Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils: NHL Match Prediction
Washington Capitals
New Jersey DevilsWashington hosts New Jersey at Capital One Arena on November 14 at 19:00 Eastern. The Capitals sit ninth in the Eastern Conference with 20 points from 17 games; the Devils are fourth with 28 from 20. New Jersey trails conference leader Carolina by four points.
Washington: scoring has not covered the defensive cost
Recent form and home results
The Capitals have two wins in five games, scoring 15 goals and conceding 21. Their three home fixtures in that stretch produced one win, 10 goals for and 14 against. The subsequent road games brought a victory in Ottawa and a defeat in Newark. Washington scored and conceded in every game of this sample.
Strengths and pressure points
- Three of the last five games finished above 5.5 goals.
- Washington allowed at least five goals in each of its three defeats.
- The season goal balance is level: 58 scored and 58 conceded.
Personnel and preparation
Alex Ovechkin's regular-season goalless run has reached 12 games, leaving a major scoring contributor without a finish during that stretch. Washington returns home after consecutive away fixtures, with one full day between its latest game and this rematch.
- New Jersey Devilsaway2:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway3:2
- Florida Panthershome4:3
- Dallas Starshome5:6
- Minnesota Wildhome1:5
New Jersey: deeper scoring across a busy stretch
Five-game momentum
The Devils have won four of their last five, scoring 21 goals and allowing 14. Their three away games in that sequence yielded two wins and a combined 11–8 goal balance. New Jersey scored at least four times in every victory; its lone defeat came in Winnipeg.
Attacking output and defensive variation
- The season totals are 73 goals for and 57 against.
- Four of the last five games exceeded 5.5 goals.
- A shutout in Toronto sits alongside three games with four goals conceded.
Contributors and workload
Vladislav Kolyachonok scored the winner in his first appearance of the season against Washington. Lenni Hameenaho and Stefan Noesen also scored after call-ups from Utica, while Arseni Gritsyuk supplied two assists. This is New Jersey's sixth game since November 5, following a three-game road sequence and a home stop before travelling to Washington.
- Washington Capitalshome5:2
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:4
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:0
- New York Islandersaway5:4
- St. Louis Blueshome5:4
Head-to-head edge belongs to Washington
The five-year summary lists nine Capitals wins and six defeats across 15 meetings. Washington won five of the eight listed encounters, although that sample includes a preseason game. Those eight produced 54 goals, averaging 6.75 per game, with five finishing above 5.5.
The two meetings this season were split: Washington won 4–2 at home in October, before New Jersey answered 5–2 on November 12. The venue has therefore favoured the hosts in both, rather than either team establishing a season-series advantage.
- 13.11.2026New Jersey Devils5:2Washington CapitalsNHL
- 17.10.2026Washington Capitals4:2New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 02.04.2026New Jersey Devils7:3Washington CapitalsNHL
- 20.03.2026Washington Capitals2:1New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 28.12.2025New Jersey Devils3:4Washington CapitalsNHL
Rematch context without a confirmed tactical update
The two-day turnaround leaves little time for either coaching staff to make adjustments between meetings.
Our first-period pick
For Washington’s rematch with New Jersey at Capital One Arena, our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.44. The visitors’ stronger form makes a one-sided opening a credible scenario, rather than requiring both attacks to score before the first intermission.
Washington’s clearest attacking concern is Alex Ovechkin’s 12-game goalless run. New Jersey, meanwhile, shut out Toronto 4:0 on its recent road trip, showing it can keep an opponent scoreless. Those points support the Capitals being held off the board early, although neither establishes a first-period trend. The recent high-scoring results are a risk to this selection, not evidence for it. Our projected first-period score is 0:1.
Final assessment
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.44 is a cautious preference for an opening period in which at least one attack is contained. The case rests on Washington’s finishing concern and New Jersey’s demonstrated ability to record a shutout.
FAQ
When does Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils kick off?
The match starts on 14.11.2026 at 19:00 (New York), Capital One Arena (Washington).
What is the prediction for Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.44.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Washington Capitals win — 37%, draw — 23%, New Jersey Devils win — 40%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- New Jersey Devilsaway2:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway3:2
- Florida Panthershome4:3
- Dallas Starshome5:6
- Minnesota Wildhome1:5
- Washington Capitalshome5:2
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:4
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:0
- New York Islandersaway5:4
- St. Louis Blueshome5:4
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 67:57 | 28 |
| 4 | New Jersey Devils | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 73:57 | 28 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 19 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 70:46 | 27 |
| 6 | Ottawa Senators | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 64:60 | 26 |
| 7 | Florida Panthers | 20 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 65:60 | 24 |
| 8 | New York Rangers | 20 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 59:56 | 23 |
| 9 | Washington Capitals | 17 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 58:58 | 20 |
| 10 | New York Islanders | 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 54:54 | 20 |
Head-to-head
- 13.11.2026New Jersey Devils5:2Washington CapitalsNHL
- 17.10.2026Washington Capitals4:2New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 02.04.2026New Jersey Devils7:3Washington CapitalsNHL
- 20.03.2026Washington Capitals2:1New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 28.12.2025New Jersey Devils3:4Washington CapitalsNHL
About the match
- 14 November · 19:00 New York
- Venue: Capital One Arena (Washington)
Odds
Odds updated 13.11 19:10
A narrow away lean, with totals sentiment cooling
New Jersey is the slight favourite in the regulation-time 1X2 market: its margin-free probability is 40%, against Washington's 37.5% and 22.5% for a draw. Over the past 24 hours, support has moved towards the visitors and the draw, away from a home win. That is a small separation between the teams, not a strong market preference.
Over 5.5 retains the larger probability at 57.6%, compared with 42.4% for Under 5.5. Nevertheless, the line has moved towards Under during the same period. Recent high-scoring results remain reflected in the market, but the latest movement is towards a lower total.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.44
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 64%
- Market estimate
- 64%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
