 at 12:45 (New York), Constant Vanden Stock (Brussels).

What is the prediction for Anderlecht — FC Salzburg?

Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.52.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Anderlecht win — 48%, draw — 25%, FC Salzburg win — 28%.

Chances by market estimate

Anderlecht48%
Draw25%
FC Salzburg28%

Team form

Anderlecht
AnderlechtLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L
  • K.V.C. Westerlohome4:1
  • Gentaway0:4
  • Jagiellonia Bialystokaway3:0
  • Beerschotaway1:2
  • Dinamo Zagrebaway0:1
FC Salzburg
FC SalzburgLast 5: 4 W, 1 D, 0 L
  • Austria Lustenauhome5:1
  • Bregenzaway3:2
  • LASK Linzhome3:1
  • Celjeaway2:2
  • Rheindorf Altachaway3:0

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Lyon32015:66
14Real Sociedad31118:34
14FC Salzburg11001:03
15Crystal Palace31118:54
21Red Bull Salzburg31113:64
22Anderlecht31024:33
23TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31025:53

Head-to-head

Anderlecht wins 1draws 0FC Salzburg wins 3
  • 07.07.2017Red Bull Salzburg4:1AnderlechtClub Friendlies
  • 08.07.2012Red Bull Salzburg2:0AnderlechtClub Friendlies
  • 30.09.1997Anderlecht4:2Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
  • 16.09.1997Red Bull Salzburg4:3AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

About the match

  • 5 November · 12:45 New York
  • Venue: Constant Vanden Stock (Brussels)
  • Weather: 9° · precip. 0% · wind 2.4 m/s

Odds

Match result
W12.04
X3.96
W23.47
Double chance
1X1.34
121.28
2X1.83
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)2.76
Handicap 1 (0)1.52
Handicap 1 (1)1.12
Handicap 2 (-1)5.8
Handicap 2 (0)2.54
Handicap 2 (1)1.45
Totals
Total Over (2)1.19
Total Over (2.5)1.49
Total Over (3)1.77
Total Under (2)4.38
Total Under (2.5)2.57
Total Under (3)2.06
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.44
Both Teams To Score - No2.62

Odds updated 05.11 09:10

Market view and goal expectations

The 1X2 market makes Anderlecht moderate favourites: home win is assessed at 48.8%, draw at 24.8% and away win at 26.4%. There has been no noticeable movement over the last twenty-four hours.

Over 2.5 goals carries a probability of 59.2%, while BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 61.2%. Salzburg’s consistent scoring and both sides’ limited clean-sheet returns make BTTS the preferred bet.

Our prediction

Market
Handicap 1 (0)
Current odds
1.52
Odds at prediction
1.48
Confidence
Our estimate
64%
Market estimate
63%
Status
pending

The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match

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