Greece SuperLeague: Olympiacos Piraeus vs P.A.O.K. Match Prediction
Olympiacos Piraeus
P.A.O.K.More picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.33 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (6.5) 1.34 pending
Olympiacos host P.A.O.K. at Karaiskakis in Piraeus on November 8 in round 10 of the Greek SuperLeague. The hosts are second, two points behind leaders Panathinaikos; P.A.O.K. are third, six points off the lead. The teams are separated by four points.
Olympiacos: defensive control underpins second place
Recent results and home performance
Olympiacos have four wins and a draw in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding two. The run includes a 5–0 win over Kalamata and a 3–2 victory at Kifisias, followed by a 0–0 European draw at Rennes on November 4. Their league home record is three wins and one defeat, with seven goals scored and one conceded.
Strengths and vulnerabilities
Seven wins in nine league games have produced 22 points. Six clean sheets and an average of 0.44 goals conceded per match show the strength of their defence. Only two league fixtures have gone Over 2.5 goals, and BTTS has occurred twice. Olympiacos average 1.67 goals, so defensive control has been more consistent than attacking output. The sample covers nine matches.
Personnel and selection clues
Joao Pedro Azevedo Silva leads their listed scorers with three goals and one assist in four appearances. Recent substitutions saw Roman Yaremchuk replace Armando Gonzalez, Gelson Martins replace Leon Bailey and Marcus Pedersen replace Manolis Saliakas. These substitutions show recent involvement but do not confirm the starting XI; no verified formation, injury list or suspensions are supplied.
- Stade Rennaisaway0:0
- Kifisiasaway3:2
- GS Markoaway2:0
- Kalamatahome5:0
- AC Sparta Praguehome1:0
P.A.O.K.: scoring reliability meets defensive exposure
Form and away results
P.A.O.K. have consecutive wins over AEK Athens in the cup and Asteras Tripolis in the league. Their last five games produced three wins and two defeats, with nine goals scored and eight conceded. They scored and conceded in every match. Their league away record is two wins and two defeats, with seven goals for and seven against.
Attacking output and defensive cost
The visitors are third with 18 points from six wins and three defeats. Their 18 league goals exceed Olympiacos’ total, but 12 conceded leave them with a weaker defensive balance. Eight of nine fixtures have gone Over 2.5 goals, seven have featured BTTS and only two have ended with a clean sheet. Their open scoring pattern contrasts with Olympiacos’ lower-event league matches.
Scorers and squad information
Cherif Ndiaye and Simon Banza each have two league goals in four appearances; Giannis Michailidis has one in three. No verified P.A.O.K. team news, injuries, suspensions, probable lineup or formation are available.
- Asteras Tripolishome2:1
- AEK Athenshome3:1
- OFI Creteaway1:2
- Iraklis Thessalonikihome2:1
- Kalamatahome1:3
Recent meetings favour P.A.O.K. more than the wider record
Across 15 official meetings in five years, Olympiacos lead by seven wins to six, with two draws. They are winless in the latest five encounters, losing three. The most recent meeting finished 1–1 in May. Five of the eight listed games featured BTTS and five exceeded 2.5 goals, while two recent fixtures in Piraeus finished 0–2 and 0–0.
- 10.05.2026Olympiacos Piraeus1:1P.A.O.K.Greece. SuperLeague - Championship - Play-off
- 03.05.2026P.A.O.K.3:1Olympiacos PiraeusGreece. SuperLeague - Championship - Play-off
- 08.03.2026Olympiacos Piraeus0:0P.A.O.K.Greece. SuperLeague
- 14.01.2026Olympiacos Piraeus0:2P.A.O.K.Greek Cup
- 05.10.2025P.A.O.K.2:1Olympiacos PiraeusGreece. SuperLeague
Scheduling adds a preparation difference
Olympiacos played on November 4, three days after P.A.O.K.’s latest fixture, giving the visitors a longer preparation interval. No verified expert opinions or further match-specific news are supplied.
Our pick: home defensive control
Our bet is W1 at 1.62. Olympiacos enter this second-versus-third contest two points behind the leaders, with a chance to extend their four-point advantage over P.A.O.K. The strongest reason to back them is the defensive gap: four goals conceded in nine league games, compared with 12 for the visitors.
At Karaiskakis, Olympiacos have won three of four league fixtures and conceded just once. P.A.O.K. have split their four away games between two wins and two defeats, allowing seven goals. That contrast favours the hosts without requiring an unusually productive attacking display. The visitors have scored in each of their last five matches, so a clean sheet is not essential to the case. Personnel assumptions do not enter this pick. Predicted score: 2–1.
Final betting verdict
W1 at 1.62 is our selection: Olympiacos’ home defensive record offers the clearest edge against P.A.O.K.’s away vulnerability. The visitors’ scoring form makes this a measured home-win pick rather than a call for a comfortable margin.
FAQ
When does Olympiacos Piraeus — P.A.O.K. kick off?
The match starts on 08.11.2026 at 14:00 (New York), Karaiskakis (Piraeus).
What is the prediction for Olympiacos Piraeus — P.A.O.K.?
Our pick is W1 at 1.62.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Olympiacos Piraeus win — 58%, draw — 24%, P.A.O.K. win — 19%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Stade Rennaisaway0:0
- Kifisiasaway3:2
- GS Markoaway2:0
- Kalamatahome5:0
- AC Sparta Praguehome1:0
- Asteras Tripolishome2:1
- AEK Athenshome3:1
- OFI Creteaway1:2
- Iraklis Thessalonikihome2:1
- Kalamatahome1:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 3 | Aris | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 4 | P.A.O.K. | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | AEK Athens | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 17 |
Head-to-head
- 10.05.2026Olympiacos Piraeus1:1P.A.O.K.Greece. SuperLeague - Championship - Play-off
- 03.05.2026P.A.O.K.3:1Olympiacos PiraeusGreece. SuperLeague - Championship - Play-off
- 08.03.2026Olympiacos Piraeus0:0P.A.O.K.Greece. SuperLeague
- 14.01.2026Olympiacos Piraeus0:2P.A.O.K.Greek Cup
- 05.10.2025P.A.O.K.2:1Olympiacos PiraeusGreece. SuperLeague
About the match
- 8 November · 14:00 New York
- Venue: Karaiskakis (Piraeus), Pirey
- Weather: 10° · precip. 0% · wind 1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 08.11 00:20
Home favouritism, with a closer goals assessment
The margin-free 1X2 assessment makes Olympiacos favourites at 57.7%, ahead of the draw at 23.7% and P.A.O.K. at 18.6%. No noticeable movement has occurred over the past 24 hours. The market assigns a clear home preference without making it overwhelming.
Goals markets are more balanced: Over 2.5 carries a 53.5% probability and BTTS 52.9%, both unchanged. These narrow leans sit between the teams’ contrasting league scoring patterns rather than following either side’s recent results.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.62
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 58%
- Market estimate
- 58%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.62
- Potential win
- 62 $
- Status
- pending