SKA Saint Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow Prediction: KHL Analysis
SKA Saint Petersburg
Spartak MoscowMore picks
- Period 2: No draw 1.4 pending
SKA Saint Petersburg hosts Spartak Moscow at SKA Arena in a Bobrov Division matchup with different positions in the table at stake. Spartak is second with 30 points from 24 games, one point behind Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod, while SKA has 23 points from 22 games and sits eighth in the conference. SKA needs home points to close the gap, while Spartak is protecting its position near the division lead.
SKA Saint Petersburg: unstable results and a vulnerable defence
SKA has taken two wins and three losses in its last five games. The team scored in four matches and allowed at least one goal in all five. At home, SKA lost to CSKA Moscow and Torpedo. Away, it beat Ak Bars and Amur but lost 0:4 to Admiral. The latest result was a 3:2 win over Amur on November 6.
Where the home side gains and loses
- SKA has scored 65 goals in 22 league games, matching Spartak’s total despite playing fewer matches.
- SKA has conceded 67 goals, compared with 49 by Spartak.
- SKA has conceded in five consecutive matches, making defensive play without the puck its clearest weakness.
The recent results instead point to defensive consistency as the key concern.
- Amur Khabarovskaway3:2
- Admiral Vladivostokaway0:4
- Ak Bars Kazanaway4:3
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodhome3:4
- CSKA Moscowhome1:3
Spartak Moscow: productive attack with defensive absences
Spartak also has two wins and three losses in its last five matches. The Moscow side scored in all five games and allowed goals in all five. Away, it lost 2:3 to Severstal, then beat Severstal 5:1, before falling 1:3 to Torpedo. At home, Spartak lost 1:4 to Lokomotiv before beating Dinamo Minsk 5:3.
Attack depth versus a shortened defence
- Spartak has scored 65 goals in 24 league games.
- The attack has scored in five straight games, producing 14 goals in that span.
- Defenceman Daniil Orlov will miss the game after a serious back injury and surgery.
- Christian Jaroš is also unavailable because of an injury sustained against Dinamo Minsk.
Ivan Fedotov has a cold and his participation in Saint Petersburg remains undecided. No save percentage for Fedotov or another expected goaltender is supplied. Spartak head coach Alexey Zhamnov also pointed to the physical difficulty of playing three games in four days after the recent dense schedule.
- Dinamo Minskhome5:3
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhome1:4
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway1:3
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway5:1
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway2:3
Recent head-to-head pattern favours Spartak
Across 15 official meetings in the last five years, SKA has won six and Spartak nine; there were no draws. In the last eight meetings, SKA won once and lost seven times. Spartak scored 29 goals in those games, while SKA scored 10.
The most recent meeting ended 3:1 for Spartak on September 10, 2026. In the six listed meetings hosted by SKA, the home side recorded one win and five losses, scoring five goals and conceding 21. The venue record is worse than the overall series balance.
- 10.09.2026Spartak Moscow3:1SKA Saint PetersburgKontinental Hockey League
- 30.01.2026Spartak Moscow4:0SKA Saint PetersburgKontinental Hockey League
- 22.01.2026SKA Saint Petersburg1:2Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 20.12.2025SKA Saint Petersburg1:2Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 03.10.2025Spartak Moscow3:1SKA Saint PetersburgKontinental Hockey League
Team news adds pressure to Spartak’s blue line
SKA coach Andrei Razin said there was no panic despite the team’s eighth place. The victory over Amur ended the Far Eastern trip after the 0:4 loss to Admiral, highlighting the volatility of SKA’s recent scorelines.
For Spartak, the confirmed issue is the absence of defencemen Orlov and Jaroš. Fedotov’s illness could affect the goaltending plan. Zhamnov has spoken about the strain of three games in four days and criticised individual mistakes after the Minsk game, although he praised the team’s third-period response. No further confirmed injuries, suspensions or final lineups are included.
Line-ups
SKA Saint Petersburg
Substitutes: 73. Artemi Pleshkov, 78. German Suzdorf
Coach: Andrei Razin
Spartak Moscow
Substitutes: 35. Evgeny Volokhin, 99. Egor Filin
Coach: Alexei Zhamnov
Our Forecast
Our selection is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.35. SKA scored in only four of its last five matches and was held scoreless in the 0:4 defeat by Admiral. Spartak has scored in all five recent matches, yet Daniil Orlov underwent surgery after a back injury and Kristian Jaroš will miss the game because of injury. The visitors’ weakened defensive rotation can lead to a more conservative opening period.
Spartak won 9 of 15 head-to-head meetings, while the last eight produced only one SKA victory. Spartak won the latest meeting 3:1, and SKA failed to score in two of those eight encounters. The full-match market assigns 15.7% to “Both Teams To Score - No”, but the period-specific selection is supported by the cautious expected start and SKA’s uneven attack. Probable score after 20 minutes: 0:0.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.35 is the preferred play. The strongest scenario is a restrained opening period with one side unable to score before the first intermission.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Amur Khabarovskaway3:2
- Admiral Vladivostokaway0:4
- Ak Bars Kazanaway4:3
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodhome3:4
- CSKA Moscowhome1:3
- Dinamo Minskhome5:3
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhome1:4
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway1:3
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway5:1
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway2:3
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | 22 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 62:46 | 31 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 65:49 | 30 |
| 5 | Shanghai Dragons | 22 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 66:54 | 30 |
| 6 | Severstal Cherepovets | 24 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 55:54 | 28 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 56:68 | 25 |
| 8 | SKA Saint Petersburg | 22 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 65:67 | 23 |
| 9 | Dinamo Minsk | 24 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 56:74 | 23 |
Head-to-head
- 10.09.2026Spartak Moscow3:1SKA Saint PetersburgKontinental Hockey League
- 30.01.2026Spartak Moscow4:0SKA Saint PetersburgKontinental Hockey League
- 22.01.2026SKA Saint Petersburg1:2Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 20.12.2025SKA Saint Petersburg1:2Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 03.10.2025Spartak Moscow3:1SKA Saint PetersburgKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 9 November · 11:30 New York
- Venue: SKA Arena (Saint Petersburg)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market balance and goal-line movement
The 1X2 market is close to balanced: SKA has a 40.5% win probability, Spartak 37.3%, and the draw 22.2%. The home edge is narrow, with no notable movement during the last 24 hours. Venue and schedule context support SKA slightly, while the head-to-head record and table position prevent a clear separation.
The total-goals market leans toward Under 5.5 at 55.8%, while Over 5.5 is assessed at 44.2%; the Over line is moving downward in price. BTTS Yes carries an 84.3% probability and has remained stable. Both teams have scored frequently and conceded in every listed recent game, while the lower total expectation points to a tight margin rather than a guaranteed high-scoring contest.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.35
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 69%
- Market estimate
- 69%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.35
- Potential win
- 35 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.35
- Status
- pending
