Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Rostov: Russia Premier League Match Prediction
Zenit Saint Petersburg
RostovMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.42 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5.5) 1.41 won
Match result
Zenit Saint Petersburg 2:2 Rostov (1:0, 1:2)
The Russia Premier League match between Zenit Saint Petersburg and Rostov ended in a 2:2 draw. Zenit took a 1:0 lead in the first half, but the second half finished 1:2. Because the home team was unable to claim a victory, our W1 prediction lost.
Our prediction: W1 at 1.45 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.42 — the bet won.
Zenit host Rostov at Gazprom Arena on November 8 in Round 14 of the Premier League. The leaders have 30 points, two ahead of Dynamo Moscow; sixth-placed Rostov have 18. Zenit are defending a narrow lead at the top, while the visitors are level on points with Rubin Kazan below them.
Zenit: winning momentum, with gaps at home
Recent form and scoring profile
Zenit have won their last five matches across all competitions, scoring 13 goals and conceding five. Their latest result was a 3:0 away win over Krylia Sovetov, following home league victories over Akhmat and Dynamo Makhachkala. Those two home games produced five goals scored but also showed contrasting defensive performances: 3:2 and 2:0.
- Ten wins and three defeats in 13 league games: no draws.
- A league scoring average of 2.31 goals per game, with Over 2.5 in ten of 13 matches.
- Six league clean sheets; BTTS in six of 13 fixtures.
- Four wins and two defeats at home, with 12 goals scored and seven conceded: home advantage has not prevented setbacks.
Personnel and attacking options
Maksim Glushenkov has three goals and two assists in four league appearances; Alexander Sobolev has two goals in three. Alexander Erokhin is out with a calf injury, while Nuraly Alip is unavailable for family reasons. Daniil Odoevsky is doubtful after illness. Wendel has resumed full training but is not ready for 90 minutes, limiting his possible workload.
- Krylia Sovetovaway3:0
- Baltika Kaliningradaway3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalahome2:0
- Akhmathome3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway2:1
Rostov: defensive improvement meets an away challenge
Results and the home-away contrast
Rostov have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring 11 and conceding five. Six of those goals came in the cup victory over Akron. Their league sequence is more revealing defensively: 0:0 at Baltika, 2:0 against Lokomotiv and 3:0 at Dynamo Makhachkala, three consecutive clean sheets.
- The season balance is five wins, three draws and five defeats, with 16 goals for and 17 against.
- Away from home, two wins in eight league games accompany two draws and four defeats.
- Nine away goals against 12 conceded leave a negative road goal difference.
- Five clean sheets and five BTTS games in 13 league fixtures; seven finished Over 2.5.
Available options and set-piece threat
Ronaldo has recovered from injury, although a starting place remains uncertain. Konstantin Kuchaev and Andrey Langovich each have one goal and one assist in four league appearances. Rostov are also the only Premier League side to have scored twice directly from free kicks over the last four rounds, adding a threat that does not depend on sustained possession.
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway3:0
- Akron Tolyattihome6:1
- Lokomotiv Moscowhome2:0
- Baltika Kaliningradaway0:0
- CSKA Moscowaway0:4
Previous meetings favour the hosts
Zenit are unbeaten in 11 official meetings over five years, with eight wins and three draws. They have won the seven most recent listed encounters, scoring 14 goals and conceding two. Five of those seven wins came with a clean sheet, including the latest meeting, a 1:0 away success in May 2026. That history contrasts with Rostov's recent defensive improvement.
- 17.05.2026Rostov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
- 20.07.2025Zenit Saint Petersburg2:1RostovRussia. Premier League
- 18.05.2025Rostov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
- 16.04.2025Zenit Saint Petersburg2:0RostovRussian Cup (Regions Path)
- 12.03.2025Rostov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussian Cup (Regions Path)
A low defensive line is the central talking point
Commentator Gennady Orlov expects Zenit to face greater difficulty at home because they must break down a deep Rostov defence. Sobolev has also warned against underestimating the visitors, describing them as an awkward opponent. Probable lineups, formations, suspensions and comparative strength figures are not supplied.
