Lada Togliatti — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Prediction in the KHL
Lada Togliatti
Lokomotiv YaroslavlMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.32 pending
Lada host Lokomotiv at Lada Arena on November 6, with contrasting targets in the Western Conference. The hosts are 11th with 13 points from 23 games; Yaroslavl are second with 32 from 22, two behind CSKA. For Lada, points would help close the gap to Sochi immediately above them; the visitors are chasing the conference lead.
Lada: scoring shortages and a disrupted attack
Recent results and home form
Lada have two wins and three defeats in five games. The subsequent road trip ended with a 0–5 defeat in Ufa after a shutout victory in Yaroslavl: defensive success has not carried consistently between games.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Lada have struggled to score this season, restricting the margin for defensive errors.
- Lada have also conceded frequently across the season, substantially above their recent attacking output.
- They scored in four of their last five fixtures.
Personnel and special teams
Igor Gorbenko was confirmed as head coach on November 2. Nikita Filatov and Vladimir Malenkikh are out; Sergei Soin has resumed training without a confirmed return to the lineup. Ostap Safin has left, while Osnovin has signed through the season. Gorbenko also reported five injured players after Novotny's injury and praised recent power-play chances.
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway0:5
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlaway1:0
- Avangard Omskhome3:2
- Admiral Vladivostokhome1:3
- Sochihome3:4
Lokomotiv: stronger defensive foundations
Results at home and on the road
Lokomotiv have won four of five. Their latest away appearance brought a 4–1 win at Spartak. That response to their only defeat in this sequence matters more than a simple winning percentage: their attack immediately recovered from being shut out.
Where the advantage lies
- Yaroslavl concede 1.68 goals per game this season, almost half Lada's rate.
- Their season goal difference is plus 22, compared with the hosts' minus 43.
- Four of the visitors' last five opponents were held to one goal or fewer.
Availability and discipline
Alexander Radulov's participation is in doubt following injury, and Polunin is heading to the youth team. Discipline is a stated concern in the pre-match coaching comments: unnecessary penalties could expose a defence whose even-game results otherwise look strong.
- Spartak Moscowaway4:1
- Lada Togliattihome0:1
- Sochihome6:2
- Severstal Cherepovetshome1:0
- Dynamo Moscowhome2:1
A lopsided series with a fresh interruption
Lokomotiv have won eight of nine official meetings over five years. Lada's 1–0 success on November 2 broke that pattern, with Andrei Altybarmakyan scoring the winner and reaching 39 KHL goals for the club. The eight listed meetings averaged 4.25 total goals; four finished above 4.5. Yaroslavl won all four listed visits to Tolyatti.
- 02.11.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:1Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 13.03.2026Lada Togliatti2:4Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
- 30.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:1Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 28.10.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:2Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 16.09.2025Lada Togliatti1:6Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
Travel pressure and conflicting coaching reports
Both teams last played on November 4, leaving one clear day before this fixture. Lada return from Ufa, while Lokomotiv travel from Moscow; a reported flight delay also disrupted Lada's recent trip. The coaching reports name both Alexei Kudashov and Dmitry Kvartalnov for Lokomotiv, so the attribution is inconsistent. No independent expert assessment is supplied.
Line-ups
Lada Togliatti
Substitutes: 9. Ruslan Umerov, 77. Danila Ovcharik
Coach: Igor Gorbenko
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Substitutes: 41. Andrei Pustovoy, 92. Daniil Isayev
Coach: Dmitri Kvartalnov
Our pick
Our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.27. The latest meeting ended 1:0 for Lada in Yaroslavl. Lokomotiv also allowed one goal against Dynamo, none against Severstal, and one against Spartak in three of their last five games. Their only recent shutout defeat was against Lada.
Lada scored 3, 1, and 0 goals in their last three matches and lost 0:5 in Ufa on November 4. Nikita Filatov remains injured until November 27, Ostap Safin has left the club, and Sergei Soin has only returned to training. Coach Igor Gorbенко reported a shortage of forwards, with five players on the medical list after Novotny’s injury. Against a Lokomotiv side that has conceded 37 goals in 22 league games, an early Lada goal is less likely.
Lokomotiv lost 0:1 in the previous meeting, then responded with a 4:1 win at Spartak. Their discipline remains a concern, but cautious opening shifts are more probable than an exchange of goals. Probable score after the first period: 0:0.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.27 fits the matchup. Lada’s depleted attack and Lokomotiv’s defensive starts point to at least one team failing to score before the first intermission.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway0:5
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlaway1:0
- Avangard Omskhome3:2
- Admiral Vladivostokhome1:3
- Sochihome3:4
- Spartak Moscowaway4:1
- Lada Togliattihome0:1
- Sochihome6:2
- Severstal Cherepovetshome1:0
- Dynamo Moscowhome2:1
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 23 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 74:44 | 35 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 22 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 59:37 | 32 |
| 3 | Shanghai Dragons | 22 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 66:54 | 30 |
| 10 | Sochi | 23 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 39:79 | 14 |
| 11 | Lada Togliatti | 23 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 34:77 | 13 |
Head-to-head
- 02.11.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:1Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 13.03.2026Lada Togliatti2:4Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
- 30.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:1Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 28.10.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:2Lada TogliattiKontinental Hockey League
- 16.09.2025Lada Togliatti1:6Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 6 November · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Lada Arena (Tolyatti)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A clear favourite, but a less decisive goals market
Lokomotiv are the clear regulation-time favourite at 65.4%, against 16.4% for Lada and 18.2% for the draw. Over 4.5 has a narrower advantage at 55.8%, while BTTS is assessed at 77.2%. None of the listed lines has moved noticeably over 24 hours. The market separates confidence in the visitors from confidence in a high total, consistent with their low concession rate.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.25
- Odds at prediction
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.25
- Status
- pending
