Skip to content
18+For adults 18+ only. Sports betting involves risk.

VfL Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin prediction: Club Friendlies. Top

Club Friendlies. Top Live
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
0:0
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
12.3640%
X3.8125%
22.6136%
Our prediction
Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.26
Stake 100 $, potential win 26 $ odds at kick-off 1.26

VfL Wolfsburg host Union Berlin at AOK Stadion on 12 November in a club friendly during the international break, with no league points at stake. The forecast is 6°C with no rain.

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL WolfsburgLast 5: 2 W, 1 D, 2 L

Wolfsburg: scoring form and a home advantage

Recent results and scoring patterns

Wolfsburg’s last five matches brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with nine goals scored and seven conceded. They beat Heidenheim 3:1, drew 1:1 at Bochum, lost 2:3 at Freiburg, defeated Osnabruck 2:0 and lost 1:2 at Hertha. Both home games ended in victories; the three away fixtures yielded one point.

Where the balance lies

  • Wolfsburg scored in all five matches; four featured BTTS (both teams to score), with one clean sheet.
  • The two home fixtures produced five goals for and one against.
  • Their sole friendly this season brought no goals scored and two conceded: one match is too small a sample to establish a trend.

Selection under Tobias Strobl

Tobias Strobl has been in charge since 1 July 2026. No probable lineup, formation, key-player assessment or confirmed injury and suspension list is available.

Recent matches
  • Hertha BSCaway1:2
  • VfL Osnabruckhome2:0
  • Freiburgaway2:3
  • VfL Bochumaway1:1
  • 1. Heidenheimhome3:1
Union Berlin
Union BerlinLast 5: 0 W, 3 D, 2 L

Union: limited output and a depleted squad

A difficult run before the break

Union drew 0:0 with Dortmund and 1:1 at Augsburg, lost 0:5 at Cologne, drew 1:1 with Cologne and lost 0:2 at Freiburg. Three draws and two defeats left them winless across five matches. They sit 16th in the Bundesliga with seven points and one victory after nine rounds.

Attack and defence in numbers

  • Union scored two goals in five matches and kept one clean sheet.
  • They conceded nine across their three recent away games.
  • Three friendlies produced four goals for and six against, with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals each occurring twice.

Absences narrow Lustrinelli’s options

Mauro Lustrinelli, appointed on 1 July, is without international call-ups Andras Schafer, Michel Aebischer, Jeong Woo-yeong, Tom Rothe and Linus Guther. Kemlein, Robert Skov, Nsoki and Markgraf are injured; Felix Uduokhai is listed as suspended. Josip Juranovic and Emmanuel Latte Lath are doubtful. Andrej Ilic returned against Freiburg in the 77th minute for his first appearance of the season. No probable eleven or formation is confirmed.

Recent matches
  • Freiburgaway0:2
  • 1. Kolnhome1:1
  • 1. Kolnaway0:5
  • Augsburgaway1:1
  • Borussia Dortmundhome0:0

Previous meetings favour the hosts narrowly

Wolfsburg lead the ten official meetings over five years by five wins to four, with one draw. Across eight encounters, the teams scored 18 goals combined and BTTS occurred five times. Wolfsburg took three wins and a draw from four home meetings, while the latest encounter ended 2:1 in their favour in Berlin.

VfL Wolfsburg wins 7draws 3Union Berlin wins 5
  • 18.04.2026Union Berlin1:2VfL WolfsburgGermany. Bundesliga
  • 06.12.2025VfL Wolfsburg3:1Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 06.04.2025Union Berlin1:0VfL WolfsburgGermany. Bundesliga
  • 23.11.2024VfL Wolfsburg1:0Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 10.02.2024Union Berlin1:0VfL WolfsburgGermany. Bundesliga

The public message centres on survival

Union managing director Horst Heldt declared a relegation battle after the latest league round, while supporters demanded survival at any cost. Neither statement specifies the priority placed on this friendly. No match-specific expert opinions are available.