Line-ups
Zenit Saint Petersburg
Starting XI: 3. Douglas Santos de Melo, 5. Wilmar Barrios, 7. Alexander Sobolev, 10. Maksim Glushenkov, 11. Luiz Henrique, 20. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos, 25. Kevin Andrade, 31. Gustavo Mantuan, 33. Marcilio Florencio, 57. Bogdan Moskvichev, 93. Artem Karpukas
Substitutes: 8. Marcus Wendel Valle da Silva, 9. Felipe Augusto, 14. Jhonatan dos Santos Rosa, 15. Vyacheslav Karavayev, 16. Denis Adamov, 28. Nuraly Alip, 38. Amir Musaev, 51. Vadim Shilov, 61. Daniil Kondakov, 66. Roman Vega, 78. Igor Diveev, 96. Zaytsev Maxim
Coach: Sergei Semak
Rostov
Starting XI: 3. Oumar Sako, 4. Viktor Melekhin, 6. Olakunle Olusegun, 7. Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos, 8. Aleksey Mironov, 18. Konstantin Kuchaev, 27. Danila Prokhin, 40. Ygor Nogueira, 84. Artem Petrov, 87. Andrey Langovich, 99. Timur Suleymanov
Substitutes: 1. Rustam Yatimov, 5. Yaroslav Mikhailov, 10. Ivan Komarov, 16. Maksim Mukhin, 21. Daniil Shantaliy, 22. David Semenchuk, 26. Daniil Khlusevich, 34. Daniil Golikov, 73. Imran Aznaurov, 78. Dmitry Chistyakov, 79. Kirill Cheburakov, 91. Anton Shamonin
Coach: Dmitri Kirichenko
Before the match
Zenit host Rostov in second place with 30 points from 13 matches, one point behind Dynamo Moscow. Rostov are sixth on 18 points. Alexander Erokhin will miss roughly two weeks with a calf injury, while defender Nuraly Alip is unavailable for family reasons. Goalkeeper Daniil Odoevsky remains doubtful after illness. Wendel has returned to full training but is not ready for all 90 minutes.
Rostov winger Ronaldo has returned from injury, although his place in the starting XI is uncertain. The visitors have scored twice directly from free kicks in the last four league rounds, making fouls around the box a particular risk for Zenit.
Our pick: W1
Our selection is home win 1.45. Zenit have won five consecutive matches in all competitions, scoring 13 goals and conceding 5. Their league record stands at 10 wins from 13 fixtures, with 30 goals scored against Rostov’s 16. Victory would maintain pressure on the leader; Rostov are already 13 points behind first place.
Zenit are unbeaten in the latest 11 official meetings, winning eight. They won the last seven encounters, conceding only 2 goals. Rostov have won three consecutive matches, but their away league record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 12 goals conceded. Zenit average 2.31 goals per league match.
Gennady Orlov has warned that Zenit must break down a compact defence, and Rostov’s deep defensive line may slow the opening stages. Wendel’s limited fitness and Alip’s absence weaken the hosts, but their scoring rate and record in this fixture favour a home win. Expected score: 2:0.
Conclusion
Home win 1.45 is the recommended outcome, with Zenit’s attacking output outweighing Rostov’s recent improvement.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Krylia Sovetovaway3:0
- Baltika Kaliningradaway3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalahome2:0
- Akhmathome3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway2:1
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway3:0
- Akron Tolyattihome6:1
- Lokomotiv Moscowhome2:0
- Baltika Kaliningradaway0:0
- CSKA Moscowaway0:4
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23:13 | 31 |
| 2 | Zenit Saint Petersburg | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30:13 | 30 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:18 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23:16 | 26 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | 26 |
| 6 | Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:18 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 17.05.2026Rostov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
- 20.07.2025Zenit Saint Petersburg2:1RostovRussia. Premier League
- 18.05.2025Rostov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
- 16.04.2025Zenit Saint Petersburg2:0RostovRussian Cup (Regions Path)
- 12.03.2025Rostov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussian Cup (Regions Path)
About the match
- 8 November · 10:30 New York
- Venue: Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A clear favourite, a closer goals market
The 1X2 market makes Zenit clear favourites at 71.1%, against 18.7% for the draw and 10.3% for Rostov. Goals expectations are less decisive: Over 2.5 carries 54.5%, while BTTS No stands at 54.9%. All listed markets have remained broadly unchanged over the last 24 hours, with no fresh directional move towards either side.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Odds
- 1.45
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 68%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.45
- Potential win
- 45 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.42
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
