Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow: Russia Premier League Match Prediction
Fakel Voronezh
Dynamo MoscowFakel Voronezh host Dynamo Moscow at Fakel Stadium in Tour 14 of the Russia Premier League. The teams occupy opposite ends of the table: Fakel are sixteenth with six points, while Dynamo are second with twenty-eight, two behind Zenit. Dynamo are chasing first place.
Fakel Voronezh: recent resistance, weak home output
Form and tactical profile
Fakel have won three of their last five matches, but their latest league outing ended in a narrow defeat at Rubin Kazan. The run also includes away wins over Krasnodar and Krylia Sovetov, plus a home cup victory against Akhmat. Their league record is one win, three draws and nine defeats, with eight goals scored and twenty-one conceded.
Home form is the main problem. Across seven league matches in Voronezh, Fakel have no wins, three draws and four defeats, scoring three times and conceding eleven. Their defensive results have improved recently. Home chance creation and scoring remain limited: Fakel have scored only three league goals in Voronezh. Ilnur Alshin has two assists in four tournament appearances, while Clayton Sampaio Pereira and Matvey Bardachev have one goal each.
- Rubin Kazanaway0:1
- Akhmathome1:0
- Rodina Moscowhome0:1
- Krylia Sovetovaway2:1
- Krasnodaraway2:0
Dynamo Moscow: title pressure and stronger overall balance
Form, table position and squad picture
Dynamo also have three wins and two defeats in their last five, but they have found the net in every match of that sequence. Their most recent result was a clean-sheet victory over Akhmat, following a home win against CSKA. The two defeats came away to Akron Tolyatti and Krasnodar.
Across the league season, Dynamo have nine wins, one draw and three defeats, with a twenty-one to twelve goal balance. Their away record is less dominant than their overall table position suggests: three wins and three defeats, seven goals scored and eight conceded. Six clean sheets in thirteen matches show a reliable defensive level, while eight matches over the higher total indicate greater attacking capacity than Fakel. Konstantin Tyukavin has two goals in four appearances; Daniil Fomin and Yaroslav Gladyshev each have a goal and an assist.
The table gap is clear: Dynamo are second with a plus-nine goal difference, while Fakel are last with a minus-thirteen balance.
- Akhmathome2:0
- Krasnodaraway1:2
- Akron Tolyattiaway1:3
- CSKA Moscowhome3:1
- Akhmataway2:1
Head-to-head record favors close scorelines
The clubs have met seven times in official matches over the last five years. Fakel won once, Dynamo won twice and four games ended level. The aggregate scoring is close: Fakel scored eight goals and Dynamo nine. Four of the seven meetings finished with both teams scoring, while three produced a clean sheet.
The latest encounter, played at Fakel in the Russian Cup, ended with a narrow Dynamo win. Earlier league meetings in Voronezh included two draws, while Fakel’s only victory in the sequence came away from home. Dynamo have a modest results advantage, but the margins have usually been small.
- 05.08.2026Fakel Voronezh0:1Dynamo MoscowRussian Cup (Group Stage)
- 24.11.2024Fakel Voronezh1:1Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 20.07.2024Dynamo Moscow3:1Fakel VoronezhRussia. Premier League
- 10.12.2023Fakel Voronezh1:1Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 08.10.2023Dynamo Moscow0:0Fakel VoronezhRussia. Premier League
Available team news before kickoff
There are no confirmed injury updates, suspensions, lineups or personnel changes before the teamsheets are released. Their tactical effect therefore cannot be assessed.
Kickoff conditions are cool and dry, with a temperature of plus two degrees Celsius, limited precipitation risk and moderate wind. The weather should not materially disrupt the match, although stronger gusts may affect long passes and set-piece delivery.
Our prediction
Fakel Voronezh host Dynamo Moscow in Tour 14. Fakel are last with 6 points, while Dynamo are second with 28, two points behind Zenit. Our pick is W2 at 1.69. Dynamo have won 9 of 13 league matches; Fakel have won once and remain winless in seven home fixtures.
Fakel score 0.62 goals per league match and concede 1.62, allowing 21 goals in 13 rounds. Dynamo average 1.62 goals and have kept six clean sheets. They have scored in all five recent matches, including wins over CSKA and Akhmat. Fakel failed to score in their latest league game and have managed 3 home goals this season. Fresh injury, suspension and lineup information was not found before the teamsheets are released.
Both teams have a recent record of 3 wins and 2 losses, but Dynamo’s league campaign and title motivation carry greater weight. The market assigns the away win a 58.2% probability and the home victory 18.3%; the line has shown no significant movement. A likely score is 0:2.
Conclusion
W2 at 1.69. Dynamo’s 9-1-3 league record, stronger attack, six clean sheets and Fakel’s winless home record support a controlled away victory.
FAQ
When does Fakel Voronezh — Dynamo Moscow kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 06:00 (New York), Fakel (Voronezh).
What is the prediction for Fakel Voronezh — Dynamo Moscow?
Our pick is W2 at 1.69.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Fakel Voronezh win — 18%, draw — 23%, Dynamo Moscow win — 58%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Rubin Kazanaway0:1
- Akhmathome1:0
- Rodina Moscowhome0:1
- Krylia Sovetovaway2:1
- Krasnodaraway2:0
- Akhmathome2:0
- Krasnodaraway1:2
- Akron Tolyattiaway1:3
- CSKA Moscowhome3:1
- Akhmataway2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit Saint Petersburg | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30:13 | 30 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 28 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 15 | Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:21 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 05.08.2026Fakel Voronezh0:1Dynamo MoscowRussian Cup (Group Stage)
- 24.11.2024Fakel Voronezh1:1Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 20.07.2024Dynamo Moscow3:1Fakel VoronezhRussia. Premier League
- 10.12.2023Fakel Voronezh1:1Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 08.10.2023Dynamo Moscow0:0Fakel VoronezhRussia. Premier League
About the match
- 7 November · 06:00 New York
- Venue: Fakel (Voronezh), Voronezh
- Weather: 2° · precip. 5% · wind 2.6 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 06:10
Market view and price structure
The market makes Dynamo the clear favorite, assigning the away win a probability of 58.2 percent. Fakel’s home win is assessed at 18.3 percent, with the draw at 23.5 percent. The distribution reflects the table gap, Dynamo’s stronger season record and Fakel’s failure to win at home in the league. The 1X2 margin is 1.5 percent, with no meaningful movement over the last twenty-four hours.
The goals market is almost balanced: the higher total is rated at 51.7 percent and the lower total at 48.3 percent. BTTS is also close, at 51.4 percent for “Yes” and 48.6 percent for “No”. The split matches Fakel’s low scoring rate, Dynamo’s six clean sheets and the narrow historical margins between the sides. No market has shown a notable line shift.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Current odds
- 1.69
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 58%
- Market estimate
- 58%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
