Frosinone Calcio vs Sassuolo Calcio: Serie A Match Prediction
Frosinone Calcio
Sassuolo CalcioMatch result
Frosinone Calcio 4:2 Sassuolo Calcio (3:2, 1:0)
In Italy. Serie A, Frosinone Calcio secured a 4:2 victory over Sassuolo Calcio. The home side led 3:2 after the first period and won the second period 1:0. Our prediction for a W1 outcome was accurate, and the bet won.
Our prediction: W1 at 2.63 — the bet won.
Frosinone host Sassuolo at Stadio Benito Stirpe in Serie A’s seventh round on 16 October. The visitors can overtake their hosts with a win. Conditions should be calm: 18°C, no rain and wind of 0.9 m/s.
Frosinone: home results outweigh the latest setback
Form and league position
Frosinone sit ninth with 10 points. Their last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, although that sequence includes a friendly victory over Benevento. The latest result was a 3–0 loss at Napoli. At home in the league, they have two wins from three matches and a 5–3 goal balance.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Season scoring averages 1.5 goals per match, against 1.17 conceded.
- Two clean sheets in six league games show some capacity to contain opponents.
- BTTS occurred in only two league fixtures, despite conceding in four of their last five matches across competitions.
- Three of six league games exceeded 2.5 goals: their scoring profile is less open than Sassuolo’s.
Availability and selection
Florian Grillitsch, Daniel Birligea and Antonio Raimondo are being assessed before the match. Their availability cannot be treated as settled.
- Napoliaway0:3
- Benevento Calciohome2:1
- Comohome2:0
- Genoaaway1:1
- Unione Veneziahome3:2
Sassuolo: consistent scoring, fragile away defending
Recent results and standing
Sassuolo are 11th with eight points. Their five-match sequence contains two wins, two draws and one defeat. The league results include a 3–2 victory over Juventus and, most recently, a 1–1 draw with Milan. Away from home, they remain winless after three league fixtures: one draw, two defeats and a 4–6 goal balance.
Where the balance breaks down
- They average 1.67 goals both scored and conceded in Serie A.
- All six league matches featured BTTS, with no clean sheets.
- Five of six league fixtures exceeded 2.5 goals, though this is still a small sample.
Absences and returning options
Fedde Leysen, Jay Idzes, Daniel Boloca and Ismael Kone will not play through injury. Jordan Kande has recovered and gained minutes with the youth team, while Vladislav Walukiewicz is available but still building fitness. These returns add options without establishing full match readiness.
- Milanhome1:1
- Monza 1912away1:2
- Juventushome3:2
- Bologna 1909away2:2
- Frosinone Calciohome2:1
Head-to-head: a narrow Sassuolo advantage
Sassuolo have won three of the five official meetings over the past five years; Frosinone won the other two. Three meetings featured BTTS and exceeded 2.5 goals. The two matches at Frosinone’s ground produced one victory for each side, so venue history offers no clear separation.
- 02.09.2026Sassuolo Calcio2:1Frosinone CalcioCoppa Italia
- 13.05.2025Sassuolo Calcio0:1Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie B
- 14.12.2024Frosinone Calcio1:2Sassuolo CalcioItaly. Serie B
- 09.03.2024Sassuolo Calcio1:0Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 17.09.2023Frosinone Calcio4:2Sassuolo CalcioItaly. Serie A
Aquilani asks for further progress
Alberto Aquilani described Frosinone as aggressive and ambitious, while stressing that Sassuolo know their own strengths. His demand is continued improvement rather than satisfaction with recent results. No separate expert assessment is supplied.
