La Liga Prediction: Espanyol Take On Deportivo de A Coruna
Espanyol
Deportivo de A CorunaEspanyol host Deportivo de A Coruna at RCDE Stadium in the twelfth round of La Liga. The teams are separated by three points in the table: Deportivo occupy eighth place with 14 points, while Athletic Bilbao occupy seventh place, and Espanyol are fourteenth with 11. Espanyol need to close the gap to the mid-table group, while Deportivo can consolidate their position above the lower half.
Espanyol: a home side adapting under a new coach
Espanyol have taken one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding eight. They scored in four of those fixtures and kept one clean sheet, in the latest match, a win away to Villarreal. Before that result, the team lost three matches in succession, including a home defeat to Atletico Madrid and a seven-goal Copa del Rey match against Sestao River Club. Their league home record is weak: one win, one draw and three defeats, with six goals scored and seven conceded.
Strengths, weaknesses and squad context
- Espanyol have scored in four of their last five matches and produced six goals across that sequence.
- The league attack averages 1.18 goals per match, while seven of eleven league games featured BTTS.
- Only three league matches ended with a clean sheet, and the home record includes three defeats from five games.
- Bryan Zaragoza, Leandro Cabrera and Eduardo Exposito Jaen have each scored once in the tournament; Zaragoza also has one assist.
Eder Sarabia replaced Manolo Gonzalez on November 2 and introduced a possession-oriented philosophy with two-a-day training sessions. That change leaves limited preparation time before this fixture, although the victory at Villarreal has eased pressure around the squad.
- Villarrealaway1:0
- Sestao River Clubaway3:4
- Racing de Santanderaway1:2
- Atletico Madridhome0:1
- Malagaaway1:1
Deportivo: greater stability, but no defensive shutouts
Deportivo de A Coruna enter the match after two consecutive wins, against Auriense Cented in the cup and Osasuna in the league. Across their last five games they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring eight and conceding six. They found the net in four of those matches and also conceded in four. Away from home in the league, their record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with seven goals scored and eight allowed.
Attacking output against a vulnerable defensive record
- Deportivo average 1.36 league goals per match, higher than Espanyol’s figure.
- BTTS landed in nine of their eleven league fixtures, the highest relevant frequency in this matchup.
- The team have kept no league clean sheets, despite conceding 14 goals overall.
- Mario Soriano and Bil Nsongo lead the tournament scoring chart for the club with two goals each; Luismi Cruz has one assist.
Deportivo sit eighth with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded, giving them a better points position but no defensive margin. Mark Casado is out with a shoulder fracture, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is unavailable because of a meniscus injury, and Bright Ede is sidelined with a hamstring problem.
- Osasunahome2:1
- Auriense Centedaway3:0
- Atletico Madridaway0:1
- Levante UDhome1:1
- Real Sociedadaway2:3
Head-to-head
- 23.02.2018Deportivo de A Coruna0:0EspanyolSpain. La Liga
- 24.09.2017Espanyol4:1Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
- 07.05.2017Deportivo de A Coruna1:2EspanyolSpain. La Liga
- 06.01.2017Espanyol1:1Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
- 20.02.2016Espanyol1:0Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
Team news and competitive factors
Sarabia’s appointment is the central Espanyol storyline. The emphasis on ball control and intensified training suggests an attempt to change the team’s rhythm quickly, but the tactical transition is still at an early stage. The win at Villarreal gives the hosts a recent positive reference, though their home league results remain the weaker part of the profile.
Deportivo arrive with stronger short-term momentum after two wins in a row, yet the absences of Casado, Aubameyang and Ede reduce available depth. The club’s season-long record already shows that defensive protection has been unreliable.
Our pick: a home goal
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) 1.26. Espanyol have scored six goals in five home league games, while Deportivo have conceded eight in five away fixtures. The visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet in 11 league matches this season. That makes a single home goal a more focused target than backing Espanyol to win: the bet does not require the hosts to contain Deportivo’s attack.
According to media reports, Deportivo will be without Marc Casado, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Bright Ede through injury. Those absences reduce their selection options, although they should not all be treated as defensive losses. Espanyol’s home record of one win in five also limits confidence in a stronger result-based call; their six goals in five home league games support the narrower goal requirement. A possible score is 1-1.
Final verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) 1.26 is our selection: Deportivo’s season-long lack of league clean sheets is the clearest argument for Espanyol to score, without needing a home victory.
FAQ
When does Espanyol — Deportivo de A Coruna kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 10:15 (New York), RCDE Stadium (Barcelona).
What is the prediction for Espanyol — Deportivo de A Coruna?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) at 1.26.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Espanyol win — 41%, draw — 29%, Deportivo de A Coruna win — 31%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Villarrealaway1:0
- Sestao River Clubaway3:4
- Racing de Santanderaway1:2
- Atletico Madridhome0:1
- Malagaaway1:1
- Osasunahome2:1
- Auriense Centedaway3:0
- Atletico Madridaway0:1
- Levante UDhome1:1
- Real Sociedadaway2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo de A Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 23.02.2018Deportivo de A Coruna0:0EspanyolSpain. La Liga
- 24.09.2017Espanyol4:1Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
- 07.05.2017Deportivo de A Coruna1:2EspanyolSpain. La Liga
- 06.01.2017Espanyol1:1Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
- 20.02.2016Espanyol1:0Deportivo de A CorunaSpain. La Liga
About the match
- 7 November · 10:15 New York
- Venue: RCDE Stadium (Barcelona)
- Weather: 17° · precip. 5% · wind 1.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 10:30
Market view and goal-line balance
The 1X2 market makes Espanyol the narrow home favourite, assigning the hosts a 40.6% chance, compared with 28.7% for a draw and 30.7% for an away win. The line has shown no noticeable movement over the last day, so the market is not reacting to a late change in expectation. The gap between the three outcomes is modest rather than decisive.
The goals market leans slightly toward Under 2.5 at 52.8%, while Over 2.5 stands at 47.2%. BTTS Yes is marginally preferred at 53.1%. That balance reflects two competing signals: Espanyol have produced six goals in their last five, and Deportivo have scored eight, but the league totals point to moderate scoring, with Deportivo recording Over 2.5 in four of eleven matches. The BTTS tendency is stronger than the high-total tendency because Deportivo have seen both teams score in nine league games, while neither side has a convincing clean-sheet profile.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (0.5)
- Current odds
- 1.26
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
