KHL Match Prediction: Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod vs Lada Togliatti
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
Lada TogliattiTorpedo host Lada at VOLGA Arena on November 13, with third place in the Western Conference to protect. Lada sit 11th, level on points with Sochi. The visitors have won more of their last five games.
Torpedo: home results contrast with road defeats
Recent form and scoring balance
Torpedo have two wins and three defeats in five games. Their two home appearances brought wins over Spartak and Dynamo. The split is sharp:
- Both teams scored in every game in that sequence.
Personnel and defensive priorities
Against CSKA, Torpedo conceded four first-period goals; Sergei Goncharuk scored with 30 seconds left in a 5:1 defeat. Preventing another early collapse comes before chasing extra attacking volume. Stepan Starkov has joined from Metallurg in an exchange involving Vladislav Firstov, while defender Alexander Dryagilev has left for Yuzhny Ural.
- CSKA Moscowaway1:5
- Ak Bars Kazanaway2:5
- Dynamo Moscowhome4:3
- Spartak Moscowhome3:1
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgaway2:3
Lada: improved scoring, uneven protection
Five games with contrasting totals
Lada have three wins and two defeats in their last five, with nine goals scored and 12 conceded. Two 1:0 victories over Lokomotiv show they can keep games tight, but the other results reveal a less secure defensive picture.
- Four away games produced two wins, eight goals scored and 12 conceded.
- The last two fixtures each contained seven goals.
- Across the season, Lada have scored 42 goals in 26 games.
- Their 84 conceded equal an average of 3.23 per game.
Returning forward and recent contributors
Nikita Mikhailov has returned to the squad. Nikita Podskrebalin started in goal against Sochi, where Nikita Setdikov contributed one goal and two assists and Vyacheslav Osnovin scored his first Lada goal. That 4:3 win required overtime, so it should not be treated as a regulation victory. The next starting goalie, save percentage, power-play and penalty-kill rates, complete lineup and absences are unconfirmed.
- Sochiaway4:3
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway3:4
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhome1:0
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway0:5
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlaway1:0
Previous meetings favour the hosts
Torpedo have won eight of 11 official meetings over five years. The latest eight produced 46 goals, averaging 5.75 per game; six exceeded 4.5 goals. Torpedo won all three home meetings within that eight-game sample, while September’s encounter in Togliatti finished 7:2 to the visitors. Those results establish a historical advantage, rather than a guarantee of another high-scoring game.
- 11.09.2026Lada Togliatti2:7Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 10.02.2026Lada Togliatti3:1Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 30.10.2025Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod2:0Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 24.10.2025Lada Togliatti3:2Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 19.10.2025Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod5:3Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
Coaching message and recovery window
Alexei Isakov has said Torpedo must begin preparing for knockout hockey now. Both clubs last played on November 11, leaving one clear day before this fixture. Torpedo return from Moscow, while Lada travel from Sochi after an extended game; exact flight schedules are unavailable. No separate expert assessment of this matchup has been provided.
Our first-period pick
At VOLGA Arena, our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.27. Torpedo’s immediate priority should be a more controlled opening: they conceded four first-period goals against CSKA. That collapse makes tighter spacing and fewer risky attacks a credible response, rather than assuming the hosts will chase an early exchange of goals.
Lada’s 1:0 away win over Lokomotiv shows they can protect a narrow margin without needing an open contest. The selection requires only one side to remain scoreless before the first interval, not a shutout throughout. There is a clear risk: Lada’s last two games ended 4:3 and 3:4, so their recent results do not support an unqualified low-scoring forecast. A possible first-period score is 0:0.
The betting verdict
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.27 is a measured first-period selection, built around Torpedo correcting their opening approach and Lada’s demonstrated capacity for restraint. It is not a prediction that the entire match will stay quiet.
FAQ
When does Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod — Lada Togliatti kick off?
The match starts on 13.11.2026 at 11:00 (New York), VOLGA Arena (Nizhny Novgorod).
What is the prediction for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod — Lada Togliatti?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.27.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod win — 61%, draw — 21%, Lada Togliatti win — 18%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- CSKA Moscowaway1:5
- Ak Bars Kazanaway2:5
- Dynamo Moscowhome4:3
- Spartak Moscowhome3:1
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgaway2:3
- Sochiaway4:3
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway3:4
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhome1:0
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway0:5
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlaway1:0
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 24 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 64:39 | 35 |
| 3 | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | 24 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 65:56 | 31 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 26 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 69:60 | 30 |
| 10 | Sochi | 25 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 45:85 | 17 |
| 11 | Lada Togliatti | 26 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 42:84 | 17 |
Head-to-head
- 11.09.2026Lada Togliatti2:7Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 10.02.2026Lada Togliatti3:1Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 30.10.2025Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod2:0Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 24.10.2025Lada Togliatti3:2Torpedo Nizhny NovgorodKontinental Hockey League
- 19.10.2025Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod5:3Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 13 November · 11:00 New York
- Venue: VOLGA Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)
Odds
Odds updated 12.11 11:10
Market preference remains unchanged
Torpedo are the 1X2 favourites with a margin-free home-win probability of 61.3%, compared with 20.7% for a draw and 18% for Lada. These are regulation-time outcomes. All listed markets have remained broadly unchanged over the last 24 hours.
Over 4.5 goals carries a 55.8% probability, a modest preference rather than a strong expectation of a scoring surge. BTTS is assessed at 79.2%; that concerns each side scoring at least once, not the final total. No Asian handicap assessment or movement is supplied.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.27
- Odds at prediction
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
