KHL Match Prediction: CSKA Moscow vs Sibir Novosibirsk
CSKA Moscow
Sibir NovosibirskMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.3 pending
- Period 3: Not: CSKA Moscow win and total over 1.5 1.33 pending
CSKA Moscow hosts Sibir Novosibirsk at CSKA Arena in a meeting between the Western Conference leader and a team near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. CSKA defends first place with 35 points, while Sibir has 22 points after 25 games and trails conference leader Metallurg Magnitogorsk by 16 points. Sibir needs points, but recent results and home ice create a clear structural imbalance.
CSKA Moscow: strong run with one warning sign
CSKA has won four of its last five games. The sequence included a 5:1 home win over Traktor, a 3:1 victory at SKA and a 7:3 away success against Metallurg. The only setback came in Omsk on 5 November, when CSKA lost 1:2 to Avangard. The team scored and conceded in all five matches: its attack is reliable, while defensive control has been less consistent.
What drives the hosts
- Four wins in five matches.
- At least three goals in four of those five games.
- Scoring in every recent match, including away games against strong opponents.
- Conceding in all five matches, with 3 and 2 goals allowed in the two most recent road games.
CSKA has the stronger recent attacking profile and enters the game after three straight wins before the narrow loss in Omsk. Igor Nikitin said the team played for victory but failed to finish the game, although CSKA still collected a point. His comments focus on execution rather than a tactical reset.
Goalkeeping and special teams
Save percentages for the CSKA goaltenders are unavailable, and no verified starting goalie is named. Power-play efficiency and penalty-killing figures are also unavailable, so the special-teams edge cannot be quantified.
- Avangard Omskaway1:2
- Metallurg Magnitogorskaway7:3
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway3:2
- Traktor Chelyabinskhome5:1
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway3:1
Sibir Novosibirsk: competitive attack, unstable defence
Sibir has taken two wins and three losses in its last five matches. The team beat Metallurg 5:2 and Ak Bars 3:1 at home, but lost 1:2 to Traktor, 1:3 to Neftekhimik and 3:4 to Avangard. Sibir has scored and conceded in each of those five games, creating an open profile that produces goals but rarely protects a lead comfortably.
Risks in the visitors’ structure
- Three defeats in the last five matches.
- Only 57 goals scored in 25 league games.
- 73 goals conceded, the weakest defensive total among the listed Eastern Conference teams.
- Two away losses in the recent sequence, including the latest defeat in Omsk.
The latest 3:4 loss to Avangard came on 7 November, leaving Sibir with a short turnaround before the trip to Moscow. Taylor Beck left the club on 6 November and will not play. Cedric Paquette is reported ready to return, but the complete projected lineup is not supplied. No other confirmed injuries or suspensions are stated.
Goaltending, power play and penalty kill
Sibir’s goaltender save percentage is unavailable, and the starting netminder is unknown. Power-play and penalty-kill percentages are also absent. The defensive results show the central problem: 73 goals in the season, while the attack has scored in every recent outing.
Schedule and travel load
Sibir played in Omsk on 7 November and now travels to Moscow for the 9 November start, leaving a short recovery window. CSKA last played on 5 November, so the hosts have had more rest. Exact travel distances and flight details are unavailable, but the calendar timing favours CSKA’s preparation.
- Avangard Omskaway3:4
- Ak Bars Kazanhome3:1
- Neftekhimikhome1:3
- Metallurg Magnitogorskhome5:2
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway1:2
Head-to-head record favours CSKA
Across eight official meetings in the last five years, CSKA has won six and Sibir two. The Moscow side scored 32 goals in those games and conceded 17. The most recent meeting ended with a 3:2 Sibir win in March, but the previous CSKA home meeting finished 4:0, and the hosts also recorded an 8:2 victory in Moscow in the earlier series.
The previous meetings include several high-scoring results, while the latest meeting ended with a 3:2 Sibir win.
- 16.03.2026Sibir Novosibirsk3:2CSKA MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 08.11.2025CSKA Moscow4:0Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 19.01.2025Sibir Novosibirsk3:4CSKA MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 10.09.2024CSKA Moscow8:2Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 22.02.2024CSKA Moscow4:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
Team news and motivation
Nikitin’s post-game assessment after the Avangard match focused on unfinished work despite a playoff-level performance noted by Prokhor Poltapov. CSKA remains first in the Western Conference after a three-game winning run, so the dropped point in Omsk adds competitive motivation.
Sibir’s staff highlighted the desire to play on its own terms after the comeback win over Ak Bars. The subsequent overtime loss to Avangard still brought no points, and the team remains close to the bottom of its conference. Paquette’s return can improve the forward group, while Beck’s departure removes an established attacking option. No further verified news is supplied.
Line-ups
CSKA Moscow
Substitutes: 33. Dmitri Gamzin
Coach: Igor Nikitin
Sibir Novosibirsk
Substitutes: 1. Mikhail Berdin, 86. Ilya Luzenkov
Coach: Yaroslav Lyzenkov
Our Forecast
CSKA Moscow hosts Sibir Novosibirsk at CSKA Arena with first place in the Western Conference at stake. The recommended bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3. CSKA has won four of its last five games and leads the conference with 35 points. Sibir has lost three of its last five and sits near the bottom of the Eastern Conference with 22 points.
CSKA has scored in all five recent matches, while Sibir has conceded in each of them. CSKA has won six of eight official meetings with Sibir, outscoring them 32-17. Sibir lost Taylor Beck on 6 November, reducing its attacking depth. Cedric Paquette is reportedly ready to return, but the lineup change may limit cohesion. CSKA also needs a strong response after dropping a point in Omsk while protecting first place.
Most likely score after the opening period: 1:0 to CSKA Moscow.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3 is the selection. CSKA’s six wins in eight meetings, stronger recent form and higher conference position support an opening period with at least one team scoreless.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Avangard Omskaway1:2
- Metallurg Magnitogorskaway7:3
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway3:2
- Traktor Chelyabinskhome5:1
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway3:1
- Avangard Omskaway3:4
- Ak Bars Kazanhome3:1
- Neftekhimikhome1:3
- Metallurg Magnitogorskhome5:2
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway1:2
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 24 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 64:39 | 35 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 23 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 74:44 | 35 |
| 3 | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | 22 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 62:46 | 31 |
Head-to-head
- 16.03.2026Sibir Novosibirsk3:2CSKA MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 08.11.2025CSKA Moscow4:0Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 19.01.2025Sibir Novosibirsk3:4CSKA MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 10.09.2024CSKA Moscow8:2Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 22.02.2024CSKA Moscow4:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 9 November · 11:30 New York
- Venue: CSKA Arena (Moscow)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal totals
CSKA is the clear 1X2 favourite, with the market assigning a 64.6% probability to a home win. The draw is priced by probability at 20.3%, while Sibir is given 15.2%. The line has shown no meaningful movement during the last 24 hours, indicating stable confidence rather than a late reaction to new information.
The goals market leans toward Over 4.5 at 57.2%, with Under 4.5 at 42.8%. BTTS Yes reaches 78.7%, matching the fact that both teams scored in all of their last five games. The recent results for both teams include multiple goals, while the lack of movement suggests the market already reflects these trends.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.27
- Odds at prediction
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.27
- Status
- pending
