Serie A Prediction: Bologna 1909 vs Internazionale Milano Preview
Bologna 1909
Internazionale MilanoMatch result
Bologna 1909 1:3 Internazionale Milano (1:1, 0:2)
In Italy. Serie A, Bologna 1909 took on Internazionale Milano. The match concluded with a 1:3 victory for the visitors, with the halves finishing 1:1 and 0:2. Internazionale Milano secured the away win, which means our W2 prediction was successful and the bet won.
Our prediction: W2 at 1.64 — the bet won.
Bologna host Internazionale at Renato Dall'Ara on 17 October in Serie A's seventh round. The hosts sit 14th with five points; Inter lead on 16, level with Lazio. Bologna are seeking their first home league win, while the visitors must defend first place after a Champions League defeat.
Bologna: modest scoring, no clean sheets
Recent form and home record
Bologna's last five matches brought one win, two draws and two defeats. Their latest result, a 2:1 victory at Lecce, followed draws with Sassuolo and Torino and defeats at Atalanta and Napoli. At home, two draws and one loss have produced three goals for and four against: Bologna have remained competitive without turning that into a victory.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Bologna have scored in three of their last five matches, but conceded in all five.
- Their league attack averages 0.83 goals per match, leaving little room for defensive errors.
- Only two of six league games finished Over 2.5 goals; BTTS occurred in three.
- No clean sheets in six rounds means even their lower-scoring games have required a response in attack.
Availability and attacking options
Riccardo Orsolini and Emil Holm are unavailable through injury. Jens Odgaard and Samuel Mbangula have recovered and are in the squad. Orsolini's absence removes a scorer from an already limited attack; the two returning players restore options.
- Lecceaway2:1
- Torinohome1:1
- Napoliaway0:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:2
- Atalantaaway0:1
Inter: prolific attack, uneven defending
League strength and recent results
Inter are unbeaten in six league matches, with five wins and a draw, scoring 18 and conceding eight. Their last five games across all competitions produced three wins, one draw and one defeat; that sequence includes a friendly against Lumezzane. A 3:0 league win over Parma was followed by the 3:4 home defeat to Club Brugge.
Where the balance changes away
- Inter average three league goals per match, but their two away fixtures yielded only three goals combined.
- One win and one draw on the road came with two goals conceded.
- Five of six league matches finished Over 2.5 goals, and four featured BTTS.
- Two league clean sheets contrast with three goals conceded against Udinese and two against Roma.
Injuries reduce selection options
Lautaro Martinez, Benjamin Pavard, John Stones and Curtis Jones will miss the match. Pavard has a right-thigh adductor injury, while Cristian Chivu has said Martinez will be out for some time.
- Club Bruggehome3:4
- Parmahome3:0
- Lumezzanehome2:0
- Romaaway2:2
- Udinese Calciohome5:3
Recent meetings resist the league hierarchy
Bologna have won five of the 11 official meetings over the last five years, with three draws and three Inter victories. Their most recent encounter ended 3:3 in May; the preceding league meeting was a 3:1 Inter win. That history differs sharply from the current 11-point gap in the table.
- 23.05.2026Bologna 19093:3Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
- 04.01.2026Internazionale Milano3:1Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 19.12.2025Bologna 19092:1Internazionale MilanoItaly Super Cup
- 20.04.2025Bologna 19091:0Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
- 15.01.2025Internazionale Milano2:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
Chivu asks for a response
Chivu has urged Inter to react to their European defeat and remember their strength. The schedule gives that message a practical edge: Inter played on 13 October, whereas Bologna's previous match was on 11 October.
Line-ups
Bologna 1909
Starting XI: 1. Lukasz Skorupski, 3. Arthur Theate, 4. Tommaso Pobega, 10. Federico Bernardeschi, 16. Nicolò Casale, 19. Lewis Ferguson, 20. Nadir Zortea, 28. Nicolo Cambiaghi, 33. Juan Miranda, 36. Matteo Darmian, 91. Roberto Piccoli
Substitutes: 5. Eivind Fauske Helland, 6. Nikola Moro, 8. Mikel Amondarain, 9. Artem Dovbyk, 11. Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda, 14. Torbjorn Lysaker Heggem, 17. Oussama El Azzouzi, 18. Marco Libra, 21. Jens Odgaard, 22. Jay Enem, 23. Abdel Rahim Alhassane Bonkano, 25. Massimo Pessina, 29. Lorenzo De Silvestri, 41. Martin Vitik, 72. Ukko Happonen
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Internazionale Milano
Starting XI: 1. Josep Martinez, 7. Piotr Zielinski, 8. Petar Sucic, 9. Marcus Thuram, 11. Luis Henrique Tomaz de Lima, 23. Nicolo Barella, 25. Manuel Akanji, 31. Yann Aurel Bisseck, 32. Federico Dimarco, 94. Francesco Pio Esposito, 95. Alessandro Bastoni
Substitutes: 5. Aleksandar Stankovic, 12. Raffaele Di Gennaro, 14. Ange-Yoan Bonny, 17. Andy Diouf, 20. Hakan Calhanoglu, 22. Henrikh Mkhitaryan, 30. Carlos Augusto, 46. Leonardo Bovio, 48. Mattia Mosconi, 49. Ivan Provedel, 99. Djed Spence
Coach: Cristian Chivu
Our pick: Inter to take the points
Our bet is W2 1.64. Inter's three goals per league game offer the clearest route to victory at Renato Dall'Ara: Bologna have conceded in each of their last five matches and remain winless at home after three attempts. The hosts' 0.83 goals per league game also suggest limited scope to keep pace if the visitors turn this into a scoring contest.
Lautaro Martinez's injury reduces Inter's attacking options, while the absences of Benjamin Pavard and John Stones increase the defensive risk, according to media reports. That makes a narrow win more credible than a comfortable shutout. Bologna are also without Riccardo Orsolini, although Jens Odgaard and Samuel Mbangula return to the squad. Inter's five wins in six league games carry more weight for this pick than their European setback; predicted score: Bologna 1:2 Inter.
Final verdict
W2 1.64 is our selection, with Inter's scoring rate the decisive advantage against a defence yet to keep a league clean sheet. The visitors' absences temper confidence, so the pick is a win rather than a claim of a wide margin.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Lecceaway2:1
- Torinohome1:1
- Napoliaway0:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:2
- Atalantaaway0:1
- Club Bruggehome3:4
- Parmahome3:0
- Lumezzanehome2:0
- Romaaway2:2
- Udinese Calciohome5:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale Milano | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese Calcio | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 4 |
Head-to-head
- 23.05.2026Bologna 19093:3Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
- 04.01.2026Internazionale Milano3:1Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 19.12.2025Bologna 19092:1Internazionale MilanoItaly Super Cup
- 20.04.2025Bologna 19091:0Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
- 15.01.2025Internazionale Milano2:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
About the match
- 17 October · 12:00 New York
- Venue: Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna), Bolonʹya
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market support strengthens for Inter
Inter are clear 1X2 favourites, with a margin-free market probability of 60.2%. Support for the away win has strengthened over the last 24 hours, while confidence in a home win and draw has weakened. The goals markets have shown no notable movement: Over 2.5 carries a 56.9% probability and BTTS a 54.7% probability. Those narrower assessments reflect a less decisive view on scoring than on the match result, particularly with both league samples still limited to six games.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Odds
- 1.64
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 60%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.64
- Potential win
- 64 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.58
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +64 $
