Veles Moscow vs KAMAZ: Russian Championship League 1 prediction
Veles Moscow
KAMAZMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (0.5) 1.29 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.3 pending
Veles Moscow host KAMAZ at Avangard Stadium in Domodedovo in Tour 17 of the Russian Championship. League 1. The hosts are sixth with 28 points from 17 matches; KAMAZ are sixteenth with 14 points from 16 games. Veles are near the top of the table, while KAMAZ are trying to move away from the relegation zone. The November conditions are +4°C, with no precipitation and light wind.
Veles Moscow: stronger home record, unstable recent results
Veles have taken 28 points from 17 matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding 20. At home, they have five wins, two draws and two defeats in nine games, with a 14:10 goal balance. Their last five matches brought one win, two draws and two losses. Veles scored in four of those games but conceded in all five. Their latest result was a 1:1 home draw with Spartak Kostroma.
Form profile and squad situation
- Veles average 1.24 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per league match.
- Both teams scored in 11 of 17 league games; seven finished with more than 2.5 goals.
- Veles kept four clean sheets, but none in their last five matches.
- At home, Veles have scored 14 goals in nine games.
Central defender Vladislav Volkov has been out since mid-September. Defender Mikhail Rybalko is also unavailable, while forward Zakhar Tarasenko is doubtful after an October injury. Media reports indicate no new serious squad losses. Karim Girayev has two goals in four appearances; Smirnov has one goal in five matches.
- Spartak Kostromahome1:1
- Volga Ulyanovskaway0:1
- Shinnik Yaroslavlhome1:1
- Uralaway2:1
- Volga Ulyanovskhome1:2
KAMAZ: productive attack but a vulnerable defence
KAMAZ have won three, drawn five and lost eight of their 16 league matches. Their goal balance is 20:28, with averages of 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Away from home, they have two wins, three draws and three defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 15. In their last five matches, KAMAZ have two wins, two draws and one defeat. They scored in all five but conceded in four, including a 3:4 defeat at Arsenal Tula.
Attacking output and defensive risks
- Both teams scored in 11 of 16 league matches.
- Eight matches finished with more than 2.5 goals.
- KAMAZ have kept only two clean sheets in the league.
- KAMAZ have scored in all five most recent matches.
KAMAZ are sixteenth. Their away goal balance shows persistent defensive problems. Vitaly Semenov has two goals in four appearances, while Evgeni Voronin and Maksim Laykin have one each in four matches. Media reports indicate no new serious injuries and an almost optimal squad.
- Torpedo Moscowhome1:1
- Arsenal Tulaaway3:4
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskhome2:1
- SKA-Khabarovskaway3:3
- Shinnik Yaroslavlaway1:0
Head-to-head record favours the hosts
The teams have met three times in official matches over the last five years. Veles won twice and drew once, remaining unbeaten. The latest meeting ended in a 2:0 Veles away win in April 2023; the previous match in Domodedovo was a 1:1 draw.
The sample is small, but Veles have avoided defeat in all three meetings. KAMAZ have not kept a clean sheet against Veles in the available series.
- 15.04.2023KAMAZ0:2Veles MoscowRussian Championship. League 1
- 25.09.2022Veles Moscow1:1KAMAZRussian Championship. League 1
- 10.04.2022KAMAZ1:3Veles MoscowRussian Championship. League 1
- 29.09.2021Veles Moscow0:0KAMAZRussian Championship. League 1
Team news, motivation and available opinions
Veles have not won in three league rounds, and local coverage reports growing pressure from supporters for a victory. Karim Girayev said the team approaches each match separately and aims to win. Veles have collected 17 of their 28 points at home.
KAMAZ have lost once in their last five matches and scored in each of them. Their focus is on escaping the bottom of the table. Veles’ defensive absences and Tarasenko’s uncertain status affect the hosts’ defensive security and attacking depth. No further expert opinions or confirmed starting elevens are available.
