Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction: Premier League Analysis
Leeds United
Tottenham HotspurLeeds United host Tottenham Hotspur at Elland Road on 7 November in Premier League matchweek 10. Leeds are 12th with 11 points, while Tottenham are ninth with 12. A home win would reverse their positions; the visitors could extend the gap.
Leeds: home resilience, limited scoring
Recent results and attacking output
Leeds have drawn three and lost two of their last five league matches, scoring twice and conceding five. Their latest result was a 2:0 defeat at Bournemouth, preceded by a goalless draw at Sunderland. They failed to score in three of those five matches.
Strengths and weaknesses
Leeds are unbeaten at home after four matches, with one win, three draws and a 6:3 goal balance. Across the season, they have conceded eight goals in nine fixtures and kept three clean sheets. Two matches went Over 2.5, while BTTS occurred five times. Away from Elland Road, their record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with three goals scored.
Personnel and tactical options
Leeds use compact defending and quick counterattacks, but their forward options are reduced. Mateo Joseph is out with a cruciate ligament injury; Anton Stach and Noah Okafor are doubtful. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and James Justin each have one league goal in four appearances, while Gabriel Gudmundsson has one assist. No probable XI, formation or suspension details have been supplied.
- Bournemouthaway0:2
- Sunderlandaway0:0
- Manchester Unitedhome1:1
- Arsenalaway1:2
- Crystal Palacehome0:0
Tottenham: improved results, modest away totals
A productive five-match spell
Tottenham have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring ten and conceding five. They followed a 3:1 victory over Coventry with 2:0 wins against Chelsea and Crystal Palace. They scored in every match during that run and kept clean sheets in the two latest games.
Where the balance changes
Across the season, Tottenham have scored ten and conceded ten in nine fixtures, with four clean sheets. Three matches finished Over 2.5, and three featured BTTS. Away, Spurs have one win, two draws and one defeat, scoring three and conceding four. Their recent attacking output exceeds their broader away record; three consecutive wins do not represent their established level on the road.
Absences and available contributors
Xavi Simons and Wilson Odobert are out with cruciate ligament injuries, while Mykhailo Mudryk is unavailable because of an ankle injury. Dominic Solanke has one goal and one assist in four league appearances; Jan Paul van Hecke and Archie Gray each have one goal. No probable lineup, formation or suspension details are supplied.
- Crystal Palacehome2:0
- Chelseaaway2:0
- Coventry Cityhome3:1
- Manchester Unitedaway1:1
- Aston Villahome2:3
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Tottenham have won five of the six official meetings over the past five years, with the other drawn. The aggregate score is 17:7 in their favour. All three visits to Elland Road ended in away victories. Five meetings went Over 2.5 and five featured BTTS, although the latest encounter finished 1:1 in May 2026. This scoring history differs from both clubs’ current season totals.
- 11.05.2026Tottenham Hotspur1:1Leeds UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 04.10.2025Leeds United1:2Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 28.05.2023Leeds United1:4Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 12.11.2022Tottenham Hotspur4:3Leeds UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 26.02.2022Leeds United0:4Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
Pre-match discussion centres on contrasting momentum
Pre-match coverage highlights Leeds’ finishing difficulties and Tottenham’s recent upturn. No separate expert assessments have been supplied.
Our prediction
Leeds United host Tottenham Hotspur at Elland Road with only one point separating the teams in the table: Tottenham have 12, Leeds 11. The visitors enter this match on a three-game winning run and have scored in each of their last five fixtures, producing 10 goals in that period. Leeds, by contrast, have failed to win in five matches and scored only twice across that sequence.
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) 1.3. Tottenham have scored in all six recent meetings with Leeds, including five victories and an aggregate 17:7 advantage. Their away league record is less forceful at 3:4 on goals, but the current attacking trend is stronger than the season average. Leeds have also conceded in three of their last five matches, while Mateo Joseph is unavailable with a cruciate ligament injury; participation of Anton Stach and Noah Okafor remains doubtful. For Tottenham, Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert and Mykhailo Mudryk are ruled out, yet the team has still scored in every recent game.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) 1.3 is supported by Tottenham’s five-match scoring streak, three consecutive wins and a goal in all six latest head-to-head encounters. Leeds’ recent attacking decline does not remove the visitors’ clear scoring pattern.
FAQ
When does Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 07:30 (New York), Elland Road (Leeds).
What is the prediction for Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Leeds United win — 35%, draw — 28%, Tottenham Hotspur win — 37%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Bournemouthaway0:2
- Sunderlandaway0:0
- Manchester Unitedhome1:1
- Arsenalaway1:2
- Crystal Palacehome0:0
- Crystal Palacehome2:0
- Chelseaaway2:0
- Coventry Cityhome3:1
- Manchester Unitedaway1:1
- Aston Villahome2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 11.05.2026Tottenham Hotspur1:1Leeds UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 04.10.2025Leeds United1:2Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 28.05.2023Leeds United1:4Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 12.11.2022Tottenham Hotspur4:3Leeds UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 26.02.2022Leeds United0:4Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 7 November · 07:30 New York
- Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 07:40
A narrow favourite rather than a clear hierarchy
The 1X2 market makes Tottenham slight favourites at 37%, against 35.4% for Leeds and 27.6% for the draw. The narrow gap points to a balanced contest rather than a clear hierarchy. Under 2.5 holds a marginal advantage at 51.3%, while BTTS is assessed at 54.4%. None of the listed markets has shown notable movement over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (0.5)
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
