VHL Match Prediction: Kristall Saratov vs Molot Perm
Kristall Saratov
Molot PermMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.35 pending
Kristall host Molot at DS Kristall in Saratov on 12 November. The hosts sit 13th with 26 points from 20 games; Perm are fifth with 31 from 22.
Kristall: scoring continuity, uneven defending
Recent form and home workload
Kristall have three wins and two defeats in their last five games, all at home. The latest result was a 3:4 overtime loss to Toros. This fixture ends the home series: recovery time is limited.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Kristall scored in all five games, but managed only one goal against Izhstal.
- Kristall recorded a 1:0 win.
- Kristall have scored regularly.
Personnel and physical condition
According to media reports, Kristall have shown a physical dip and reduced competitive aggression since facing Tambov. That concern matters late in a compressed schedule, but does not establish which players are affected.
- Toros Neftekamskhome3:4
- Izhstalhome1:0
- Olimpiya Kirovo-Chepetskhome2:3
- Tambovhome3:2
- Buran Voronezhhome4:2
Molot: stronger season defence, mixed road results
Form away from Perm
Molot also have three wins and two defeats across five games. Their current trip began with a 2:5 defeat at Buran and a 0:1 loss at Tambov, followed by a 3:0 win at Dizel. Saratov is the fourth road game in seven days, following stops in Voronezh, Tambov and Penza; transport arrangements and flight details are not specified.
Where the visitors stand out
- Molot have conceded 38 goals in 22 league games, averaging 1.73 per match.
- Their season attack averages 2.77 goals, above Kristall's output.
- The three recent away fixtures produced five goals for and six against, a weaker balance than their overall season record.
- Two consecutive games finished below 4.5 goals after three straight games above that threshold.
Squad changes
Molot announced their travelling squad on 4 November. Defender Mark Ulyev has been assigned to the club, while Andrey Migur is leaving. Ulyev's arrival adds a defensive option, but no confirmed pairing or special-teams role is specified.
- Dizel Penzaaway3:0
- Tambovaway0:1
- Buran Voronezhaway2:5
- Yugrahome3:2
- Rubin Tyumenhome5:2
Head-to-head: Perm have won every meeting
Molot won all six official meetings over the past five years, with a combined score of 23:10. The venue split is relevant to totals: meetings in Saratov produced five, three and three goals, whereas those in Perm produced nine, seven and six. The latest encounter ended 3:0 to Molot on 24 February 2026; the hosts have yet to turn home ice into a win in this matchup.
- 24.02.2026Kristall Saratov0:3Molot PermVHL
- 30.09.2025Molot Perm4:2Kristall SaratovVHL
- 12.12.2024Molot Perm4:3Kristall SaratovVHL
- 02.12.2024Kristall Saratov1:2Molot PermVHL
- 31.01.2024Molot Perm7:2Kristall SaratovVHL
Pre-match commentary has limits
No independent expert match assessment or further confirmed match-specific news is available beyond the team updates above.
Line-ups
Kristall Saratov
Substitutes: 1. Andrei Grischenko
Molot Perm
Substitutes: 74. Georgi Meshkovsky
Our Forecast
Kristall Saratov face Molot Perm at DS Kristall with the teams separated by five points in the VHL standings. The hosts are 13th after 20 games, while Perm occupy fifth place after 22, and the difference in defensive reliability is significant: Kristall have conceded 58 goals, compared with 38 for Molot. Our selection is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3.
The first-period market is supported by the matchup profile rather than by a broad expectation of a low-scoring game. Molot have won all six previous meetings, including the latest 3:0, while Kristall are coming off a physically weaker stretch and conceded four goals to Toros in their most recent outing. Perm also kept a clean sheet in their latest match at Dizel, winning 3:0. At least one team is expected to remain scoreless during the opening period.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3 is the recommended selection. Molot’s stronger defensive record, six consecutive head-to-head wins and Kristall’s reported physical decline make an opening-period goal from both sides unlikely.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Toros Neftekamskhome3:4
- Izhstalhome1:0
- Olimpiya Kirovo-Chepetskhome2:3
- Tambovhome3:2
- Buran Voronezhhome4:2
- Dizel Penzaaway3:0
- Tambovaway0:1
- Buran Voronezhaway2:5
- Yugrahome3:2
- Rubin Tyumenhome5:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Neftyanik Almetyevsk | 21 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 57:41 | 32 |
| 5 | Molot Perm | 22 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 61:38 | 31 |
| 6 | Yuzhny Ural | 21 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 58:47 | 31 |
| 12 | Kaluga | 23 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 49:41 | 29 |
| 13 | Kristall Saratov | 20 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 51:58 | 26 |
| 14 | Buran Voronezh | 21 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 45:39 | 26 |
Head-to-head
- 24.02.2026Kristall Saratov0:3Molot PermVHL
- 30.09.2025Molot Perm4:2Kristall SaratovVHL
- 12.12.2024Molot Perm4:3Kristall SaratovVHL
- 02.12.2024Kristall Saratov1:2Molot PermVHL
- 31.01.2024Molot Perm7:2Kristall SaratovVHL
About the match
- 12 November · 09:30 New York
- Venue: DS Kristall (Saratov)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market: away favouritism is easing
The margin-free 1X2 assessment makes Molot favourites at 44.4%, against 32.4% for Kristall and 23.2% for a regulation draw. Over the past 24 hours, support has shifted towards the hosts, with confidence in both the away win and draw weakening. Perm retain the largest individual probability, but remain below 50%.
Over 4.5 goals carries 55.8% and is attracting support; Under is losing ground. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 82.1% with no notable movement. The totals market therefore leans towards scoring despite the lower-scoring Saratov head-to-head pattern. No Asian handicap movement is supplied.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.3
- Potential win
- 30 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.3
- Status
- pending