Rogle vs Skelleftea: Champions Hockey League Match Prediction
Rogle
SkellefteaMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.34 pending
Rogle hosts Skelleftea at Catena Arena in the first leg of the Champions Hockey League round of sixteen. Rogle has been perfect at home in this tournament, while Skelleftea brings the stronger overall record, higher scoring rate and four consecutive wins in all competitions.
Rogle: strong home record, reduced attacking depth
Recent form and tactical profile
Rogle won three of its last five matches. The team opened with three wins before losing to Malmo and Orebro. Rogle scored in four of five matches and conceded in all five, leaving its attack productive but its defensive control weaker. In the Champions Hockey League, the home record is perfect: three wins, twelve goals scored and only two conceded.
- Across six tournament games, Rogle scored thirteen and conceded twelve.
- More than 2.5 goals landed in five of six tournament matches.
- Rogle kept a clean sheet twice, while both teams scored in only two of six games.
Line-up, absences and goaltending
Daniel Zaar is suspended, while Anton Bengtsson and Leon Bristedt are injured. Fredrik Olofsson, Tinus Luke Koblar and Lubos Gorky have returned to full training. Calvin de Haan suffered a training injury and remains a question mark. The absence of three forwards reduces rotation depth and increases responsibility for the returning players. The defensive assessment rests on team results rather than individual goaltending.
- Orebroaway2:3
- Malmo Redhawkshome0:3
- Frolundaaway5:4
- Brynasaway5:4
- Frolundahome4:1
Skelleftea: better rhythm and the broader attacking base
Recent form and tactical profile
Skelleftea has won four of its last five matches. It scored in all five and allowed at least one goal in each. Its Champions Hockey League record is five wins, one draw and one defeat, with twenty-four goals scored and twelve conceded. Away from home in the tournament, Skelleftea has two wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring eleven and conceding six.
- The tournament scoring rate is 3.43 goals per game, compared with Rogle’s 2.17.
- More than 2.5 goals landed in six of seven tournament games.
- Both teams scored in six of seven, indicating frequent exchanges rather than repeated shutouts.
Squad status and special teams context
No injuries, suspensions or confirmed line-up changes for Skelleftea are listed. The club enters the tie as the reigning Swedish Hockey League champion and finished second in the league phase, with the stated objective of challenging for the title. Power-play and penalty-kill percentages are unavailable for both sides, so the special-teams comparison cannot be quantified.
- IF Bjorklovenhome5:3
- Linkopingshome3:1
- IF Bjorklovenaway8:1
- Djurgardenshome4:1
- Frolundaaway2:3
Head-to-head record favours Skelleftea overall
Across fifteen official meetings in the last five years, Rogle won six and Skelleftea won nine. The latest eight meetings produced four Rogle wins and four Skelleftea wins, but the most recent ended with a 3:2 Skelleftea win. Those eight games produced twenty-one Rogle goals and twenty-six Skelleftea goals.
Rogle won three of the four listed home meetings, including a 5:0 result and a 2:1 playoff win, while Skelleftea took the other home meeting 3:2. The matchup has also included open playoff games, with Skelleftea scoring seven in one meeting and Rogle scoring five in another.
- 10.10.2026Skelleftea3:2RogleSweden. Elitserien
- 02.05.2026Skelleftea7:3RogleSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
- 30.04.2026Rogle2:3SkellefteaSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
- 28.04.2026Rogle2:1SkellefteaSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
- 25.04.2026Skelleftea5:1RogleSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
Team news and motivation before the first leg
Reports dated 9 November state that Rogle will be without Zaar because his four-game suspension covers both Champions Hockey League matches against Skelleftea. Bengtsson and Bristedt are also unavailable, while de Haan is doubtful after a training injury. Coach Dan Tangnes criticised the disciplinary decision, and sporting director Hampus Sjostrom indicated that Zaar is likely to miss both legs. Three forwards have resumed full training, partly offsetting the absences.
Rogle’s coaching staff describe the playoff as an excellent challenge and point to improved October performances despite the two latest defeats. Skelleftea’s staff emphasise the title objective after reaching the knockout stage from second place. The visitors have lost only once in the tournament, while Rogle’s motivation is reinforced by three wins from three home matches in this competition.
Our pick for the opening period
Rogle’s reduced forward options make an early exchange of goals less likely at Catena Arena. Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.34. According to media reports, Daniel Zaar’s suspension and injuries to Anton Bengtsson and Leon Bristedt remove three attacking options. That matters most before the hosts have had time to adjust their combinations against Skelleftea.
Rogle conceded just 2 goals across 3 home games in this tournament, so the case is not simply that the visitors will control the opening. Skelleftea’s four-match winning run makes their attack the main threat to the bet, but a first leg offers less incentive to trade chances immediately. Full-game scoring records cannot establish a first-period trend; this selection rests on Rogle’s depleted attack and the scope for a measured start. A plausible first-period score is 0:1.
Betting conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.34 is our choice: either side can score without requiring a goalless opening. The key risk is an early breakthrough forcing the trailing team to increase its attacking tempo.
FAQ
When does Rogle — Skelleftea kick off?
The match starts on 10.11.2026 at 13:00 (New York), Catena Arena (Angelholm).
What is the prediction for Rogle — Skelleftea?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.34.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Rogle win — 34%, draw — 23%, Skelleftea win — 43%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Orebroaway2:3
- Malmo Redhawkshome0:3
- Frolundaaway5:4
- Brynasaway5:4
- Frolundahome4:1
- IF Bjorklovenhome5:3
- Linkopingshome3:1
- IF Bjorklovenaway8:1
- Djurgardenshome4:1
- Frolundaaway2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skoda Plzen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 30:12 | 18 |
| 2 | Skelleftea | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Kolner Haie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24:13 | 15 |
| 14 | Bili Tygri Liberec | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Rogle | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Davos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:17 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 10.10.2026Skelleftea3:2RogleSweden. Elitserien
- 02.05.2026Skelleftea7:3RogleSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
- 30.04.2026Rogle2:3SkellefteaSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
- 28.04.2026Rogle2:1SkellefteaSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
- 25.04.2026Skelleftea5:1RogleSweden. Elitserien - Play-off
About the match
- 10 November · 13:00 New York
- Venue: Catena Arena (Angelholm)
Odds
Odds updated 10.11 00:30
Market view and goal-line direction
Skelleftea is the market favourite, but the margin over Rogle is moderate: the probabilities are 42.6% for an away win, 34.5% for a home win and 23% for a draw. The away-win line has drifted upward, while the home-win and draw lines have shortened, indicating less market confidence in Skelleftea than a day earlier.
The total-goals market leans toward Under 5.5 at 55.2%, with Over 5.5 at 44.9%; the Under line has shortened. Both teams to score remains strongly favoured at 84.1%, although that price has drifted upward, while the opposite side has shortened. The market combines a modest preference for a lower total with a strong expectation that both attacks can contribute, consistent with Rogle’s clean home tournament record and Skelleftea’s higher attacking output.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.34
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 68%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.33
- Potential win
- 33 $
- Status
- pending
