Yugra vs Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma forecast: VHL match
Yugra
Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya PyshmaMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.37 pending
Yugra hosts Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma at Yugra Arena, with both teams chasing playoff positions in the VHL. Ninth-placed Yugra has 29 points from 22 games; the visitors are seventeenth with 23 points from 20.
Yugra: home momentum and a more stable defensive structure
Recent form and scoring profile
Yugra has followed away defeats to Toros Neftekamsk and Molot Perm with three consecutive home wins over Yuzhny Ural, Magnitka Magnitogorsk and Chelmet Chelyabinsk, by a combined score of 10:5. Across those five games, Yugra scored 14 goals and conceded 13, scoring and conceding in every match.
Strengths, weaknesses and special teams
- Yugra scored at least three goals in each of its last three home games.
- Its season record of 55 goals for and 37 against is stronger defensively than the visitors’ 51:47.
- Power-play and penalty-killing percentages are unavailable, preventing a numerical comparison of special teams.
Goalkeeping and available lineup
Vladimir Sokhatsky made several important second-period saves against Magnitka. Mikhail Fudymovsky replaced him in the earlier game against Yuzhny Ural, when Artem Popov scored the winning attempt. Yugra’s starting goaltender is unconfirmed, and save percentages are unavailable. No injuries or suspensions are listed.
- Chelmet Chelyabinskhome3:1
- Magnitka Magnitogorskhome3:1
- Yuzhny Uralhome4:3
- Molot Permaway2:3
- Toros Neftekamskaway2:5
Gornyak-UGMK: productive attack, unstable protection of the net
Five-game sequence and away trend
Gornyak-UGMK has two wins and three defeats in its last five games, scoring 15 goals and conceding 14. It scored in every match. Recent away results range from a 1:2 defeat against Omskiye Krylya and a 3:0 win over Zauralie Kurgan to a 5:6 loss at Rubin Tyumen.
Where the matchup can turn
- The visitors scored at least three goals in three of their last five games.
- They conceded four or more in two of their last three matches.
- Both teams scored in four of Gornyak-UGMK’s last five games.
Goaltenders and squad information
Gornyak-UGMK’s starting goaltender is unconfirmed, with no save percentage, injury list, suspension or lineup change confirmed. No team-specific coaching comments are available.
- Rubin Tyumenaway5:6
- Zauralie Kurganaway3:0
- Omskiye Krylyaaway1:2
- Dynamo-Altayhome3:2
- Metallurg Novokuznetskhome3:4
Head-to-head record favors the hosts
Across 11 official meetings in the last five years, Yugra has seven wins and Gornyak-UGMK four, with no draws. In the most recent eight official games, Yugra outscored the visitors 23:16 and won seven times. The latest meeting, on 6 January 2026, ended in a 2:0 victory for Gornyak-UGMK.
Yugra scored at least three goals in six of those last eight meetings, while Gornyak-UGMK exceeded two goals only once.
- 06.01.2026Yugra0:2Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya PyshmaVHL
- 07.11.2025Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma2:3YugraVHL
- 02.08.2025Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma2:3YugraClub Friendlies
- 01.08.2025Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma0:2YugraClub Friendlies
- 26.01.2025Yugra4:2Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya PyshmaVHL
Team news and coaching signals
Viktor Kostyuchenok said Yugra followed its plan from start to finish against Magnitka. He emphasized disciplined execution, patience, skating and avoiding penalties.
A separate post-match assessment highlighted fatigue after the fourth game of the home series and an error-filled second period. The compressed home schedule makes recovery a concern despite the recent wins.
Line-ups
Yugra
Substitutes: 29. Fudymovsky, 96. Boris Gorodetsky
Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma
Substitutes: 33. Kirill Kapustin
Our first-period pick
At Yugra Arena, our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25. Yugra's three straight home wins and Gornyak-UGMK's three defeats in five games favor a start in which at least one attack is kept quiet, rather than an exchange of goals.
The strongest support is Yugra conceding just one goal in each of its last two outings. Kostyuchenok's emphasis on patience, skating and avoiding penalties also suits this bet: fewer unnecessary penalties would limit the visitors' power-play opportunities. There is a clear risk, since Gornyak-UGMK scored in all five recent games, but full-game scoring does not establish a first-period trend. No period-by-period results or confirmed lineups, injuries and suspensions are available. A projected first-period score is 1:0 to Yugra.
Betting conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25 is a cautious preference based on the hosts' recent defensive improvement, not a proven opening-period pattern. The visitors' scoring run keeps confidence measured.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Chelmet Chelyabinskhome3:1
- Magnitka Magnitogorskhome3:1
- Yuzhny Uralhome4:3
- Molot Permaway2:3
- Toros Neftekamskaway2:5
- Rubin Tyumenaway5:6
- Zauralie Kurganaway3:0
- Omskiye Krylyaaway1:2
- Dynamo-Altayhome3:2
- Metallurg Novokuznetskhome3:4
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Khimik Voskresensk | 22 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 77:52 | 30 |
| 11 | Yugra | 22 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 55:37 | 29 |
| 12 | Kaluga | 23 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 49:41 | 29 |
| 16 | Tambov | 20 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 53:52 | 24 |
| 17 | Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma | 20 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 51:47 | 23 |
| 18 | Bars Kazan | 22 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 50:67 | 21 |
Head-to-head
- 06.01.2026Yugra0:2Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya PyshmaVHL
- 07.11.2025Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma2:3YugraVHL
- 02.08.2025Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma2:3YugraClub Friendlies
- 01.08.2025Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma0:2YugraClub Friendlies
- 26.01.2025Yugra4:2Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya PyshmaVHL
About the match
- 12 November · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Yugra Arena (Khanty-Mansiysk)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal-line expectations
The 1X2 market assigns Yugra a 49.1% chance of a home win, compared with 27.5% for an away win and 23.4% for a draw. Home odds are shortening, while draw and away odds are drifting.
The total-goals market is nearly balanced: Over 4.5 is assessed at 49.6% and Under 4.5 at 50.4%. Over odds are shortening slightly despite the narrow preference for Under. BTTS: Yes has the strongest market backing at 78.5%, with no notable movement.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.25
- Status
- pending
