VHL Forecast: Kaluga vs CSK VVS Samara Match Preview
Kaluga
CSK VVS SamaraMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.36 pending
- Period 3: Not: Kaluga win and total over 1.5 1.25 pending
Kaluga hosts CSK VVS Samara at Sports Palace Central in a VHL meeting between two teams arriving after five consecutive defeats. Kaluga is in twelfth place, while Samara is at the bottom of the table and needs points to reduce a substantial gap from the teams above.
Kaluga: defensive decline behind a long losing run
Kaluga has lost all five of its latest matches. The team was shut out against SKA-VMF and Dynamo Saint Petersburg, then scored twice and three times in successive home defeats to Bars Kazan and Neftyanik Almetyevsk. The home trend is more productive offensively.
Where Kaluga can gain control
- Home scoring has improved in recent matches.
- The team has scored in 3 of its last 5 matches, showing more threat than the away shutouts suggest.
- Kaluga has conceded in all 5 games.
- The table record is stronger than Samara’s: 27 points from 22 matches, compared with 11 from 20.
The main tactical concern is the repeated concession of three or more goals, including both recent home fixtures.
- Neftyanik Almetyevskhome3:4
- Bars Kazanhome2:3
- SKA-VMFaway0:2
- Dynamo Saint Petersburgaway0:3
- Zvezda Moscowaway2:3
CSK VVS Samara: scoring threat without defensive stability
Samara’s latest five matches also ended in defeat. The most recent road loss to AKM Tula Oblast finished 5:3, following away defeats to Neftyanik Almetyevsk, Bars Kazan, and Ryazan-VDV. Samara scored in 4 of the last 5, so its attack has remained more reliable than its results.
Samara’s main statistical profile
- Samara scored in 4 of the last 5 matches, including 3 in the latest game.
- Samara’s defensive record has been weaker than Kaluga’s over the recent sequence.
- Four scoring games in five, but two goals or fewer in three of them.
- Thirty-nine goals scored and 69 conceded in the league, with only 11 points from 20 matches.
According to the available team news, Samara’s squad was reinforced by 25-year-old goaltender Ilya Gorbunov on November 3, and the club lists the roster as ready. No other injuries, suspensions, or confirmed line combinations are provided. Gorbunov’s save percentage is not available, so his arrival cannot yet be translated into a measurable defensive improvement. Samara’s penalty-kill and power-play figures are likewise absent.
Head-to-head information
No head-to-head matches are included in the available match data, so there is no verified comparison of previous winners or scoring averages.
- AKM Tula Oblastaway3:5
- Ryazan-VDVaway1:2
- Bars Kazanaway2:3
- Neftyanik Almetyevskaway2:3
- SKA-VMFhome0:5
Team news and the available squad update
The only confirmed personnel update concerns CSK VVS Samara: Ilya Gorbunov joined the squad on November 3, and the team is reported as ready. The provided facts contain no confirmed injury or suspension news for Kaluga and no additional lineup information for either side.
The schedule leaves both teams with a short recovery window after their latest matches on November 7. Kaluga lost 4:3 at home to Neftyanik Almetyevsk, while Samara conceded five goals away to AKM Tula Oblast. That combination points to defensive workload and late-game concentration as relevant factors, especially for the visitors completing another road fixture.
Line-ups
Kaluga
Substitutes: 48. Georgi Kuznetsov
CSK VVS Samara
Substitutes: 79. Yevgeni Kiselyov
Our Prediction
Kaluga hosts CSK VVS Samara after both teams have lost five matches in a row, so the first period is more likely to begin with caution than with an open exchange of chances. Kaluga scored 2, 0, 0, 2 and 3 goals in its last five games, while Samara scored 0, 2, 2, 1 and 3. Both sides also conceded in all five matches, but their recent scoring consistency is not strong enough to expect goals at both ends immediately.
The market gives Kaluga a 55.8% chance of winning, against 22.3% for Samara, while the low first-period scoring angle is supported by Kaluga’s recent scoring results and Samara’s failure to score against SKA-VMF. Samara has added goaltender Ilya Gorbunov to the squad, according to the club’s update. Our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25. The expected first-period score is 0:0.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25 is the selection. Five consecutive defeats for each team and uneven full-match scoring records point toward at least one side remaining scoreless before the first intermission.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Neftyanik Almetyevskhome3:4
- Bars Kazanhome2:3
- SKA-VMFaway0:2
- Dynamo Saint Petersburgaway0:3
- Zvezda Moscowaway2:3
- AKM Tula Oblastaway3:5
- Ryazan-VDVaway1:2
- Bars Kazanaway2:3
- Neftyanik Almetyevskaway2:3
- SKA-VMFhome0:5
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Yugra | 21 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 52:36 | 27 |
| 12 | Kaluga | 22 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 48:41 | 27 |
| 13 | Buran Voronezh | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 44:37 | 26 |
| 29 | Izhstal | 22 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 47:67 | 14 |
| 30 | CSK VVS Samara | 20 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 39:69 | 11 |
About the match
- 9 November · 11:00 New York
- Venue: Sports Palace Central (Kaluga)
Odds
odds before kick-off
What the market is emphasizing
The 1X2 market makes Kaluga the clear favorite, assigning 55.8% to a home win, compared with 21.8% for a draw and 22.3% for an away win. The line has shown no meaningful movement, which indicates a stable assessment rather than a late reaction to new team information.
The goal-total market is almost balanced, with 50.9% on the higher side and 49.1% on the lower side; the higher-goal line has shortened, showing a modest increase in support for a more productive game. The strongest market signal is both teams to score at 77.9%. That view matches the recent defensive records: both teams have conceded in all five latest matches, while Samara scored in four and Kaluga in three.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.26
- Odds at prediction
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.26
- Potential win
- 26 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.25
- Status
- pending