NHL Match Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche
Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado AvalancheToronto Maple Leafs host Colorado Avalanche at Scotiabank Arena. Fifth-placed Colorado holds the stronger points position.
Toronto’s current form and lineup picture
Toronto has lost three consecutive games and won only one of its last five, with four defeats. The team scored in four of those matches before being shut out by New Jersey in the latest game.
At Scotiabank Arena, Toronto has suffered three straight defeats against Utah, Montreal and New Jersey. Its two recent away games brought a win over Vancouver and a loss to Seattle.
Strengths, weaknesses and expected personnel
- Toronto scored in four of its last five games.
- The defense conceded in all five matches.
John Tavares’ return can improve the first two attacking units and net-front work on special teams. Toronto also needs a tighter first pass and fewer open lanes after turnovers to reduce the chances its defense allows.
- New Jersey Devilshome0:4
- Montreal Canadienshome2:4
- Utah Mammothhome2:3
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway4:5
Colorado’s attacking edge and defensive fluctuations
Colorado has won three of its last five games. The Avalanche scored in every match, including five goals in each victory over Calgary and Chicago. Their latest result was a shutout win over Detroit.
Key combinations, absences and game profile
- Colorado scored in every one of its last five games.
- The team conceded in four of those five matches. The away defeat at Columbus accounted for seven goals allowed.
The Avalanche have converted strong starts into wins both at home and away. Sustained offensive pressure remains their route to chances, but the Columbus defeat exposed the cost of extended defensive breakdowns.
Colorado played on November 7 before travelling to Toronto, while the hosts last played on November 8. The visitors must accommodate travel within their recovery schedule.
- Detroit Red Wingshome4:0
- Nashville Predatorshome2:3
- Columbus Blue Jacketsaway2:7
- Chicago Blackhawksaway5:2
- Calgary Flameshome5:2
Recent head-to-head pattern
Across eleven official meetings in the last five years, Toronto leads with six wins against Colorado’s five, with no regulation draws recorded. The latest meeting, in Colorado on October 10, ended in a 6:3 Toronto victory.
The last eight meetings produced 35 goals for Toronto and 28 for Colorado. Six reached at least five total goals, while the latest four produced totals of seven, five, seven and nine.
- 10.10.2026Colorado Avalanche3:6Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- 25.01.2026Toronto Maple Leafs1:4Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 13.01.2026Colorado Avalanche3:4Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- 19.03.2025Toronto Maple Leafs2:1Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 09.03.2025Colorado Avalanche7:4Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
Team news before the puck drop
According to media reports, Tavares has been cleared to return, while Kirill Marchenko, Chris Tanev, Nick Blankenburg and Marshall Rifai remain questionable. Tanev’s improved status is being reviewed daily; the other three remain under weekly evaluation. Dakota Joshua has been recalled from the AHL’s Toronto Marlies, adding a bottom-six option.
Patrick Kane is unavailable after an injury forced him out of the November game against Columbus, according to media reports. No further suspensions, complete line combinations or starting goaltenders have been confirmed. Without save percentages for the expected starters, there is no quantified goaltending comparison.
Our first-period pick
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.48. Toronto’s scoring across its three straight home defeats fell from two goals to two and then zero. That decline makes an opening period without a Toronto goal a credible route to this bet, without requiring Colorado to keep a clean sheet throughout.
Colorado arrives after a 4:0 win over Detroit, a better defensive platform than its earlier 2:7 loss at Columbus. Neither result establishes a first-period trend: no period-by-period scoring figures are available. According to media reports, Patrick Kane is out injured, reducing Colorado’s attacking options. The case rests on at least one attack starting slowly, rather than both defences controlling the entire game. A possible first-period score is 0:1.
Betting conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.48 is our selection, with Toronto’s recent scoring decline the main reason. The lack of first-period splits limits confidence, so this is a measured preference rather than a strong statistical claim.
FAQ
When does Toronto Maple Leafs — Colorado Avalanche kick off?
The match starts on 10.11.2026 at 19:00 (New York), Scotiabank Arena (Toronto).
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs — Colorado Avalanche?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.48.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Toronto Maple Leafs win — 31%, draw — 22%, Colorado Avalanche win — 47%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- New Jersey Devilshome0:4
- Montreal Canadienshome2:4
- Utah Mammothhome2:3
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway4:5
- Detroit Red Wingshome4:0
- Nashville Predatorshome2:3
- Columbus Blue Jacketsaway2:7
- Chicago Blackhawksaway5:2
- Calgary Flameshome5:2
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | New York Islanders | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 49:52 | 18 |
| 12 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 19 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 64:64 | 18 |
| 13 | Detroit Red Wings | 18 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 49:56 | 17 |
Head-to-head
- 10.10.2026Colorado Avalanche3:6Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- 25.01.2026Toronto Maple Leafs1:4Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 13.01.2026Colorado Avalanche3:4Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- 19.03.2025Toronto Maple Leafs2:1Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 09.03.2025Colorado Avalanche7:4Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
About the match
- 10 November · 19:00 New York
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
Odds
Odds updated 09.11 19:10
Market view and goal-line direction
The 1X2 market makes Colorado the favorite with an away-win probability of 46.3%, compared with 31.6% for a Toronto home win and 22.1% for a draw. The away-win line is moving toward Colorado, while the home-win line is drifting.
Under 6.5 goals carries a market probability of 54.6%, with movement toward the Under. BTTS (both teams to score) Yes is assessed at 90.5%, although movement is slightly away from that outcome. These percentages are market probabilities, not guarantees.
Under 6.5 is the betting lean: Toronto’s limited scoring supports it, though Colorado’s production and the head-to-head totals are the main risks.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.48
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
