Serie A Prediction: Cagliari Calcio Against Frosinone Calcio
Cagliari Calcio
Frosinone CalcioCagliari Calcio host Frosinone Calcio at Unipol Domus in Serie A’s 11th round. Cagliari are 12th with 13 points; Frosinone are sixth with 20.
Cagliari: home advantage under pressure
Recent form and statistical profile
Cagliari have lost their last four league matches: 0:4 at Monza, 0:2 against Bologna, 2:4 at Roma and 1:2 at Lazio. Their only point in the last five came from a 1:1 home draw with Juventus. They scored in 3 and conceded in all 5.
Their season record is 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 15 conceded: averages of 0.9 and 1.5 per match. At home, they have scored 2 and conceded 4. They kept a clean sheet in 3 of 10 league games, while BTTS occurred in 4.
Strengths, weaknesses and personnel
Daniel Maldini leads Cagliari with 2 goals in 5 league appearances.
Adam Obert is suspended after a red card. Mattia Felici, Riyad Idrissi, Alieu Fadera, M’Bala Nzola, Yerry Mina and Alessandro Deiola are injured; Giuseppe Aurelio is doubtful. Nzola has scored once in 4 league appearances. Roberto Gagliardini has returned to training after an ankle problem.
- Lazioaway1:2
- Romaaway2:4
- Bologna 1909home0:2
- Monza 1912away0:4
- Juventushome1:1
Frosinone: superior results and attacking volume
Form away from home
Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5 matches, drawn once and lost once. They lost 0:3 at Napoli, beat Sassuolo, drew 4:4 at Atalanta, beat Lecce and beat Torino, scoring in 4. They have won their last two matches.
After 10 league games, Frosinone have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their scoring average of 2.4 goals per match exceeds Cagliari’s. Away from home, they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of their 10 matches, while BTTS occurred in 5.
Key players and absences
Leading scorer Antonio Raimondo has 4 goals in 5 matches but will be out for around three months with an ankle injury. Giacomo Calo has scored 3 times in 5 appearances, while Romano Schmid has 2 goals and 1 assist in 5. Florian Grillitsch is unavailable with an adductor problem. No starting lineup or formation has been confirmed.
- Torinohome2:0
- Leccehome5:1
- Atalantaaway4:4
- Sassuolo Calciohome4:2
- Napoliaway0:3
Head-to-head record favours the hosts
The clubs have met 5 times in official matches during the last five years. Cagliari won 2, drew 2 and lost 1, scoring 11 goals to Frosinone’s 9. The most recent meeting ended in a 4:1 Cagliari victory in the Coppa Italia; the previous league encounter in Sardinia finished 4:3. The sequence also includes a 0:0 draw.
- 23.09.2025Cagliari Calcio4:1Frosinone CalcioCoppa Italia
- 21.01.2024Frosinone Calcio3:1Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 29.10.2023Cagliari Calcio4:3Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 15.04.2023Cagliari Calcio0:0Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie B
- 27.11.2022Frosinone Calcio2:2Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie B
Team news and pre-match views
Cagliari coach Fabio Pisacane called for greater concentration, fewer mistakes and a response at home. He described Frosinone as a strong side that still leaves room to attack.
Frosinone have taken 10 points from their last 4 games, scoring 15 goals in that span. Coach Massimiliano Alvini said the team is performing above pre-season expectations.
Our pick: Frosinone to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.31. Frosinone have scored 24 goals in 10 league matches and at least twice in each of their last four outings. Cagliari have lost four in a row, with their defence repeatedly breached in recent weeks: the visitors do not need to win for this selection to pay out.
The hosts are missing suspended defender Adam Obert and injured defenders Riyad Idrissi and Yerry Mina, while Giuseppe Aurelio is doubtful. That reduces their options for repairing a defence repeatedly breached in recent weeks. Antonio Raimondo’s ankle injury is a significant setback for Frosinone, although Giacomo Calo and Romano Schmid have contributed 3 and 2 league goals respectively. The main caution is Cagliari’s home record of just four goals conceded in four games; against that, Frosinone have scored eight in four away fixtures. A projected score is 1:2.
Final betting verdict
Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.31 targets the visitors’ scoring rather than an away victory. The bet focuses on Frosinone’s scoring output.
FAQ
When does Cagliari Calcio — Frosinone Calcio kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 09:00 (New York), Unipol Domus (Cagliari).
What is the prediction for Cagliari Calcio — Frosinone Calcio?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) at 1.31.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Cagliari Calcio win — 35%, draw — 26%, Frosinone Calcio win — 39%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Lazioaway1:2
- Romaaway2:4
- Bologna 1909home0:2
- Monza 1912away0:4
- Juventushome1:1
- Torinohome2:0
- Leccehome5:1
- Atalantaaway4:4
- Sassuolo Calciohome4:2
- Napoliaway0:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari Calcio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 23.09.2025Cagliari Calcio4:1Frosinone CalcioCoppa Italia
- 21.01.2024Frosinone Calcio3:1Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 29.10.2023Cagliari Calcio4:3Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 15.04.2023Cagliari Calcio0:0Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie B
- 27.11.2022Frosinone Calcio2:2Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie B
About the match
- 7 November · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Unipol Domus (Cagliari), Kalʹyari
- Weather: 21° · precip. 0% · wind 2.3 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 09:10
Market view and match conditions
Frosinone are narrow away favourites in the 1X2 market, with an away-win probability of 39.4%, against 34.9% for a home win and 25.7% for a draw. The line has shown no notable movement over the last 24 hours.
The totals market assigns 59.9% to Under 3.5 goals and 40.1% to Over 3.5. BTTS Yes stands at 63.7%, balancing Frosinone’s scoring rate and both sides’ defensive records against the visitors’ missing leading scorer.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.31
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
