Bundesliga Prediction: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Augsburg Preview
RasenBallsport Leipzig
AugsburgRasenBallsport Leipzig host Augsburg at Red Bull Arena in the ninth round of the Bundesliga. Leipzig are fourth with 15 points, three behind Bayern Munich; Augsburg are tenth on 9 points.
Leipzig: home strength tested after a European setback
Leipzig have won three of their last five matches. They beat Elversberg and Schalke in the Bundesliga and Rot-Weiss Essen in the cup, before losing their latest match at home to Manchester City. They scored in all five games.
At home in the league, Leipzig have four wins from four, with 18 goals scored and none conceded.
Attack, defensive profile and availability
- Leipzig average 2.75 goals per league match, with totals exceeding 2.5 goals in six of eight fixtures.
- They have kept five league clean sheets, while BTTS landed in only two games.
- Romulo Borges and Christopher Nkunku lead the club’s league scoring with three goals each; Tidiam Gomis has two.
The European defeat exposed defensive weaknesses against high-level opposition.
- Manchester Cityhome2:3
- Schalke 04away2:0
- Rot-Weiss Essenaway2:1
- Elversberghome4:0
- Real Madridaway1:4
Augsburg: productive attack, vulnerable back line
Augsburg have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. They scored and conceded in every game. Recent league results include draws with Bayern Munich and Union Berlin and a defeat by Freiburg.
Away in the Bundesliga, Augsburg have one win and two losses, with 9 goals scored and 8 conceded.
Goals, table context and squad losses
- Augsburg average 2.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per league match.
- BTTS landed in seven of eight league games, and totals exceeded two goals in seven.
- They have kept one league clean sheet.
Michael Gregoritsch, Rodrigo Ribeiro and Han-Noah Massengo have one league goal each. Augsburg’s absences reduce their defensive and attacking options. Their expected XI and tactical shape are unconfirmed.
- Freiburghome1:2
- Sonnenhofaway4:2
- Union Berlinhome1:1
- Elversbergaway3:4
- Bayern Munichhome2:2
Head-to-head record favours the hosts
Leipzig are unbeaten in the last ten official meetings over five years, with six wins and four draws. The most recent eight produced 26 Leipzig goals and 8 for Augsburg. Leipzig won the last four meetings at their own ground, including a two-goal victory with a clean sheet in the latest home fixture.
Augsburg scored in only two of the last eight encounters, while Leipzig scored at least two in six.
- 07.03.2026RasenBallsport Leipzig2:1AugsburgGermany. Bundesliga
- 25.10.2025Augsburg0:6RasenBallsport LeipzigGermany. Bundesliga
- 14.02.2025Augsburg0:0RasenBallsport LeipzigGermany. Bundesliga
- 28.09.2024RasenBallsport Leipzig4:0AugsburgGermany. Bundesliga
- 10.02.2024Augsburg2:2RasenBallsport LeipzigGermany. Bundesliga
Team news and the available match view
Assan Ouédraogo is out for the season after a serious shoulder injury and surgery. Augsburg’s Juma Bah is suspended after a red card. Marius Wolf is ill, Noahkai Banks has a knee ligament tear, Sima Suso is sidelined by a wound and Steve Mounié has an unspecified injury.
Calvin Brackelmann has returned to training after a concussion, with his headaches resolved. His matchday availability and starting status remain unconfirmed.
Prediction
RasenBallsport Leipzig’s home scoring profile is the central reason for the selection. They have scored 18 goals in four Bundesliga matches at Red Bull Arena, while Augsburg have conceded in all five of their latest matches across all competitions. Leipzig have also scored in each of their last five fixtures, including two goals against Manchester City and four against Elversberg.
Augsburg’s defensive options are weakened before the trip: Juma Bah is suspended, while Marius Wolf, Noahkai Banks, Sima Suso and Steve Mounié are unavailable through injuries, according to media reports. Leipzig’s only confirmed major absence is Assan Ouédraogo, who is out for the season. The head-to-head record adds further support: Leipzig are unbeaten in 10 official meetings, winning six, and scored at least two goals in seven of the last eight encounters. Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) за 1.32. The most likely score is 3:1.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) за 1.32 is supported by Leipzig’s 18 home goals, Augsburg’s five-match conceding run and the visitors’ defensive absences.
FAQ
When does RasenBallsport Leipzig — Augsburg kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 09:30 (New York), Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).
What is the prediction for RasenBallsport Leipzig — Augsburg?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.32.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: RasenBallsport Leipzig win — 66%, draw — 18%, Augsburg win — 16%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Manchester Cityhome2:3
- Schalke 04away2:0
- Rot-Weiss Essenaway2:1
- Elversberghome4:0
- Real Madridaway1:4
- Freiburghome1:2
- Sonnenhofaway4:2
- Union Berlinhome1:1
- Elversbergaway3:4
- Bayern Munichhome2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 9 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
Head-to-head
- 07.03.2026RasenBallsport Leipzig2:1AugsburgGermany. Bundesliga
- 25.10.2025Augsburg0:6RasenBallsport LeipzigGermany. Bundesliga
- 14.02.2025Augsburg0:0RasenBallsport LeipzigGermany. Bundesliga
- 28.09.2024RasenBallsport Leipzig4:0AugsburgGermany. Bundesliga
- 10.02.2024Augsburg2:2RasenBallsport LeipzigGermany. Bundesliga
About the match
- 7 November · 09:30 New York
- Venue: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig), Leyptsig
- Weather: 7° · precip. 0% · wind 1.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 09:40
Market view and goal-line signals
The 1X2 market assigns Leipzig a 65.7% home-win probability, compared with 17.9% for a draw and 16.4% for an Augsburg away win. The line has shown no noticeable movement over the last twenty-four hours.
Over 3.5 is rated at 56.9%, while BTTS Yes stands at 68.4%. Augsburg’s scoring record supports those goal-market assessments, but BTTS Yes runs against Leipzig’s home clean-sheet record.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