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg

Starting XI: 1. Timon Wellenreuther, 8. Dardai, 10. Fraser Hornby, 11. Fabian Reese, 14. Pharell Hensel, 19. Robert Glatzel, 23. Besio, 25. Цейнтер, 27. Maximilian Arnold, 31. Yannick Gerhardt, 36. Aster Vranckx

Substitutes: Greger M., Alexej Jewtschuk, Miles John, Zimmermann, 12. Pavao Pervan, 39. Danioko Leeron

Union Berlin

Starting XI: 4. Van Den Bosch, 7. Oliver Burke, 14. Querfeld, 19. Janik Haberer, 23. Andrej Ilic, 27. Ljubicic, 28. Christopher Trimmel, 29. Emmanuel Latte Lath, 30. Kastriot Imeri, 31. Raab, 39. Derrick Arthur Kohn

Substitutes: 5. Marvin Friedrich, 25. Carl Klaus, 32. Mekhi Gray, 38. Julien Friedrich

Our Prediction

Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.26. Union Berlin need at least two goals for a full win, but the underlying matchup leaves that route open. Wolfsburg conceded in four of their last five official matches, allowing seven goals across that run, while their only clean sheet came against Osnabruck. At home, Wolfsburg have recently won three straight matches by 5:1, 3:1 and 2:0, yet their defensive record in the current competition is already two goals conceded in one game.

Union’s attacking results are weaker: they scored in two of their five recent matches. Still, this is a friendly during the international break, and Wolfsburg’s regular concessions give the visitors a scoring window. Union are missing Schafer, Ebisicher, Jung Woo-young, Rothe and Guter through international duty, while Kemlein, Skov, Nsoki and Markgraf are injured; Uduokhai is suspended. Those absences reduce depth, but Ilic has returned and appeared against Freiburg. The expected score is 1:2, which covers the selected line.

Conclusion

Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.26 is the selection. Wolfsburg’s recent defensive concessions outweigh Union’s poor scoring sequence, while the visitors still have a realistic path to two goals in an open friendly.

Chances by market estimate

VfL Wolfsburg40%
Draw25%
Union Berlin36%

Team form

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL WolfsburgLast 5: 2 W, 1 D, 2 L
  • Hertha BSCaway1:2
  • VfL Osnabruckhome2:0
  • Freiburgaway2:3
  • VfL Bochumaway1:1
  • 1. Heidenheimhome3:1
Union Berlin
Union BerlinLast 5: 0 W, 3 D, 2 L
  • Freiburgaway0:2
  • 1. Kolnhome1:1
  • 1. Kolnaway0:5
  • Augsburgaway1:1
  • Borussia Dortmundhome0:0

Head-to-head

VfL Wolfsburg wins 7draws 3Union Berlin wins 5
  • 18.04.2026Union Berlin1:2VfL WolfsburgGermany. Bundesliga
  • 06.12.2025VfL Wolfsburg3:1Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 06.04.2025Union Berlin1:0VfL WolfsburgGermany. Bundesliga
  • 23.11.2024VfL Wolfsburg1:0Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 10.02.2024Union Berlin1:0VfL WolfsburgGermany. Bundesliga

About the match

  • 12 November · 08:30 New York
  • Venue: AOK (Wolfsburg)

Odds

Match result
W12.36
X3.81
W22.61
Double chance
1X1.46
121.25
2X1.56
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)3.9
Handicap 1 (0)1.83
Handicap 1 (1)1.27
Handicap 2 (-1)3.76
Handicap 2 (0)1.98
Handicap 2 (1)1.26
Totals
Total Over (3)1.74
Total Over (3.5)2.18
Total Over (4)3.05
Total Under (3)2.09
Total Under (3.5)1.64
Total Under (4)1.38
Team totals
Individual Total 2 Over (1)1.26
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.4
Both Teams To Score - No2.73

odds before kick-off

A close market with movement towards Wolfsburg

The 1X2 market gives Union a 38.3% probability, Wolfsburg 37.5% and the draw 24.2%. Over the last 24 hours, support has shifted towards the hosts and away from Union and the draw.

Under 3.5 goals carries a 57% probability, although the line has moved towards Over. BTTS stands at 66.1% and has also attracted support, but Union’s low scoring rate is the main weakness in that bet.

Our prediction

Market
Individual Total 2 Over (1)
Odds
1.26
Confidence
Our estimate
73%
Market estimate
73%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.26
Potential win
26 $
Odds at kick-off
1.26
Status
pending