Line-ups
Frosinone Calcio
Starting XI: 2. Giorgio Cittadini, 7. Fares Ghedjemis, 9. Antonio Raimondo, 10. Romano Schmid, 14. Giacomo Calo, 17. Giorgi Kvernadze, 20. Anthony Oyono, 22. Lorenzo Palmisani, 30. Ilario Monterisi, 73. Patrizio Masini, 79. Gabriele Bracaglia
Substitutes: 3. Gabriele Calvani, 5. Wisdom Amey, 11. Daniel Birligea, 12. Matteo Pisseri, 16. Matteo Cichella, 24. Alessio Zerbin, 25. Kevin Akpoguma, 34. Anouar El Azzouzi, 40. Seydou Fini, 70. Luis Hasa, 71. Aleksa Terzic, 74. Omar Fayed, 89. Tomas Bobcek, 90. Enzo Tchato Mbiayi, 91. Sebastiano Desplanches
Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
Sassuolo Calcio
Starting XI: 3. Josh Doig, 10. Domenico Berardi, 15. Duje Caleta Car, 18. Nemanja Matic, 20. Ignace Van der Brempt, 26. Cas Odenthal, 42. Kristian Thorstvedt, 45. Armand Lauriente, 49. Arijanet Muric, 50. Darryl Bakola, 94. Sebastiano Esposito
Substitutes: 5. Fali Cande, 6. Sebastian Walukiewicz, 7. Cristian Volpato, 8. Andrea Ghion, 9. Kieron Bowie, 12. Giacomo Satalino, 17. Vasilije Adzic, 19. Laurs Skjellerup, 25. Benjamin Dominguez, 33. Rafael Obrador, 35. Luca Lipani, 46. Simone Cinquegrano, 55. Ibrahim Sulemana Kakari, 70. Edoardo Pieragnolo, 80. Stefano Turati
Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Our prediction
Our pick is W1 2.63. Frosinone’s home record is the decisive factor: two wins in three Serie A matches at Stadio Benito Stirpe, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. Across the league season, the hosts have collected 10 points from six rounds and have scored in four of their last five matches. The recent 0:3 defeat at Napoli came away from home, while the preceding league games brought wins over Venezia and Como plus a draw at Genoa.
Sassuolo arrive with a stronger recent scoring rhythm, finding the net in all five latest matches, but their defensive profile is less reliable. They have conceded in all six league fixtures, allowed 6 goals in three away games and have not won on the road. According to media reports, Fedde Leysen, Jay Idzes, Daniel Boloca and Ismaël Koné will miss out. Frosinone also have three players under assessment. The market makes the hosts only a narrow favourite, yet the home split and Sassuolo’s away record justify taking the side with greater venue support. Expected score: 2:1.
Conclusion
W1 2.63 is the recommended selection. Frosinone’s two home wins, Sassuolo’s zero away victories and the visitors’ confirmed absences provide the clearest route to a home success.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Napoliaway0:3
- Benevento Calciohome2:1
- Comohome2:0
- Genoaaway1:1
- Unione Veneziahome3:2
- Milanhome1:1
- Monza 1912away1:2
- Juventushome3:2
- Bologna 1909away2:2
- Frosinone Calciohome2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 02.09.2026Sassuolo Calcio2:1Frosinone CalcioCoppa Italia
- 13.05.2025Sassuolo Calcio0:1Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie B
- 14.12.2024Frosinone Calcio1:2Sassuolo CalcioItaly. Serie B
- 09.03.2024Sassuolo Calcio1:0Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 17.09.2023Frosinone Calcio4:2Sassuolo CalcioItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 16 October · 14:45 New York
- Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market pricing separates the teams only slightly
Frosinone are marginal 1X2 favourites at 37.6%, against 35.6% for Sassuolo and 26.8% for the draw. That narrow gap reflects a balanced contest rather than strong home confidence. BTTS is assessed at 66.4%, while Under 3.5 goals carries 56.2%: both teams scoring need not imply a four-goal match. The listed markets have shown no notable movement over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Odds
- 2.62
- Odds at prediction
- 2.63
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 76%
- Market estimate
- 40%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 2.62
- Potential win
- 162 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 2.41
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +162 $
