Deportivo de A Coruna vs Levante UD: La Liga Match Prediction
Deportivo de A Coruna
Levante UDDeportivo de A Coruna host Levante UD at Riazor on 16 October in La Liga's ninth round. The hosts are eighth with 10 points; the visitors sit 17th on six, level with Elche below them. Both sides need points after winless stretches.
Deportivo: home defence offers some protection
Recent results and venue split
Deportivo have two draws and three defeats in their last five matches. That sequence includes friendlies against Penafiel and Porto, so it is not a league-only measure. Their latest outing ended in a 3:2 defeat at Real Sociedad. At home in La Liga, they have one win, two draws and one loss, with five goals scored and four conceded: tighter margins than in their recent away appearances.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Two wins, four draws and two defeats in eight league games show how often Deportivo have shared the points.
- BTTS has landed in seven of eight league matches, yet only three exceeded the Over/Under threshold of 2.5 goals.
- No league clean sheets: even relatively restrained scorelines have required an attacking response.
Availability and tactical demands
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Zakaria Eddahchouri and Marc Casado are injured; Lorenzo Amatucci is suspended after his dismissal in the previous match. Antonio Hidalgo says everyone else is available and described a good working week. He wants compact defending and selective pressing against Levante's possession play.
- Real Sociedadaway2:3
- Portohome1:3
- Penafielaway2:2
- Real Betishome1:1
- Sevillahome0:1
Levante: scoring output drops sharply away
Form entering the trip
Levante's last five league matches produced one win, two draws and two defeats. Their latest result, 3:3 against Sevilla, followed defeats by Barcelona and Villarreal. The 5:2 victory over Real Betis remains their only league win this season; their seven-match return is three draws and three losses alongside that success.
The key performance contrasts
- Four away matches have yielded two draws, two defeats and just one goal, against six conceded.
- Five of seven league games exceeded 2.5 goals, contrasting with the limited scoring on their travels.
- Two clean sheets offer some defensive encouragement, but 15 goals conceded overall show the scale of their heavier setbacks.
Players ruled out
Karl Etta Eyong will not make the squad despite partial team training. Hugo Sotelo remains out with a knee injury, while Alex Primo is recovering from a shoulder injury. Luis Castro has confirmed all three absences.
- Sevillahome3:3
- Villarrealaway1:3
- Barcelonahome2:4
- Malagaaway0:0
- Real Betishome5:2
Recent meetings favour the visitors
Levante won both official meetings from the past five years, each by 2:1, in the Segunda Division in October 2024 and January 2025. Both teams scored. Two fixtures are too few to establish a reliable pattern, especially across a change of division.
- 25.01.2025Deportivo de A Coruna1:2Levante UDSpain. Segunda Division
- 24.10.2024Levante UD2:1Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. Segunda Division
- 27.01.2018Deportivo de A Coruna2:2Levante UDSpain. La Liga
- 26.08.2017Levante UD2:2Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
- 19.03.2016Deportivo de A Coruna2:1Levante UDSpain. La Liga
Pre-match comments rather than outside verdicts
The supplied pre-match comments come from the two coaches.
Our Prediction
Our selection is Total Over (2) 1.44. Deportivo de A Coruna and Levante UD are producing a high combined goal rate this season: the hosts average 2.88 total goals per league match, while Levante average 3.71. Deportivo have scored in 7 of 8 league games and conceded in all 8; Levante have scored 11 times and allowed 15 in 7 matches. Their recent results support an open game: Deportivo’s last five finished with 16 total goals, and Levante’s with 23.
The line is also supported by the recent scoring pattern. Deportivo’s last five matches included at least two goals in four games, while Levante reached that mark in four of five. The visitors’ away record is less productive, with one goal scored across four league trips, but their defence has conceded six there. Deportivo’s absences include Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Zakaria Eddahchouri, Marc Casado and suspended Lorenzo Amatucci; Levante will be without Carl Etta Eyong, Hugo Sotelo and Alex Primo. A likely score is 2:1.
Conclusion
Total Over (2) 1.44 is the preferred bet. Both teams combine frequent defensive concessions with recent matches containing two or more goals, leaving a clear route to at least a push and a strong chance of three goals.
FAQ
When does Deportivo de A Coruna — Levante UD kick off?
The match starts on 16.10.2026 at 15:00 (New York), Riazor (La Coruna).
What is the prediction for Deportivo de A Coruna — Levante UD?
Our pick is Total Over (2) at 1.44.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Deportivo de A Coruna win — 45%, draw — 27%, Levante UD win — 27%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Real Sociedadaway2:3
- Portohome1:3
- Penafielaway2:2
- Real Betishome1:1
- Sevillahome0:1
- Sevillahome3:3
- Villarrealaway1:3
- Barcelonahome2:4
- Malagaaway0:0
- Real Betishome5:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo de A Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 25.01.2025Deportivo de A Coruna1:2Levante UDSpain. Segunda Division
- 24.10.2024Levante UD2:1Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. Segunda Division
- 27.01.2018Deportivo de A Coruna2:2Levante UDSpain. La Liga
- 26.08.2017Levante UD2:2Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
- 19.03.2016Deportivo de A Coruna2:1Levante UDSpain. La Liga
About the match
- 16 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Riazor (La Coruna)
Odds
Odds updated 14.10 17:10
A modest home lean in a balanced goals market
Deportivo are the 1X2 favourites at a margin-free probability of 45.5%, short of an outright majority. The draw is assessed at 27.3% and an away win at 27.2%. All listed lines have remained broadly unchanged over the past 24 hours, with no reported shift towards either side.
The Over/Under market is almost evenly divided, with Under at 50.3%. BTTS is assessed at 54.1%. That separates the likelihood of each team scoring from the likelihood of a high total: Deportivo's frequent scoring exchanges and Levante's low away output pull in different directions. The season samples remain small.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (2)
- Current odds
- 1.44
- Odds at prediction
- 1.43
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.44
- Potential win
- 44 $
- Status
- pending