Castellon vs Eibar prediction: Segunda Division match analysis
Castellon
EibarCastellon and Eibar were scheduled to meet at Nou Estadi Castalia on 6 November in Segunda Division's 13th round, but the fixture has been postponed. The sporting stakes remain clear: the leaders are four points ahead of third-placed Eibar, with Almeria just one point behind Castellon.
Castellon's lead rests on defensive control
Recent results and home strength
Castellon's last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 11 goals scored and two conceded across league and cup. After losing at Andorra, they beat Las Palmas, Sporting Gijon and Conquense before drawing at Burgos. Their league home record is unbeaten: three wins and two draws, with a combined score of 12–1.
Strengths and limits
- Eight wins in 12 league games have put Castellon first with 27 points.
- Seven clean sheets and just five goals conceded make defensive protection their clearest strength.
- BTTS has occurred in four of 12 league matches; Over 2.5 goals in five.
- The defeat at Andorra was their only scoring blank in the last five outings.
Personnel and attacking options
Israel Suero leads the listed scorers with four goals in five appearances; Adam Jakobsen has two, while Pablo Santiago has one goal and one assist. Former teammates of Jesus De Miguel, club employees, the coaching staff and director Ramon Soria are due to attend his funeral in Toledo.
- Burgosaway1:1
- UB Conquenseaway3:0
- Sporting de Gijonhome4:0
- Las Palmasaway3:0
- Andorra Andorra la Vellaaway0:1
Eibar's away wins meet a recent downturn
Form and travelling record
Eibar have taken five points from their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding eight. The win at Albacete was followed by defeats at Oviedo and Cordoba and home draws against Mallorca and Almeria. That leaves them four matches without victory, despite a season away record of four wins and two defeats.
Where the balance shifts
- The visitors stand third with 23 points, level with Granada.
- Their away goals total is 11 scored and seven conceded across six games.
- They have conceded in every one of their last five matches.
- Seven of 12 league fixtures featured BTTS, and seven exceeded 2.5 goals; four ended with a clean sheet.
Absences affect several positions
Defender Juan Bernat is doubtful; Jose Corpas Serna and Leonardo Buta are suspended, while Ander Madariaga is ruled out through injury. Francisco Jesus Crespo Garcia has two goals in the listed five appearances, and Ivan Gil Calero has one.
- UD Almeriahome1:1
- Cordobaaway0:2
- Mallorcahome1:1
- Real Oviedoaway1:3
- Albacete Balompieaway3:1
Previous meetings have favoured the hosts
Castellon have won two of the four official meetings over the past five years, with one draw and one Eibar victory. Both Castellon wins came at home, by 2–0 and 2–1. The four fixtures produced six goals altogether; only the most recent featured BTTS or more than 2.5 goals. That history is lower-scoring than Eibar's current league pattern.
- 31.05.2026Castellon2:1EibarSpain. Segunda Division
- 12.10.2025Eibar0:0CastellonSpain. Segunda Division
- 15.02.2025Castellon2:0EibarSpain. Segunda Division
- 17.08.2024Eibar1:0CastellonSpain. Segunda Division
- 14.06.2009Castellon4:0EibarDivision 2
Postponement takes precedence over preparations
According to media reports, La Liga accepted a joint request from the clubs to postpone the match following the death of Tenerife striker Jesus De Miguel. The original kickoff should therefore not be treated as active, and player availability will need reassessment when the fixture is rescheduled.
Our forecast
Castellon’s home scoring profile supports Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) for 1.49. The leaders have scored 23 goals in 12 league matches, including 12 in five at Nou Estadi Castalia. They have also scored at least twice in home league wins against Sporting de Gijon (4–0) and in their latest home meeting with Eibar (2–1 on 31.05.2026). Across their last five matches, Castellon produced 11 goals, reaching two or more in three fixtures.
Eibar’s defensive trend is less reliable: the visitors conceded in all five latest matches and allowed 14 goals in 12 league rounds. According to media reports, Leonardo Buta is suspended, Juan Bernat is doubtful and Ander Madariaga is injured; forward Jose Corpas Serna is also suspended. Those absences reduce Eibar’s defensive depth and attacking balance, while Castellon’s home record remains unbeaten at 3 wins and 2 draws. The expected score is 2–0 to Castellon.
Final conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) is the preferred selection. Castellon’s 12 home goals, Eibar’s five-match run without a clean sheet and the confirmed absences of Jose Corpas Serna, Leonardo Buta and Ander Madariaga support the case for at least two goals from the hosts, while Juan Bernat remains doubtful.
FAQ
When does Castellon — Eibar kick off?
The match starts on 06.11.2026 at 14:30 (New York), Nou Estadi Castalia (Castellon de la Plana).
What is the prediction for Castellon — Eibar?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.49.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Castellon win — 59%, draw — 22%, Eibar win — 19%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Burgosaway1:1
- UB Conquenseaway3:0
- Sporting de Gijonhome4:0
- Las Palmasaway3:0
- Andorra Andorra la Vellaaway0:1
- UD Almeriahome1:1
- Cordobaaway0:2
- Mallorcahome1:1
- Real Oviedoaway1:3
- Albacete Balompieaway3:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | UD Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | 23 |
Head-to-head
- 31.05.2026Castellon2:1EibarSpain. Segunda Division
- 12.10.2025Eibar0:0CastellonSpain. Segunda Division
- 15.02.2025Castellon2:0EibarSpain. Segunda Division
- 17.08.2024Eibar1:0CastellonSpain. Segunda Division
- 14.06.2009Castellon4:0EibarDivision 2
About the match
- 6 November · 14:30 New York
- Venue: Nou Estadi Castalia (Castellon de la Plana), Kastelʹon-de-la-Plana
- Weather: 15° · precip. 0% · wind 1.6 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 00:10
Market favours Castellon without a late shift
The supplied 1X2 assessment makes Castellon favourites at 58.8%, with the draw at 22% and Eibar at 19.2%. Under 3.5 goals is assigned 59.9%, while BTTS stands at 59%: the market separates the prospect of both sides scoring from a four-goal total. All listed lines were unchanged over 24 hours. These are pre-postponement assessments, not confirmation that markets remain open.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.49
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match