Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Tel Aviv Forecast in Israel Premier League
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Hapoel Tel AvivMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.33 pending
Hapoel Be'er Sheva host Hapoel Tel Aviv at Turner Toto in round 10 of the Israel Premier League. Both teams have 22 points from nine matches, immediately behind leaders Maccabi Tel Aviv, making this a direct title-race fixture. Be'er Sheva arrive after a European defeat, while Tel Aviv have won five consecutive matches.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva: attacking output with defensive exposure
Recent form and home profile
Be'er Sheva have won 3 of their last 5 matches and lost 2. Their league sequence includes 5:2 away wins over Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva. Their latest match was a 0:2 home defeat by OFI Crete in the Europa League. They have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded in all 5. Their league record is 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 22 goals for and 12 against. At home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded.
Six of nine league matches produced BTTS, six went Over the main total line, and only 3 ended with a clean sheet. Forson Amankwah, Niv Yehoshua and Igor Zlatanovic have scored twice each in the competition.
- Strength: 22 league goals, an average of 2.44 per match.
- Strength: two recent away wins with five goals scored in each.
- Weakness: 12 league goals conceded and goals allowed in each of the last five matches.
- Weakness: only 6 goals in 4 home league fixtures.
Squad availability
Dan Biton and Lucas Ventura remain unavailable because of injuries. Rotman may return to the squad.
- OFI Cretehome0:2
- Maccabi Petah Tikvaaway5:2
- Maccabi Haifaaway5:2
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloiseaway0:4
- Hapoel Jerusalemhome2:1
Hapoel Tel Aviv: the tighter defence and current momentum
Recent form and away profile
Tel Aviv have won all of their last 5 matches. They beat Maccabi Haifa 2:1 in their latest league game, following a 3:1 win at Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona and away wins over Hapoel Jerusalem and Maccabi Tel Aviv. Their league record matches Be'er Sheva's at 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, but their defensive figures are stronger: 20 goals scored and only 6 conceded. Away from home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with a 7:5 goal balance.
BTTS occurred in only 3 of Tel Aviv's 9 league matches, while the side kept 6 clean sheets. Seven league games went Over the main total line, showing that their matches can open up when the attack establishes control. Daniel Dappa and Omri Altman have scored twice each; Douglas Owusu has 1 goal and 1 assist.
- Strength: 6 clean sheets in 9 league matches.
- Strength: five consecutive wins, with goals in all five.
- Strength: only 0.67 goals conceded per league match.
- Weakness: 5 goals conceded across 4 away league fixtures.
Squad availability
Right winger Stav Turiel will miss the match with a groin strain and is expected to return around November 26.
- Maccabi Haifahome2:1
- Maccabi Tel Avivaway3:2
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway3:0
- Ironi Tiberiashome1:0
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway3:1
Head-to-head record favours the hosts
Across 15 official meetings in the last five years, Be'er Sheva have won 9, drawn 3 and lost 3. In the most recent fixture, Be'er Sheva won 2:0 away in the championship play-offs.
Although Tel Aviv's current defensive record is stronger than their recent head-to-head profile suggests.
- 15.05.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv0:2Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 02.05.2026Hapoel Be'er Sheva2:0Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 19.01.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv2:1Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League
- 04.10.2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva2:1Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League
- 16.08.2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva0:2Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Toto Cup (Play-off)
Team news and match context
Be'er Sheva's league scoring form contrasts with the immediate 0:2 European home defeat. Their 5:2 win over Maccabi Petah Tikva remains the latest domestic result, but they have conceded in every match of their last five. Biton and Ventura are out, while Rotman could provide an additional option.
Tel Aviv arrive after a 2:1 league win over Maccabi Haifa and a 3:2 victory over Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Toto Cup final. Turiel's absence removes a wide attacking option, but the team has scored in all five recent matches.
Our pick: home scoring over the result
Our selection is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.38. Be'er Sheva have scored 22 goals in nine league matches, averaging 2.44, and struck five in each of their last two domestic outings. That attacking output makes their goal tally a better target than backing them to beat a Tel Aviv side with five consecutive wins.
The visitors have conceded in three of their last five matches across all competitions, while Be'er Sheva have won nine of the teams' 15 meetings over five years. There are limits to the case: the hosts have scored only six goals in four home league fixtures, and Tel Aviv have conceded just six all season. According to media reports, Dan Biton and Lucas Ventura remain injured. A projected score of 2:1 fits the selection, though the bet does not require a home victory.
Final betting assessment
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.38. The lower home scoring rate calls for restraint, rather than treating their recent away hauls as the baseline.
FAQ
When does Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Tel Aviv kick off?
The match starts on 08.11.2026 at 13:30 (New York), Turner Toto (Be'er Sheva).
What is the prediction for Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.38.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Hapoel Be'er Sheva win — 40%, draw — 28%, Hapoel Tel Aviv win — 33%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- OFI Cretehome0:2
- Maccabi Petah Tikvaaway5:2
- Maccabi Haifaaway5:2
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloiseaway0:4
- Hapoel Jerusalemhome2:1
- Maccabi Haifahome2:1
- Maccabi Tel Avivaway3:2
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway3:0
- Ironi Tiberiashome1:0
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway3:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | 24 |
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 15.05.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv0:2Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 02.05.2026Hapoel Be'er Sheva2:0Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 19.01.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv2:1Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League
- 04.10.2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva2:1Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League
- 16.08.2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva0:2Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Toto Cup (Play-off)
About the match
- 8 November · 13:30 New York
- Venue: Turner Toto (Be'er Sheva)
- Weather: 16° · precip. 0% · wind 1.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 08.11 12:20
Market view and price structure
The market makes Be'er Sheva a narrow home favourite, assigning the hosts a 40.5% win probability against 31.8% for Tel Aviv and 27.7% for the draw. This is a cautious home-side position: both teams have 22 points, while Tel Aviv have the better defensive record and the longer winning run.
The goal market leans slightly toward Over 2.5 at 53.6%, with Under 2.5 at 46.4%. BTTS Yes carries a 58.2% probability despite Tel Aviv's 6 league clean sheets. Be'er Sheva's 6 BTTS matches in 9 and their recent defensive record support the higher-scoring side. All listed lines have remained stable over the last 24 hours, with no meaningful movement toward either team.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.38
- Odds at prediction
- 1.36
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.36
- Potential win
- 36 $
- Status
- pending