KHL Match Prediction: Ak Bars Kazan vs Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
Ak Bars Kazan
Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.35 pending
Ak Bars Kazan hosts Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod at TatNeft Arena in a Kontinental Hockey League regular-season game. The matchup has direct standings value: Ak Bars is eighth in the Eastern Conference with 24 points, while Torpedo leads the conference with 31. The hosts have lost three straight games; the visitors have won their last two.
Ak Bars Kazan: defensive collapse under pressure
Recent form and home profile
Ak Bars has won once in its last five games. The team scored in four of those matches but allowed goals in all five. At home, the recent sequence includes a 0:4 loss to Avangard, a 3:1 win over Amur and a 3:4 loss to SKA. Away from Kazan, Ak Bars lost to Sibir and Traktor. In the latest setback, Ak Bars led Traktor 3:1 but lost 3:5 after a collapse in the final period.
Strengths, weaknesses and available lineup
- It was shut out by Avangard in its first listed recent game and scored in the four games that followed.
- The current run is three defeats.
Artyom Galimov is unavailable because of injury, leaving the roster shorter. Yegor Sokolov is listed as questionable. The captaincy was transferred from Alexey Marchenko to Albert Yarullin after a disciplinary incident involving a missed team dinner. Coach Anvar Gatiyatulin has repeatedly pointed to poor finishing and preventable goals. Goaltender save percentages, confirmed special-teams units and the final line combinations are not available.
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway3:5
- Sibir Novosibirskaway1:3
- SKA Saint Petersburghome3:4
- Amur Khabarovskhome3:1
- Avangard Omskhome0:4
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod: higher attacking stability
Form, scoring rhythm and defensive risks
Torpedo has taken three wins in its last five games. It has scored and conceded in every match of that sequence, giving the attack a reliable output while leaving the defense vulnerable. The visitors won at SKA and then beat Spartak and Dynamo at home. Their latest result was a 4:3 victory over Dynamo, following a 3:1 win against Spartak.
Roster changes and tactical profile
Victor Fyodorov left for the Russian junior national team and will not play. Kirill Svishchyov is injured; Andrei Belevich moves into the fourth line, while Michael Vecchione is listed in the second line. Coach Alexey Isakov said Torpedo controlled the first two periods against Dynamo but retreated too deeply in the third, allowing the opponent back into the game. That weakness matters against an Ak Bars side that has created scoring bursts despite defensive breakdowns. Torpedo’s goaltender save percentage and confirmed power-play and penalty-killing rates are unavailable.
- Dynamo Moscowhome4:3
- Spartak Moscowhome3:1
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgaway2:3
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway4:3
- Dinamo Minskhome1:2
Head-to-head record favors a close scoring contest
Across 11 official meetings over the last five years, Ak Bars has five wins and Torpedo six, with no draws. Torpedo has won the last two meetings, including a 2:1 victory at Kazan in October. The eight listed encounters produced 47 total goals, an average of 5.875 per game, and both teams scored in seven of them.
Ak Bars has scored at least two goals in five of those eight meetings, while Torpedo reached three goals in five. The series combines a narrow overall balance with recurring goals at both ends, rather than a consistent home advantage.
- 21.10.2026Ak Bars Kazan1:2Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 14.09.2026Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod3:2Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 21.02.2026Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod3:2Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 12.02.2026Ak Bars Kazan4:3Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 11.02.2025Ak Bars Kazan1:5Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
Team news and the psychological background
Ak Bars is dealing with the absence of Galimov and Sokolov’s questionable status, while the change of captaincy adds another internal storyline during a poor stretch. Gatiyatulin described the current period as difficult and stressed preparation for playoff competitiveness, while acknowledging that the team has been less effective in key segments.
Torpedo enters the game after two wins and has adjusted its lines around the departures of Fyodorov and Svishchyov. Isakov’s comments identify the third-period retreat as a psychological and tactical weakness. No further injuries, suspensions or confirmed full lineups are included.
Line-ups
Ak Bars Kazan
Substitutes: 20. Maxim Arefyev
Coach: Anvar Gatiyatulin
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
Substitutes: 61. Alexei Yakovlev, 72. Denis Kostin
Coach: Alexey Isakov
First-period prediction
Our pick for Ak Bars Kazan against Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.32. Ak Bars enters on three straight defeats, while Torpedo has won two in a row. That contrast favors a scenario in which the visitors establish their attack before the hosts find a response, rather than both teams scoring early.
Artyom Galimov’s injury reduces Kazan’s attacking options, and Anvar Gatiyatulin’s call for better finishing makes the hosts’ early scoring the weaker part of a first-period scoring exchange. Torpedo’s absences of Viktor Fyodorov and Kirill Svishchyov also require lineup adjustments. These are reasons to prefer a limited opening-period bet, not to predict a low-scoring game throughout. A possible first-period score is 0:1.
Betting verdict
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.32 is our selection: it needs only one attack to remain scoreless at the first break. The case rests chiefly on Kazan’s finishing concerns, rather than confidence in either defense.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway3:5
- Sibir Novosibirskaway1:3
- SKA Saint Petersburghome3:4
- Amur Khabarovskhome3:1
- Avangard Omskhome0:4
- Dynamo Moscowhome4:3
- Spartak Moscowhome3:1
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgaway2:3
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway4:3
- Dinamo Minskhome1:2
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Traktor Chelyabinsk | 24 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 52:60 | 24 |
| 10 | Ak Bars Kazan | 25 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 55:61 | 24 |
| 11 | Sibir Novosibirsk | 25 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 57:73 | 22 |
Head-to-head
- 21.10.2026Ak Bars Kazan1:2Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 14.09.2026Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod3:2Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 21.02.2026Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod3:2Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 12.02.2026Ak Bars Kazan4:3Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 11.02.2025Ak Bars Kazan1:5Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 9 November · 11:00 New York
- Venue: TatNeft Arena (Kazan)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal lines
The 1X2 market gives Ak Bars narrow home-favorite status, with the home-win probability at 41.4%, compared with 35.9% for Torpedo and 22.7% for a draw. The gap is small, so the market reflects home ice more than a clear advantage in current form. The line has shown no notable movement over the last day.
The goal market leans toward Over 4.5 at 55.8%, while Under 4.5 is assessed at 44.2%. BTTS is rated at 82.7%. That assessment matches the recent scoring records: Ak Bars conceded in every last-five game, Torpedo scored in every one, and the recent head-to-head series frequently produced goals from both sides. There has been no notable movement in the total or BTTS lines.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.3
- Odds at prediction
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 71%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.3
- Potential win
- 30 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.3
- Status
- pending
