NHL Match Prediction: Montreal Canadiens vs Colorado Avalanche
Montreal Canadiens
Colorado AvalancheMontreal host Colorado at Centre Bell on November 14 at 19:00 Eastern time. The Canadiens sit four points behind Carolina in the Eastern Conference, making this a chance to close the gap. Colorado arrive after consecutive wins, but without two central players.
Montreal: scoring depth across recent results
Recent form and venue split
The Canadiens have won three of their last five games. Their latest result was a 5:2 win in Boston.
Attacking output and defensive exposure
Montreal conceded in every game. Their season return of 67 goals scored and 57 conceded across 19 games puts the recent attacking production above their season average, without a corresponding run of shutouts.
Selection and preparation
Their last fixture was on November 12.
- Boston Bruinsaway5:2
- Minnesota Wildhome1:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:2
- Utah Mammothhome5:4
- Winnipeg Jetshome4:5
Colorado: improved results, major absences
A recovery after consecutive defeats
Colorado also have three wins from five. The sequence ended with a 4:0 victory over Detroit and a 6:3 win in Toronto.
Scoring range and goals allowed
The Avalanche scored in all five matches, but their output ranged from two goals to six. Three games exceeded 6.5 goals. The Detroit shutout was their only clean sheet in that sample; conceding seven in Columbus accounts for almost half their goals allowed across the stretch.
Missing personnel and calendar
Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar will not play after suffering injuries against Ottawa. Their absences change the personnel available at centre and on defence, but no replacement combinations are confirmed. The listed results end on November 10, while the injury update refers to a later Ottawa game, so that list cannot establish Colorado's actual rest interval or full travel burden.
- Ottawa Senatorsaway3:4
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway6:3
- Detroit Red Wingshome4:0
- Nashville Predatorshome2:3
- Columbus Blue Jacketsaway2:7
Head-to-head: Colorado lead, totals fluctuate
Colorado won six of the ten official meetings over five years. The eight detailed results contain 55 goals, averaging 6.875 per game, with five exceeding 6.5. Montreal won the latest meeting 7:3 in January 2026, but the same sequence includes three games with only three total goals. The history contains both low-scoring contests and high totals rather than a uniform pattern.
- 30.01.2026Montreal Canadiens7:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 29.11.2025Colorado Avalanche7:2Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 22.03.2025Montreal Canadiens4:5Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 05.01.2025Colorado Avalanche1:2Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 27.03.2024Colorado Avalanche1:2Montreal CanadiensNHL
What remains unconfirmed before faceoff
No expert commentary, confirmed starting goaltenders, save percentages, power-play or penalty-kill figures are supplied; those omissions prevent a numerical comparison of goaltending and special teams.
Our first-period pick
Our pick for Montreal against Colorado is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.47. Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar are ruled out through injury, removing two key contributors to Colorado's attacking build-up. Their absence makes the visitors' recent scoring less persuasive as a guide to how quickly they will threaten at Centre Bell.
The market assigns a 55.4% probability to Under 6.5, with support moving toward that outcome over the past 24 hours. That concerns the full game, not the opening period, but it fits a lower-scoring approach. The case rests instead on Colorado's depleted attack: this bet allows either side to score, provided the other stays scoreless before the first intermission. A possible first-period score is 1-0.
Final call
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.47 is our selection, chiefly because Colorado must adjust without MacKinnon and Makar. The missing first-period evidence keeps confidence measured rather than strong.
FAQ
When does Montreal Canadiens — Colorado Avalanche kick off?
The match starts on 14.11.2026 at 19:00 (New York), Centre Bell (Montreal).
What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens — Colorado Avalanche?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.47.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Montreal Canadiens win — 40%, draw — 22%, Colorado Avalanche win — 38%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Boston Bruinsaway5:2
- Minnesota Wildhome1:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:2
- Utah Mammothhome5:4
- Winnipeg Jetshome4:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway3:4
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway6:3
- Detroit Red Wingshome4:0
- Nashville Predatorshome2:3
- Columbus Blue Jacketsaway2:7
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 19 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 74:57 | 28 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 67:57 | 28 |
| 4 | New Jersey Devils | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 73:57 | 28 |
Head-to-head
- 30.01.2026Montreal Canadiens7:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 29.11.2025Colorado Avalanche7:2Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 22.03.2025Montreal Canadiens4:5Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 05.01.2025Colorado Avalanche1:2Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 27.03.2024Colorado Avalanche1:2Montreal CanadiensNHL
About the match
- 14 November · 19:00 New York
- Venue: Centre Bell (Montreal)
Odds
Odds updated 13.11 19:10
Market: a narrow home edge
The regulation 1X2 market makes Montreal a slight favourite at 39.8%, against Colorado's 37.9%, with the draw at 22.3%. Over the past 24 hours, support has shifted toward the home win and draw and away from the visitors. This is a closely balanced assessment, not a strong home preference.
Under 6.5 carries a 55.4% market probability and has strengthened, while Over has weakened. That direction contrasts with the recent scoring samples. BTTS (both teams to score) remains unchanged at 90%; both sides scoring is a separate proposition from the game producing a high total.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.47
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 63%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