Line-ups
Veles Moscow
Starting XI: 5. Artur Koloskov, 9. Karim Giraev, 11. Kirill Korolkov, 15. Konstantin Pliyev, 17. Pavel Kotov, 22. Urii Zavezen, 41. Sergey Samok, 77. Oleg Smirnov, 90. Vladislav Galkin, 94. Dmitri Kuchugura, 97. Alexander Shubin
Substitutes: 6. Islam Melikov, 7. Arthur Murza, 10. Muslim Bammatgereev, 18. Dmitriy Sergejev, 23. Kirill Skvortsov, 40. Aleksandr Bezchasnyuk, 70. Matvey Zakharzhevskiy, 76. Ilya Kuptsov, 87. Ivan Nikin, 88. Dmitri Sadov, 99. Nuri Abdokov
Coach: Aleksey Stukalov
KAMAZ
Starting XI: 2. David Hubaev, 7. Ruslan Ayukin, 10. Roman Zashchepkin, 15. Igor Burko, 25. Merabi Uridia, 30. Jevgeni Zamerets, 37. Evgeni Voronin, 67. Roman Tkachuk, 76. Artyom Sukhanov, 79. Vitaly Semenov, 99. Roman Akbashev
Substitutes: 5. Saveliy Ratnikov, 8. Efim Dolgopolov, 9. Ilya Moseychuk, 11. Alexander Kokotun, 13. Nazar Rybalchenko, 19. Maksim Bogdanets, 22. Andrey Solodukhin, 27. Roman Manuylov, 28. Mukhammad Sultonov, 31. Artur Anisimov, 65. Ivan Gulko, 83. Maksim Laykin
Coach: Anton Khazov
Our prediction
Veles Moscow should find the net at Avangard. The hosts have scored 14 goals in 9 home league matches and have scored in 4 of their last 5 fixtures. KAMAZ has conceded 28 goals in 16 league matches, while keeping a clean sheet only twice. The visitors have also allowed goals in 4 of their last 5 games, including four against Arsenal Tula.
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) 1.3. It requires only one Veles goal and is less dependent on the final result than the 1X2 market. The hosts have won 5 of 9 home matches, while KAMAZ has collected only 14 points from 16 league games. Veles’ defensive absences — Vladislav Volkov and Mikhail Rybalko are out, while striker Zakhar Tarasenko is doubtful — add risk at the back and make a high-scoring away response possible, but they do not erase the home team’s scoring trend. The most likely score for this selection is 1:1.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) 1.3 is supported by Veles’ 14 home goals and KAMAZ’s 28 conceded across the tournament. One accurate attack from the hosts is enough to fulfil the selection.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Spartak Kostromahome1:1
- Volga Ulyanovskaway0:1
- Shinnik Yaroslavlhome1:1
- Uralaway2:1
- Volga Ulyanovskhome1:2
- Torpedo Moscowhome1:1
- Arsenal Tulaaway3:4
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskhome2:1
- SKA-Khabarovskaway3:3
- Shinnik Yaroslavlaway1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartak Kostroma | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Veles Moscow | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21:20 | 28 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 15 | SKA-Khabarovsk | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23:28 | 16 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 17 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 11:25 | 13 |
Head-to-head
- 15.04.2023KAMAZ0:2Veles MoscowRussian Championship. League 1
- 25.09.2022Veles Moscow1:1KAMAZRussian Championship. League 1
- 10.04.2022KAMAZ1:3Veles MoscowRussian Championship. League 1
- 29.09.2021Veles Moscow0:0KAMAZRussian Championship. League 1
About the match
- 9 November · 11:30 New York
- Venue: Avangard (Domodedovo), Domodedovo
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal expectations
Veles are the favourite in the 1X2 market, but the edge is moderate: the home win is assessed at 40.2%, the draw at 28.6% and the away win at 31.3%. The market gives Veles an advantage through home form and league position, while assigning KAMAZ a substantial chance of taking points. The line has shown no notable movement over the last 24 hours.
The goals market favours Under 2.5 at 56.9%, compared with 43.2% for Over 2.5. BTTS is nearly balanced: “Yes” is assessed at 49.8% and “No” at 50.2%. Both teams have scored in 22 of their combined 33 league matches.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (0.5)
- Odds
- 1.27
- Odds at prediction
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.24
- Status
- pending