Chile Primera Division forecast: Universidad Catolica Santiago vs Deportes
Universidad Catolica Santiago
Deportes LimacheMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.28 lost
Match result
Universidad Catolica Santiago 3:0 Deportes Limache (3:0, 0:0)
Universidad Catolica Santiago secured a 3:0 victory over Deportes Limache in Chile. Primera Division. All goals were scored in the first period, which ended 3:0, followed by a 0:0 second period. Our W1 bet won.
Our prediction: W1 at 1.51 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.28 — the bet lost.
Universidad Catolica Santiago host Deportes Limache at Claro Arena in Las Condes in round 27 of Chile’s Primera Division. The hosts are third with 46 points. Limache are level with Everton in the race for positions near the top.
Catolica: home strength, modest recent scoring
Results and scoring rhythm
Catolica’s last five matches produced one win, two draws and two defeats. They beat Universidad de Chile 1:0 at home in their latest match, after a 1:1 draw with Audax Italiano and a 1:3 defeat at Union La Calera. Their recent home appearances have included low-scoring results.
Where the hosts gain and lose ground
Catolica’s home league record is seven wins, three draws and three losses, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded in 13 games. They average 2.04 goals per match overall, while six clean sheets in 26 fixtures show limited defensive consistency. BTTS occurred in 17 league matches and Over 2.5 goals in 18.
Availability and attacking options
Bernardo Cerezo is out with a meniscus injury, Juan Ignacio Diaz with pubalgia and Gary Medel with an Achilles problem. The absences affect two defenders and a midfielder. Diego Valencia is available after recovering from a cruciate ligament injury, adding a forward option without confirming a starting role.
- Universidad de Chilehome1:0
- Audax Italianohome1:1
- Union La Caleraaway1:3
- Union La Calerahome0:1
- Union La Caleraaway1:1
Limache: improving results before a difficult away trip
Recent momentum
Limache have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. They arrive after consecutive victories: 1:0 at Universidad de Concepcion and 2:0 against Audax Italiano. Their recent results include clean sheets, contrasting with Catolica’s recent form, although Limache’s previous away match ended in a 0:1 loss at Union La Calera.
Away vulnerabilities and goal trends
Limache’s league away record is four wins, three draws and six defeats, with 21 goals scored and 22 conceded. They average 1.85 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across the season; BTTS has landed in 14 of 26 games, Over 2.5 in 18, and seven matches have ended with a clean sheet.
Two absences in defensive positions
Defender Yerko Gonzalez is unavailable through injury, with a return expected no earlier than December 6. Defensive midfielder Ramon Martinez is also out after a cruciate ligament tear, with a return expected no earlier than December 31. Both are absent from positions central to protecting the penalty area.
- Audax Italianohome2:0
- Universidad de Concepcionaway1:0
- Palestinohome2:2
- Union La Caleraaway0:1
- Cobresalhome3:0
Previous meetings favour Catolica
Catolica won all three official meetings over the last five years. The only previous encounter at their ground finished 2:1; both away victories came without conceding, including May’s 2:0 result. The previous meetings provide additional context for the match-up.
- 17.05.2026Deportes Limache0:2Universidad Catolica SantiagoChile. Primera Division
- 13.09.2025Deportes Limache0:1Universidad Catolica SantiagoChile. Primera Division
- 19.04.2025Universidad Catolica Santiago2:1Deportes LimacheChile. Primera Division
What remains unconfirmed
Line-ups
Universidad Catolica Santiago
Starting XI: 3. Eugenio Mena, 5. Agustin Farias, 9. Fernando Zampedri, 11. Clemente Montes, 14. Jimmy Antonio Martinez, 15. Cristian Cuevas, 18. Juan Rossel, 20. Jhojan Valencia, 23. Tomas Astaburuaga, 26. Jose Diaz, 27. Dario Melo
Substitutes: 1. Vicente Bernedo, 2. Daniel Enrique Gonzalez Orellana, 7. Justo Giani, 8. Fernando Zuqui, 10. Matias Palavecino, 13. Alfred Canales, 21. Agustin Garcia Basso, 25. Diego Corral, 30. Diego Martin Valencia Morello
Coach: Daniel Garnero
Deportes Limache
Starting XI: 2. Augusto Aguirre, 6. Cesar Fuentes, 9. Gonzalo Sosa, 10. Leonardo Felipe Valencia Rossel, 11. Javier Rojas, 16. Jean Meneses, 19. Daniel Esteban Castro, 23. Cesar Bernardo Dutra, 24. Alfonso Parot, 25. Misael Llanten, 33. Dylan Alejandro Escobar Alvarez
Substitutes: 4. Marcelo Flores, 5. Axel Alfonzo, 7. Carlos Morales, 15. Vicente Alvarez, 17. Claudio Gonzalez, 26. Marcos Luis Arturia, 27. Tiago Galletto Lopez, 32. Vicente Carcamo
Coach: Victor Rivero
Before the Match
Universidad Catolica Santiago are third with 46 points, while Deportes Limache are fourth with 40. Bernardo Cerezo, Gary Medel and Juan Ignacio Diaz are unavailable through injury for the hosts. Diego Valencia has returned after a cruciate-ligament injury and is available for selection. Limache will be without defender Yerko Gonzalez and holding midfielder Ramon Martinez. No additional suspension or lineup information is available.
Our Forecast
Our pick is W1 1.51. Catolica have won seven of thirteen league matches at Claro Arena, scoring 31 goals and conceding 17. They are third in the table with 53 goals across the campaign, while Limache have conceded 22 in thirteen away fixtures and lost six of those matches. The absences in Catolica’s defence reduce depth, but Valencia’s return adds an attacking option.
Catolica have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, including a 1:0 home victory over Universidad de Chile. Limache have three wins, one draw and one defeat in the same period, with two consecutive victories. Catolica won all three previous official meetings, scoring five goals and conceding one. Limache’s missing central midfielder is a further issue against a host likely to press through the middle. Expected score: 2:1.
Conclusion
W1 1.51 is the selection. Catolica’s seven home wins, third-place position and three victories in the previous meetings outweigh Limache’s recent form.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Universidad de Chilehome1:0
- Audax Italianohome1:1
- Union La Caleraaway1:3
- Union La Calerahome0:1
- Union La Caleraaway1:1
- Audax Italianohome2:0
- Universidad de Concepcionaway1:0
- Palestinohome2:2
- Union La Caleraaway0:1
- Cobresalhome3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 45:21 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica Santiago | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53:37 | 46 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina del Mar | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:35 | 40 |
Head-to-head
- 17.05.2026Deportes Limache0:2Universidad Catolica SantiagoChile. Primera Division
- 13.09.2025Deportes Limache0:1Universidad Catolica SantiagoChile. Primera Division
- 19.04.2025Universidad Catolica Santiago2:1Deportes LimacheChile. Primera Division
About the match
- 8 November · 10:30 New York
- Venue: Claro Arena (Las Condes), Las-Kondes
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market confidence softens around the favourite
Catolica remain the market favourite, with a margin-adjusted home-win probability of 60.5%, but support has weakened over the last 24 hours while the draw and away win have gained backing. The movement reflects Catolica’s stronger home record against Limache’s better recent results.
Under 3.5 goals retains the larger probability at 56%, although movement has favoured the Over. BTTS is assessed at 59.6% and has also attracted support. The market therefore leans towards both teams scoring without making four or more goals the likelier outcome.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Odds
- 1.51
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 60%
- Market estimate
- 60%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.51
- Potential win
- 51 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.51
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +51 $