NHL Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators Match Preview
Pittsburgh Penguins
Ottawa SenatorsPittsburgh hosts Ottawa at PPG Paints Arena on November 14 at 19:00 local time. The Penguins sit 14th in the Eastern Conference with 16 points from 19 games; the Senators are sixth with 26 from 20. Pittsburgh needs to close the gap to the playoff places, while Ottawa is six points behind conference leader Carolina.
Pittsburgh: scoring without defensive balance
Recent results and home performance
The Penguins have two wins and three defeats in their last five games. Their two home appearances in that stretch ended in losses to Vegas and Boston. Their latest result was a 3–2 victory at San Jose.
Strengths and weaknesses
Pittsburgh scored in all five games. Its season totals of 61 scored and 67 conceded underline the imbalance: attacking production has not covered defensive losses.
Personnel and recovery time
Dan Muse will be without injured Ryan Graves and Bryan Rust.
- San Jose Sharksaway3:2
- Anaheim Ducksaway2:5
- Los Angeles Kingsaway5:2
- Boston Bruinshome2:6
- Vegas Golden Knightshome2:3
Ottawa: better results, narrow margins
Recent form and road context
The Senators have won three of their last five. Their latest outing was a 4–3 home win over Colorado. The two away games in this sample produced a 3–6 loss at Anaheim and a 2–1 win at Buffalo, so recent road results are split rather than uniformly strong.
Attacking output and defensive exposure
Ottawa scored in every game of that run and reached four goals twice. It also conceded in every match, while only two of the five totals exceeded 6.5. Across the season, 64 goals scored against 60 allowed leave a positive balance, but the recent results offer little evidence of a large defensive cushion.
Bench and goaltending picture
Travis Green coaches a side credited with 11 season wins and a strong goaltending tandem. No goalie save percentages, confirmed starter, injury list, probable lineup or special-teams percentages are provided. Ottawa has one clear day after facing Colorado before travelling to Pittsburgh, giving it less recovery time than the hosts.
- Colorado Avalanchehome4:3
- Washington Capitalshome2:3
- Utah Mammothhome4:2
- Buffalo Sabresaway2:1
- Anaheim Ducksaway3:6
Head-to-head: Ottawa leads the longer series
The five-year summary gives Ottawa 10 wins to Pittsburgh's five. In the eight listed meetings, the Senators lead 5–3, with 40 combined goals: an average of 5.0 per game. Only two exceeded 6.5. That list includes a preseason fixture, so it is not a pure regular-season comparison. Pittsburgh won the latest meeting 4–3 in March.
- 26.03.2026Ottawa Senators3:4Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 03.02.2026Pittsburgh Penguins2:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 19.12.2025Ottawa Senators4:0Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 30.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins1:0Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 11.01.2025Pittsburgh Penguins0:5Ottawa SenatorsNHL
Pre-game commentary
The available commentary describes Ottawa as the side in better form; no separate expert match assessment or additional confirmed team news is supplied.
Our pick for the opening period
Our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.45. Bryan Rust's absence removes an attacking option for Pittsburgh, making the hosts the more plausible side to draw an early blank. Ryan Graves is also out, although his absence is a defensive concern rather than a reason to expect fewer goals.
The key distinction is between both sides scoring over a full game and doing so in the opening period. Both teams scored and conceded in all five of their latest games, so this is not a forecast of sustained defensive control. Yet three of the last six meetings ended with one team scoreless throughout: 0–5, 1–0 and 4–0. That supports the possibility of one attack being contained, without establishing a first-period trend: no period-by-period results are supplied. A possible opening score is 0–1.
Final betting view
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.45 is a cautious lean on at least one attack starting slowly, not on a scoreless game. The missing first-period statistics limit confidence, so the selection should be treated as a measured preference rather than a strong edge.
FAQ
When does Pittsburgh Penguins — Ottawa Senators kick off?
The match starts on 14.11.2026 at 19:00 (New York), PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh).
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins — Ottawa Senators?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.45.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Pittsburgh Penguins win — 35%, draw — 22%, Ottawa Senators win — 43%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- San Jose Sharksaway3:2
- Anaheim Ducksaway2:5
- Los Angeles Kingsaway5:2
- Boston Bruinshome2:6
- Vegas Golden Knightshome2:3
- Colorado Avalanchehome4:3
- Washington Capitalshome2:3
- Utah Mammothhome4:2
- Buffalo Sabresaway2:1
- Anaheim Ducksaway3:6
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 19 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 70:46 | 27 |
| 6 | Ottawa Senators | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 64:60 | 26 |
| 7 | Florida Panthers | 20 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 65:60 | 24 |
| 13 | Detroit Red Wings | 20 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 55:64 | 17 |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 19 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 61:67 | 16 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Flyers | 21 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 47:69 | 16 |
Head-to-head
- 26.03.2026Ottawa Senators3:4Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 03.02.2026Pittsburgh Penguins2:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 19.12.2025Ottawa Senators4:0Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 30.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins1:0Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 11.01.2025Pittsburgh Penguins0:5Ottawa SenatorsNHL
About the match
- 14 November · 19:00 New York
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh)
Odds
Odds updated 13.11 19:10
Market: an away lean rather than certainty
Ottawa is the regulation-time favourite at 43%, against Pittsburgh's 34.7% and a draw at 22.3%. Over the past 24 hours, the away-win price has shortened while the home-win and draw prices have drifted. The market therefore favours the visitors without assigning them a majority probability of winning within regulation.
Under 6.5 carries a 57.2% assessment, although both total-goals prices have drifted. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 89.3% and has shortened. Those markets distinguish between each side contributing a goal and the game developing into a high-scoring contest.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.45
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 63%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
