Las Palmas vs Eldense Prediction: Segunda Division Preview
Las Palmas
EldenseMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.29 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (6) 1.4 pending
Las Palmas host Eldense at Gran Canaria in the thirteenth round of Spain’s Segunda Division. The hosts are thirteenth with 17 points; Eldense are fifteenth with 14. Three points separate the sides as both look to move away from the bottom positions.
Las Palmas: momentum improved, defensive margin remains thin
Las Palmas have won their last four matches after losing to Castellon: a 1:0 home win over Real Sociedad II, two Copa del Rey victories against RSD Alcalá and, most recently, a 3:2 away win over Real Oviedo. Across those five games, they scored 9 and conceded 6, scoring in four and keeping two clean sheets. Their league record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, with 17 goals scored and 21 conceded.
Home profile and available players
At home, Las Palmas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 8 in 6 fixtures. BTTS occurred in 7 of 12 league matches, and totals were above the usual goal line in 8. Their 4 league clean sheets contrast with an average of 1.75 goals conceded per game; their scoring average is 1.42.
Sandro Ramírez, Sergio Ruiz, Viti Rosada and Enrique Clemente are injured and unavailable. Valentin Pezzolesi and Ivan Pajuelo each have a goal and an assist in five league appearances; Jese Rodriguez Ruiz has one goal in four.
Eldense: away victories exist, but scoring resources are reduced
Eldense have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last five matches, including a 3:2 win at Valladolid and an away cup victory over Atlético Baleares. They failed to score in defeats to Albacete and Granada, the latter a 0:2 home loss in their latest fixture. Across those five matches, Eldense scored 6 and conceded 7, scoring in three and conceding in four.
Road record and squad situation
Eldense’s league record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded—averages of 1.08 and 1.42 respectively. In 6 away matches, they have 2 wins and 4 defeats, scoring 4 goals and conceding 9. BTTS occurred in 5 of their 12 league matches, totals exceeded the usual goal line in 6, and they kept only 2 clean sheets.
Jorge Rastrojo Moro leads the team with three goals in five appearances; Aingeru Olabarrieta Capelo has two goals and one assist in five. Main forward David Ruiz and Mariano Carmona are ruled out, while Guillermo Macho and Cabanes are doubts. Justin Smith returns after suspension to reinforce the defence.
Coach Xavi Calleja called for fewer goals conceded and identified set pieces as a weakness, while rating the players’ attitude as “ten”. The absence of main forward David Ruiz reduces his finishing options.
Team news and competitive context
Las Palmas are level on points with twelfth-placed Sabadell; Eldense are one point above sixteenth-placed Celta Fortuna. The hosts have the higher league position and home advantage, but a negative home goal balance.
Before kick-off
No further results or table changes have been confirmed ahead of kick-off. Las Palmas are without Sandro Ramirez, Sergio Ruiz, Viti Rozada and Enrique Clemente. Eldense regain defender Justin Smith after suspension, but David Ruiz and Mariano Carmona are unavailable; Guillermo Macho and Cabanes remain doubtful. Confirmed starting line-ups are not available.
Eldense arrived on the island on 7 November. Javi Calleja has identified defending set pieces as a weakness, so Smith’s return matters, although it does not resolve the absences in attack.
Our selection and its limits
Our bet is Handicap 1 (0) 1.46. Eldense have lost four of six league away games, scoring just 4 goals and conceding 9. That limited attacking return, with two forwards unavailable, makes the hosts the stronger side to back with protection against a draw.
The protection is important: Las Palmas have only two wins from six home league fixtures, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their recent winning run therefore should not be treated as proof of reliable home superiority. The visitors have kept only two clean sheets in twelve league matches, though, leaving a route to a narrow home victory rather than requiring a large winning margin. Predicted score: 2:1.
Final betting view
Handicap 1 (0) 1.46 backs Las Palmas to exploit Eldense’s away vulnerability while returning the stake if the match ends level. A home defeat remains the losing outcome.
FAQ
When does Las Palmas — Eldense kick off?
The match starts on 09.11.2026 at 14:30 (New York), Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria).
What is the prediction for Las Palmas — Eldense?
Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.46.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Las Palmas win — 48%, draw — 27%, Eldense win — 25%.
Chances by market estimate
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:25 | 13 |
About the match
- 9 November · 14:30 New York
- Venue: Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria), Las-Palʹmas-de-Gran-Kanariya
- Weather: 23° · precip. 15% · wind 1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 09.11 12:00
How the market prices the matchup
The home win is favoured at an estimated 46.2% probability, with the line moving toward Las Palmas over the last twenty-four hours. The draw is assessed at 27.1%, with movement away from that outcome. Eldense have a 26.8% probability, with no notable movement. Las Palmas are favourites, but their chance remains below half.
Over 2.5 has a 55.7% probability and is gaining support; BTTS Yes stands at 59.3% and is also attracting money. Both defences’ concession rates support the goals markets, but Eldense’s low away scoring return and the absence of main forward David Ruiz weaken the case for BTTS.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.46
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.46
- Potential win
- 46 $
- Status
- pending
