CD Tarancon – Levante UD forecast in the Copa del Rey
CD Tarancon
Levante UDMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1.5) 1.48 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.26 pending
CD Tarancon host Levante UD in Tarancón in the first round of the Copa del Rey, with a place in the next round at stake. The Tercera División club faces La Liga opposition in its biggest occasion of the season.
CD Tarancon: compact form with a recent setback
Tarancon have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. They scored in four games, but lost their latest fixture 0:2 at home to La Solana on November 8.
Their three home results were a 1:0 win, a 1:1 draw and that defeat. Away from home, they won 2:1 and drew 2:2.
Where the hosts can compete
- Tarancon conceded in four of five matches, including their last two home games.
- Two of the five matches produced at least three total goals.
A narrow defensive shape and quick attacks after regaining possession offer a more practical approach than sustained high pressing against La Liga opposition.
- La Solanahome0:2
- CD Noblejasaway2:2
- Villarrubia CFhome1:1
- Quintanar del Reyaway2:1
- UD Socuellamoshome1:0
Levante UD: stronger opposition, mixed league rhythm
Levante’s last five matches brought one win, two draws and two defeats. All five opponents were from La Liga: a 1:1 draw at Deportivo, a 3:1 home win over Athletic Bilbao, defeats by Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, and a 0:0 draw away to Celta.
Levante scored in three of five matches and conceded in four.
Quality advantage and possible rotation
Levante face a higher standard of weekly opposition than Tarancon, but scored once or less in four of those five matches. Their two defeats were against Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid. Against lower-division opposition, possession and territory should be easier to secure; the extent of any rotation remains unconfirmed.
Midfielder Enzo Bardeli will miss the match with a hamstring injury and is not expected back until November 16. Defender Manu Sanchez has been available since November 4 after recovering from muscular soreness. Levante’s starting lineup, formation and current league position are unconfirmed.
- Celtaaway0:0
- Atletico Madridhome0:2
- Real Sociedadaway1:2
- Athletic Bilbaohome3:1
- Deportivo de A Corunaaway1:1
Context around the cup tie
The municipality, police and Tarancon’s club leadership held a coordination meeting before the game to prepare for increased attention and attendance. The home crowd could encourage a more aggressive opening, though that would leave space for Levante’s attacks.
No further suspensions or squad changes are confirmed.
Our prediction
CD Tarancon face Levante UD in the Copa del Rey first round, with a place in the next round at stake. The hosts have been competitive recently, taking 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, but their latest result was a 0:2 home defeat. Levante’s recent league record is less convincing at 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, yet every opponent came from La Liga, a level far above Tarancon’s Tercera Division opposition.
Our bet is Handicap 2 (-1.5) 1.32. The key factor is the large difference in match experience and squad quality: Levante regularly face top-flight pressure, while Tarancon are preparing for the biggest fixture of their season. The hosts scored in 4 of their last 5 games, so a narrow clean-sheet win is not the only scenario, but their defensive level should be tested by superior attacking movement. Levante also have Manu Sanchez available; Enzo Bardeli is ruled out with a hamstring injury, though that absence does not outweigh the gap between the teams. The expected score is 0:2.
Conclusion
Handicap 2 (-1.5) 1.32 is the selection. Tarancon’s motivation can keep the opening phase competitive, but Levante’s top-flight standard should produce a victory by at least two goals.
FAQ
When does CD Tarancon — Levante UD kick off?
The match starts on 12.11.2026 at 13:00 (New York), Tarancón (Tarancón).
What is the prediction for CD Tarancon — Levante UD?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (-1.5) at 1.32.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: CD Tarancon win — 5%, draw — 10%, Levante UD win — 85%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- La Solanahome0:2
- CD Noblejasaway2:2
- Villarrubia CFhome1:1
- Quintanar del Reyaway2:1
- UD Socuellamoshome1:0
- Celtaaway0:0
- Atletico Madridhome0:2
- Real Sociedadaway1:2
- Athletic Bilbaohome3:1
- Deportivo de A Corunaaway1:1
About the match
- 12 November · 13:00 New York
- Venue: Tarancón (Tarancón)
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 4.6 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 12.11 00:10
What the market is pricing
The 1X2 market assigns Levante an 84.9% away-win probability, compared with 4.7% for a home win and 10.5% for a draw. Over the last twenty-four hours, the away-win odds have drifted while the home-win and draw odds have shortened: Levante remain clear favourites, but support for the hosts’ resistance has increased.
The Over/Under market is closely balanced at 3.5 goals: Under carries 47.5% and has strengthened, while Over carries 52.5% and has weakened. BTTS (both teams to score) favours No at 56.9%, although its odds have drifted as Yes has shortened. The market movements show reduced confidence in a high-scoring match, without overturning Levante’s position as favourites.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (-1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 69%
- Market estimate
- 69%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.32
- Potential win
- 32 $
- Status
- pending
