Unione Venezia vs Udinese Calcio Prediction in Serie A
Unione Venezia
Udinese CalcioMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.42 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.25 pending
Unione Venezia host Udinese Calcio at Pier Luigi Penzo in the eleventh round of Serie A. Both clubs occupy relegation places: Venezia have three points in twentieth, while Udinese have five points in nineteenth. The match has direct significance in the fight to remain in the division, with both teams arriving after long runs without consistent results.
Venezia: home advantage under pressure
Recent form and tactical profile
Venezia have lost four of their last five matches, with their only success a home win over Napoli. Across that sequence they scored twice and conceded seven, finding the net in two games and allowing goals in four. Their current run is three defeats in a row, including a 0:1 loss at Como. The season record is one win and nine defeats, with six goals scored and twenty conceded. At home, Venezia have taken one win from five matches, scoring three times and conceding ten.
Davide Nicola has just taken charge. His reported approach points to a side that does not remain entirely behind the ball and is prepared to attack with greater courage. That can improve their chance creation, but the season figures show limited finishing and frequent defensive breakdowns.
Strengths, weaknesses and personnel
- The main positive is the ability to produce a high-level home result, shown by the win over Napoli.
- Scoring is the central problem: six goals in ten league matches and goals in only three of ten fixtures.
- The defence has kept one clean sheet and conceded twenty times, including ten at home.
- Antoine Hainaut and Akor Jerome Adams lead the team with one goal each; Simon Sohm has one assist.
Four Venezia players are unavailable because of injuries, according to media reports. The available information does not identify the injured players, the expected starting eleven, or a confirmed formation, so the effect on individual positions cannot be assessed.
- Comoaway0:1
- Internazionale Milanohome0:2
- Genoaaway0:1
- Napolihome1:0
- Atalantaaway1:3
Udinese: more attacking output, weaker protection
Form away from home
Udinese have not won any of their last five matches: four defeats and a draw. They scored three goals in that sequence and conceded twelve, with goals in two matches and clean sheets in one. The latest result was a 2:5 home defeat against Roma. Their league record is one win, two draws and seven losses, with eleven goals scored and twenty-three conceded. Away from home they have one win, one draw and two defeats, scoring seven times and conceding nine.
Udinese sit nineteenth with five points, two points above Venezia. Their attack has produced almost twice as many league goals as the hosts, but the defensive record is worse in absolute terms: twenty-three conceded. The side has also gone eight matches without a win, collecting only one point in that period.
Key players and squad situation
- Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Matteo Palma and Nicolo Zaniolo have one league goal each.
- Udinese have scored in six of ten league matches, twice as often as Venezia.
- Both teams scored in six of Udinese’s ten league fixtures, while the total exceeded two goals in six.
- The team has kept one clean sheet and conceded five goals in the latest home match.
Five Udinese players will miss the match, but the reasons for their absence are not specified. No names, positions, or confirmed lineup are provided. Paolo Zanetti was appointed the new head coach on November 2, adding a coaching transition to the existing sporting pressure.
- Romahome2:5
- Parmaaway0:0
- Milanhome0:2
- Leccehome0:3
- Torinoaway1:2
Head-to-head record and scoring pattern
There have been four official meetings in the last five years. Venezia won once and Udinese won three times; none ended level. Every match produced at least three total goals, and the latest three finished with both teams scoring. Udinese won the most recent meeting 2:1 in the Coppa Italia on September 2.
The previous fixture at Penzo ended 3:2 to Venezia in October 2024, while the earlier home meeting finished 1:2. The head-to-head sample is small, but it consistently points to a close contest with goals at both ends rather than a one-sided defensive game.
- 02.09.2026Udinese Calcio2:1Unione VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 01.02.2025Udinese Calcio3:2Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 30.10.2024Unione Venezia3:2Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 10.04.2022Unione Venezia1:2Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 27.08.2021Udinese Calcio3:0Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
Team news, motivation and coaching changes
Venezia’s stated season objective is survival, and the club has already changed coach, appointing Davide Nicola. The new manager’s reported preference for a braver approach may alter the home side’s balance between defensive security and forward numbers. Four absences through injury reduce the options available for that adjustment, but the missing players have not been named.
Udinese also changed coach, with Paolo Zanetti officially taking over shortly before the match. The club faces the threat of relegation, while the previous coach, Kosta Runjaic, described the Roma defeat by saying the team “fell apart after the first goal,” according to media reports. Five players are unavailable for unspecified reasons, and no further lineup or suspension information is supplied.
Our forecast
Venezia host Udinese at Pier Luigi Penzo in a relegation battle. Our selection is Home Team Total Over (1) 1.37. Venezia have scored only 6 goals in 10 Serie A matches, including 3 in five home games. Udinese have conceded 23 goals, averaging 2.3 per match, including five against Roma in their latest fixture.
Venezia have scored in only 2 of their last 5 matches, but one of those goals secured a home win over Napoli. Udinese have conceded in 4 of their last 5 games and are winless in eight, collecting only one point during that run.
Paolo Zanetti is Udinese’s new head coach, while Davide Nicola’s Venezia are expected to attack more boldly as they seek to climb from twentieth place. Four Venezia players and five Udinese players are unavailable through injury. The probable score is 2:1.
Conclusion
Home Team Total Over (1) 1.37 requires Venezia to score twice to win, with one goal returning the stake. Udinese’s defensive record supports the bet, though Venezia’s low scoring rate is the main risk.
FAQ
When does Unione Venezia — Udinese Calcio kick off?
The match starts on 06.11.2026 at 14:45 (New York), Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice).
What is the prediction for Unione Venezia — Udinese Calcio?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.37.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Unione Venezia win — 41%, draw — 29%, Udinese Calcio win — 31%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Comoaway0:1
- Internazionale Milanohome0:2
- Genoaaway0:1
- Napolihome1:0
- Atalantaaway1:3
- Romahome2:5
- Parmaaway0:0
- Milanhome0:2
- Leccehome0:3
- Torinoaway1:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Monza 1912 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese Calcio | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Unione Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 02.09.2026Udinese Calcio2:1Unione VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 01.02.2025Udinese Calcio3:2Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 30.10.2024Unione Venezia3:2Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 10.04.2022Unione Venezia1:2Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 27.08.2021Udinese Calcio3:0Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 6 November · 14:45 New York
- Venue: Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice)
- Weather: 11° · precip. 18% · wind 2 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 12:00
Market view and goal lines
The home side is the market favorite, with the estimated probability of a Venezia win at 42.7%, compared with 27.1% for a draw and 30.3% for an Udinese win. The home-win and draw lines have shortened during the last twenty-four hours, while the away-win line has moved outward. This indicates increased market support for Venezia avoiding defeat, but the favorite status is moderate rather than dominant.
The Over 2.5 goals market is priced by probability at 53.7%, with the line moving toward more goals. BTTS Yes is assessed at 57.7% and has shown no notable movement. Those expectations fit Udinese’s six high-total matches and six BTTS matches, as well as the recent head-to-head sequence, although Venezia’s own league figures are more defensive in total-goal terms.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.37
- Odds at prediction
- 1.34
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 69%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.37
- Potential win
- 37 $
- Status
- pending
