Pamplona vs Eibar Prediction in the Copa del Rey
Pamplona
EibarMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.26 pending
Pamplona host Eibar at Municipal Estadio Valle de Aranguren in Mutilva Baja on 10 November in Round 1 of the Copa del Rey. The hosts arrive after three consecutive defeats in the Tercera Division RFEF; the visitors compete in the Segunda Division.
Pamplona: home results offer limited relief
Recent results and scoring pattern
Pamplona’s last five matches produced one win and four defeats. They lost 2–1 to Izarra, beat Gazte Berriak 1–0, then lost 5–1 to UDC Txantrea, 4–2 to Valle Egues and 1–0 to Beti Onak.
Where the hosts can compete—and where they struggle
- They scored in four of five outings; their attack has contributed more regularly than the losing run alone suggests.
Selection and availability
No confirmed squad, likely formation, named key players, injuries or suspensions are available for Pamplona. Their latest league fixture was on 7 November, leaving three calendar days before this cup tie; any claim about rotation would therefore require confirmation rather than an assumption about the short turnaround.
- Beti Onakaway0:1
- Valle Egueshome2:4
- UDC Txantreaaway1:5
- Gazte Berriakhome1:0
- Izarraaway1:2
Eibar: a higher-tier side without a clean sheet
Away success followed by dropped points
Eibar opened this five-match sequence with a 3–1 win at Albacete, then lost 3–1 at Real Oviedo, drew 1–1 with Mallorca, lost 2–0 at Cordoba and drew 1–1 with Almeria. Their aggregate return was six goals scored and eight conceded, with one victory, two draws and two defeats.
Attacking output versus defensive exposure
- Eibar scored in four of five matches, but conceded in all five: their divisional advantage has not recently translated into clean sheets.
- The three away fixtures brought four goals for and six against, with one win and two losses.
- Both home matches ended level, whereas none of the away matches did; BTTS occurred in four of the five games overall.
Team news and preparation
No confirmed Eibar lineup, formation, injuries, suspensions or individual selection news are available. Their latest listed match was on 31 October, ten calendar days before this fixture. League positions and comparative strength figures are also unavailable, so the division gap cannot be supplemented with a precise table-based comparison.
- UD Almeriahome1:1
- Cordobaaway0:2
- Mallorcahome1:1
- Real Oviedoaway1:3
- Albacete Balompieaway3:1
Postponement changed the cup schedule
According to media reports, the tie was moved from 3 November to 10 November following the death of Tenerife striker Jesus de Miguel; no expert comments or additional statements about either team’s cup priorities are available.
Our prediction
The recommended bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.34. Eibar compete in Spain’s Segunda Division, while Pamplona compete in the Tercera Division RFEF, and the hosts have lost four of their last five matches in their competition. Pamplona’s defensive record is especially concerning: they conceded five goals against UDC Txantrea and allowed four against Valle Egues, with goals conceded in four of those five games.
Eibar have scored in four of their last five fixtures, including three goals away to Albacete, although they have not kept a clean sheet during this run. That weakness does not remove the gap in league level, and Pamplona’s three-match losing streak increases the likelihood of sustained pressure from the visitors. The market assigns Eibar an 80.1% probability of victory, while the away line has shortened over the last 24 hours. Expected score: 0:2.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.34 is supported by Eibar’s higher competitive level, Pamplona’s recent defensive collapses and the visitors’ scoring in four of five matches. Two Eibar goals are the minimum target for the selection.
FAQ
When does Pamplona — Eibar kick off?
The match starts on 10.11.2026 at 13:00 (New York), Municipal Estadio Valle de Aranguren (Mutilva Baja).
What is the prediction for Pamplona — Eibar?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) at 1.34.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Pamplona win — 11%, draw — 20%, Eibar win — 69%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Beti Onakaway0:1
- Valle Egueshome2:4
- UDC Txantreaaway1:5
- Gazte Berriakhome1:0
- Izarraaway1:2
- UD Almeriahome1:1
- Cordobaaway0:2
- Mallorcahome1:1
- Real Oviedoaway1:3
- Albacete Balompieaway3:1
About the match
- 10 November · 13:00 New York
- Venue: Municipal Estadio Valle de Aranguren (Mutilva Baja)
- Weather: 17° · precip. 85% · wind 2.5 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 10.11 12:20
Market confidence centres on the visitors
Eibar are the clear 1X2 favourites, with a margin-free market probability of 80.1%, against 13.7% for the draw and 6.2% for a Pamplona win. Over the past 24 hours, the away-win line has shortened while the home-win and draw lines have drifted. That confidence contrasts with the visitors’ recent winless stretch.
Under 3.5 remains the more likely total at 58.1%, although movement has favoured Over 3.5. BTTS No is also strengthening, with a market probability of 59.1%. These markets distinguish Eibar’s expected superiority from an expectation that both attacks will contribute, despite both teams scoring regularly in their recent fixtures.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.34
- Odds at prediction
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 68%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Status
- pending
