Elversberg vs Augsburg: Bundesliga Match Prediction
Elversberg
AugsburgMatch result
Elversberg 4:3 Augsburg (3:1, 1:2)
In the Germany. Bundesliga match, Elversberg faced Augsburg, with the final score ending 4:3 (3:1, 1:2 by periods). Our betting prediction for this fixture was Both Teams To Score - Yes, and the bet won as both sides found the net.
Our prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.37 — the bet won.
Elversberg host Augsburg at the Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde on 17 October in Bundesliga round six. The hosts are ninth, while their visitors are sixth. Augsburg have scored 13 league goals and Elversberg eight, while both teams have conceded eight.
Elversberg: attacking momentum has faded
Recent results and home returns
Elversberg’s last five matches produced one win, one draw and three defeats, including a friendly loss at Waldhof Mannheim. In the league, they followed a 4:3 win at Borussia Monchengladbach with a 1:2 defeat against Bayern Munich, a goalless draw at Schalke and a 0:1 loss at Union Berlin.
Scoring strengths and defensive gaps
Elversberg have one win and one defeat from two home league fixtures, scoring four and conceding four. Their scoring average of 1.6 goals per game contrasts with their recent attacking returns. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in three of five league matches, with just one clean sheet. The sample remains limited to five fixtures.
Availability and selection
Cole Campbell is out after an injury in training, Francis Onyeka is also injured, and Jan Gyamera is doubtful. Vincent Wagner has fewer options as he tries to revive the attack.
- Union Berlinaway0:1
- Waldhof Mannheimaway1:2
- Schalke 04away0:0
- Bayern Munichhome1:2
- Borussia Monchengladbachaway4:3
Augsburg: scoring regularly, conceding too often
Form across the latest five games
Augsburg followed a 4:1 win at Eintracht Frankfurt with a 2:2 draw against Bayer Leverkusen and a 2:3 defeat at Werder Bremen. A friendly against Hertha BSC and the subsequent league meeting with Bayern both finished 2:2. Across those five games, Augsburg recorded one win, three draws and one defeat, scoring and conceding in every match.
Away output and goal patterns
Augsburg have one away win and one away defeat, with six goals scored and four conceded. They average 2.6 league goals per match, and all five league fixtures have finished Over 2.5 goals. BTTS has occurred in four of five, with one clean sheet. Despite their scoring rate, Augsburg have taken eight points from five games.
Missing players and a return to training
Noahkai Banks is absent with a knee injury and Alexis Claude-Maurice with a thigh muscle injury. Steve Mounie and Sima Suso will also miss the match. Marius Wolf has recovered from illness and resumed full training.
- Bayern Munichhome2:2
- Hertha BSChome2:2
- Werder Bremenaway2:3
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenhome2:2
- Eintracht Frankfurtaway4:1
Head-to-head
- 07.08.2015Elversberg1:3AugsburgGermany DFB Pokal
- 29.04.2006Elversberg1:1AugsburgGermany. Regionalliga. South
- 29.10.2005Augsburg1:1ElversbergGermany. Regionalliga. South
- 22.03.2005Elversberg0:1AugsburgRegionalliga. South
- 07.08.2004Augsburg2:2ElversbergRegionalliga. South
Coaches focus on the next contest
Wagner described Augsburg as a serious challenge and joked about trying to kick the ball farther than Manuel Neuer. Manuel Baum urged Augsburg not to use their previous match as a reference point and to maintain concentration against Elversberg. His warning followed the draw with Bayern, not a victory.
Line-ups
Elversberg
Starting XI: 7. Maurice Krattenmacher, 8. Lukasz Poreba, 10. Noah Darvich, 19. Lukas Pinckert, 20. Nicolas Kristof, 21. Lasse Gunther, 25. Lukas Petkov, 30. Jan Gyamerah, 31. Maximilian Rohr, 42. David Mokwa Ntusu, 43. Felix Keidel
Substitutes: 2. Nicholas Mickelson, 3. Florian Le Joncour, 6. Amara Conde, 9. Noel Futkeu, 15. Адам Раиф, 17. Frederik Schmahl, 24. Luca Schnellbacher, 26. Luca Sirch, 28. Tim Boss
Coach: Vincent Wagner
Augsburg
Starting XI: 1. Finn Dahmen, 2. Calvin Brackelmann, 4. Han-Noah Massengo, 5. Chrislain Matsima, 9. Rodrigo Ribeiro, 16. Hennes Behrens, 19. Robin Fellhauer, 21. Arijon Ibrahimovic, 27. Marius Wolf, 32. Fabian Rieder, 35. Abdulai Juma Bah
Substitutes: 6. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, 7. Young-Woo Seol, 10. Mert Komur, 11. Michael Gregoritsch, 14. Yannik Keitel, 22. Nediljko Labrovic, 30. Anton Kade, 37. Tim Schnitzer, 39. Uchenna Ogundu
Coach: Manuel Baum
Our pick: goals at both ends
For Elversberg against Augsburg at the Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde, our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.37. Augsburg have scored 13 goals and conceded eight in five league games: their attacking output supports an away goal, but their defensive record leaves room for a home response.
Both sides scored in all five of Augsburg’s latest matches, although that sequence includes a friendly; their Bundesliga record is four from five. Elversberg’s two home league fixtures have yielded four goals scored and four conceded. Elversberg kept one clean sheet in their latest two league games, drawing 0:0 with Schalke 04 and conceding against Union Berlin, but failing to score in both is also the main risk to this bet. According to media reports, Noahkai Banks is out with a knee injury, reducing Augsburg’s defensive options. A projected 1:1 fits the selection without requiring Elversberg to rediscover their highest-scoring form.
Final verdict
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.37 is the preferred bet, with Augsburg’s scoring and conceding patterns the clearest support. Keep confidence measured: five league games remain a small sample, and Elversberg’s recent blanks matter.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Union Berlinaway0:1
- Waldhof Mannheimaway1:2
- Schalke 04away0:0
- Bayern Munichhome1:2
- Borussia Monchengladbachaway4:3
- Bayern Munichhome2:2
- Hertha BSChome2:2
- Werder Bremenaway2:3
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenhome2:2
- Eintracht Frankfurtaway4:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 07.08.2015Elversberg1:3AugsburgGermany DFB Pokal
- 29.04.2006Elversberg1:1AugsburgGermany. Regionalliga. South
- 29.10.2005Augsburg1:1ElversbergGermany. Regionalliga. South
- 22.03.2005Elversberg0:1AugsburgRegionalliga. South
- 07.08.2004Augsburg2:2ElversbergRegionalliga. South
About the match
- 17 October · 09:30 New York
- Venue: Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A narrow home edge in the market
The margin-free 1X2 probabilities put Elversberg at 38.6%, Augsburg at 36.3% and the draw at 25.1%, leaving little between the teams. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
BTTS is assessed at 67.9%, compared with 54.6% for Under 3.5 goals. Augsburg’s scoring and conceding pattern supports BTTS, but Elversberg’s recent blanks make that bet dependent on an attacking recovery; the high BTTS probability does not imply a four-goal contest.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Odds
- 1.37
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 68%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.37
- Potential win
- 37 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.37
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +37 $
