Fiorentina — Juventus Prediction: Serie A Match Analysis
Fiorentina
JuventusMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.41 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5) 1.29 pending
Fiorentina host Juventus at the Artemio Franchi on November 8 in Serie A's 11th round. The hosts are 16th with eight points, fighting to stay clear of relegation trouble. Juventus are seventh on 17 points, three behind sixth-placed Frosinone and 11 behind leaders Lazio; closing the gap to sixth is their immediate target.
Fiorentina: scoring gains, defensive costs
Recent results and the home split
Fiorentina followed defeats against Genoa, Como and Inter with a draw against Atalanta and a 4–2 away win over Sassuolo. They scored nine goals and conceded 11 across those five games, scoring in each but allowing at least two every time. Two home draws and three defeats leave them without a league victory at the Artemio Franchi.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Fiorentina have scored 15 league goals, averaging 1.5 per game—a higher return than Juventus.
- They have conceded 23 goals without keeping a clean sheet in 10 league fixtures.
- BTTS has landed eight times and Over 2.5 goals nine times in those 10 matches.
- At home, they have scored five goals and conceded 11.
Selection information
The provided match information does not specify Fiorentina's selection.
- Sassuolo Calcioaway4:2
- Atalantahome2:2
- Internazionale Milanoaway1:2
- Comohome1:3
- Genoaaway1:2
Juventus: defensive control meets a short turnaround
Results across two competitions
Juventus have three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding five. A 2–0 league win over Napoli was followed by Thursday's 2–1 Europa League victory at AZ Alkmaar, leaving less recovery time than Fiorentina, who last played on Monday.
Away in Serie A, Juventus have two wins, one draw and two defeats.
The balance behind their position
- Juventus have kept five clean sheets in 10 league matches.
- Only two league games have exceeded 2.5 goals, while BTTS has occurred in three.
- Away from home, they have scored six goals and conceded six.
Availability in defence and midfield
Andrea Cambiaso is ruled out through injury. Zeki Celik has completed part of training following a hamstring injury and could return. Weston McKennie may also feature after recovering from an adductor problem.
- AZ Alkmaaraway2:1
- Napolihome2:0
- Genoaaway0:2
- Lecceaway2:0
- Stade Rennaishome2:2
Recent meetings soften the historical advantage
Juventus lead the five-year record with five wins to Fiorentina's three, alongside three draws. Fiorentina are unbeaten in the latest four meetings, with two victories and two draws. Those games produced 11 goals and two Fiorentina clean sheets. Across the eight listed encounters, only two finished above 2.5 goals, contrasting with the hosts' recent scoring pattern.
- 17.05.2026Juventus0:2FiorentinaItaly. Serie A
- 22.11.2025Fiorentina1:1JuventusItaly. Serie A
- 16.03.2025Fiorentina3:0JuventusItaly. Serie A
- 29.12.2024Juventus2:2FiorentinaItaly. Serie A
- 07.04.2024Juventus1:0FiorentinaItaly. Serie A
The immediate talking points
Fiorentina's attacking improvement has yet to repair their defensive record. Juventus have either won without conceding or lost without scoring in the last four league rounds.
Our forecast
Fiorentina’s defensive record creates the clearest route to this bet: 23 goals conceded in 10 Serie A matches, with no clean sheet all season. At the Artemio Franchi, they have allowed 11 goals across five league games and have not won at home. Their last five matches brought 9 goals scored but 11 conceded, with both teams scoring each time.
Juventus have scored exactly two goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, including the recent wins over Napoli and AZ Alkmaar. The Turin side has also won its last two games, while Fiorentina’s defensive errors repeatedly appear even when their attack produces. Andrea Cambiaso is unavailable, while Weston McKennie and Zeki Celik remain possible options; no further squad news is provided. Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.37.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (1) is supported by Fiorentina’s 2.3 goals conceded per league match and 11 goals allowed at home. Juventus have the scoring consistency required to reach at least two goals in Florence.
FAQ
When does Fiorentina — Juventus kick off?
The match starts on 08.11.2026 at 14:45 (New York), Artemio Franchi (Florence).
What is the prediction for Fiorentina — Juventus?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) at 1.37.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Fiorentina win — 28%, draw — 28%, Juventus win — 44%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Sassuolo Calcioaway4:2
- Atalantahome2:2
- Internazionale Milanoaway1:2
- Comohome1:3
- Genoaaway1:2
- AZ Alkmaaraway2:1
- Napolihome2:0
- Genoaaway0:2
- Lecceaway2:0
- Stade Rennaishome2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Bologna 1909 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 17.05.2026Juventus0:2FiorentinaItaly. Serie A
- 22.11.2025Fiorentina1:1JuventusItaly. Serie A
- 16.03.2025Fiorentina3:0JuventusItaly. Serie A
- 29.12.2024Juventus2:2FiorentinaItaly. Serie A
- 07.04.2024Juventus1:0FiorentinaItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 8 November · 14:45 New York
- Venue: Artemio Franchi (Florence)
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 0.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 08.11 06:20
Market preference without majority confidence
Juventus are 1X2 favourites with a margin-free probability of 45.7%, short of a majority. Fiorentina stand at 27.3% and the draw at 26.9%. Over the past 24 hours, away-win odds have drifted while home-win and draw odds have shortened.
Over 2.5 goals has a narrow 53% preference despite movement towards Under; BTTS stands at 57.1% with no notable change. Both goals markets favour scoring, but Juventus's defensive record opposes that assessment.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.37
- Odds at prediction
- 1.33
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 69%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.37
- Potential win
- 37 $
- Status
- pending