Prediction: Aviator Baranavichy — Brest in Belarus Extraliga
Aviator Baranavichy
BrestMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.28 pending
Aviator Baranavichy host Brest at Sport Ice Palace in the Belarus Extraliga. Brest are sixth with 27 points from 20 games; Aviator are tenth with 19. Brest trail the leaders by six points, while Aviator are fourteen points back.
Aviator Baranavichy: defensive collapse and a shortened roster
Recent form and home profile
Aviator have won once and lost four times in their last five games. They lost their last two matches to Neman, 0:8 and 2:5. Recent home results include a 3:2 win over Dinamo-Maladzyechna and defeats by Gomel and Dinamo-Maladzyechna, 1:6 and 2:7. Aviator scored in four of their last five games and conceded in all five.
Strengths, weaknesses and available players
- Aviator scored in four of their last five matches.
- They conceded in all five games over that span, including 8 against Neman.
- Their recent home results included a 3:2 win over Dinamo-Maladzyechna and defeats by Gomel and Dinamo-Maladzyechna, 1:6 and 2:7.
- Aviator are tenth with 56 goals for and 78 against after 20 league matches.
Head coach Georgy Ryazantsev said the club lacks enough players for a full lineup because of army call-ups and injuries. No named injured or suspended players, confirmed starting lineup, goalkeeper choice, save percentage, power-play unit or penalty-killing unit is available. Ryazantsev called for the team to avoid breaking down and respond with the right attitude.
- Nemanaway2:5
- Nemanaway0:8
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome3:2
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome2:7
- Gomelhome1:6
Brest arrive with the stronger scoring base
Form, venue split and tactical balance
Brest have won three and lost two of their last five. They won two of three away games in that sequence, beating Lokomotiv Orsha 6:1 and Slavutich Smolensk 3:1; their away defeat was 2:3 against Slavutich. At home, Brest split two meetings with HK Mogilev, winning 3:0 and losing 1:2. They scored in all five recent games and conceded in four.
Key indicators before the puck drop
- Brest have 59 goals for and 42 against in 20 league matches.
- They have 59 goals for and 42 against in 20 league matches.
- Four of Brest’s last five games produced goals at both ends; the exception was the 3:0 win over HK Mogilev.
- Brest scored 11 goals in their three recent road games.
No confirmed news names Brest injuries, suspensions, a probable lineup or a goalkeeper. Save percentage, power-play efficiency and penalty-killing efficiency are also unavailable, so the special-teams comparison cannot be quantified.
- HK Mogilevhome1:2
- HK Mogilevhome3:0
- Slavutich Smolenskaway2:3
- Slavutich Smolenskaway3:1
- Lokomotiv Orshaaway6:1
Head-to-head pattern favors Brest
Aviator have won three of the eleven official meetings over the last five years, while Brest have won eight; there were no draws. Brest won six of the latest eight meetings, with Aviator winning two. The most recent four finished 2:1, 5:0 and 3:2 for Brest, plus Aviator’s 3:1 home win, giving Brest 16 goals and Aviator 6.
Across the eight listed official meetings, Brest scored 29 goals and Aviator 15. Aviator’s two home wins in October 2025 show that the venue can alter the matchup, but the recent sequence favors Brest.
- 24.08.2026Brest3:2Aviator BaranavichyBelarus Cup
- 18.02.2026Brest5:0Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
- 16.02.2026Brest2:1Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
- 19.10.2025Aviator Baranavichy3:1BrestBelarus. Extraliga
- 17.10.2025Aviator Baranavichy4:2BrestBelarus. Extraliga
Team news and motivation around the game
The main confirmed development concerns Aviator’s squad depth. Ryazantsev said army call-ups and injuries have prevented the club from assembling a full roster. His later comment focused on keeping the team together and restoring discipline. No additional verified expert opinion, medical detail, disciplinary decision or lineup announcement is available.
Brest are six points behind the leaders and one point above Lida, so another loss could damage their position in the upper group. Aviator are four points behind Vitebsk and five above HK Mogilev; their defensive record makes every point valuable.
Line-ups
Aviator Baranavichy
Substitutes: 19. Ilya Paranin, 27. Alexey Vertinsky, 35. Nikita Kiverov, 96. Ivan Kostko
Brest
Substitutes: 29. Danila Isayenko
Our Prognosis
Our bet — Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.32. The first period should favor a cautious, one-sided start rather than an exchange of goals. Aviator Baranavichy have conceded 6, 7, 2, 8 and 5 goals across their last five matches, including eight and five against Neman, while their weakened roster is linked to army call-ups and injuries. The head coach has confirmed that the team cannot consistently assemble a full lineup, which directly affects defensive organization and early-game intensity.
Brest enter with the stronger competitive profile: 3 wins in their last 5 games, 9 goals in their two recent away victories, and 6 wins in the latest 8 meetings with Aviator. At the same time, Brest have scored only once in their most recent match, so an explosive opening from both sides is not guaranteed. The market rates Brest as the clear favorite at 65.5%, while Aviator’s win probability is 16.2%.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.32 is supported by Aviator’s shortened roster, their fragile defensive form and Brest’s superior results. The most likely scenario is that one team, preferably Brest, takes the early scoring initiative while the opponent remains scoreless.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Nemanaway2:5
- Nemanaway0:8
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome3:2
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome2:7
- Gomelhome1:6
- HK Mogilevhome1:2
- HK Mogilevhome3:0
- Slavutich Smolenskaway2:3
- Slavutich Smolenskaway3:1
- Lokomotiv Orshaaway6:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Slavutich Smolensk | 20 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 71:53 | 28 |
| 6 | Brest | 20 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 59:42 | 27 |
| 7 | Lida | 21 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 60:44 | 26 |
| 8 | Neman | 21 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 57:45 | 25 |
| 9 | Vitebsk | 21 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 55:58 | 19 |
| 10 | Aviator Baranavichy | 20 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 56:78 | 19 |
| 11 | HK Mogilev | 20 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 42:70 | 14 |
Head-to-head
- 24.08.2026Brest3:2Aviator BaranavichyBelarus Cup
- 18.02.2026Brest5:0Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
- 16.02.2026Brest2:1Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
- 19.10.2025Aviator Baranavichy3:1BrestBelarus. Extraliga
- 17.10.2025Aviator Baranavichy4:2BrestBelarus. Extraliga
About the match
- 9 November · 11:00 New York
- Venue: Sport Ice Palace (Baranovichy)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market reading and goal-line context
The market makes Brest the clear favorite, assigning 65.5% to an away win, 16.2% to an Aviator win and 18.2% to a draw. The line showed no meaningful movement over the last day despite Aviator’s roster concerns. The 1X2 margin is 9.8%, so these probabilities are market estimates rather than exact match probabilities.
The goal market is balanced around the displayed total: Over is 48% and Under 52%. BTTS is favored at 80.7%, reflecting Aviator’s scoring in four of five recent games, Brest’s scoring in all five and Brest conceding in four. The market favors Brest while leaving the total-goals direction open.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 69%
- Market estimate
- 69%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.32
- Potential win
- 32 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.32
- Status
- pending
