Club Friendlies. Top: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Mlada Boleslav prediction
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Mlada BoleslavMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1.5) 1.39 won
Match result
RasenBallsport Leipzig 4:5 Mlada Boleslav (3:2, 1:3)
In the Club Friendlies. Top match, RasenBallsport Leipzig faced Mlada Boleslav. The game concluded with a 4:5 score, featuring period breakdown of 3:2 and 1:3. Our prediction for this fixture was Individual Total 1 Over (2.5), and the bet won as the home team scored four goals.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (2.5) at 1.4 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1.5) at 1.39 — the bet won.
RasenBallsport Leipzig host Mlada Boleslav at Red Bull Arena on 12 November in Club Friendlies. Top. With the match falling during the international window, rotation and player availability take precedence over league-table pressure.
Leipzig: attacking momentum with room behind
Recent form and home profile
Leipzig have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6: 4:0 against Elversberg, 2:1 at Rot-Weiss Essen, 2:0 at Schalke, 2:3 against Manchester City and 5:2 against Augsburg. They scored in all five, kept two clean sheets and conceded in three.
In this tournament, Leipzig have 2 wins and 2 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their only home tournament match was a 1:0 win, leaving little scope to assess their home record.
Strengths, weaknesses and squad situation
Leipzig’s attacking output has outweighed their defensive protection in open matches, particularly against Manchester City and Augsburg. Max Finkgräfe is doubtful with a thigh problem. No suspensions have been confirmed.
Setup and motivation
Coach Martin Demichelis said there is work to do before the friendly. No formation or starting eleven has been confirmed. Antonio Nusa has featured in transfer-market news, but no availability issue has been reported for him.
- Augsburghome5:2
- Manchester Cityhome2:3
- Schalke 04away2:0
- Rot-Weiss Essenaway2:1
- Elversberghome4:0
Mlada Boleslav: unbeaten run, reduced attacking options
Recent results and away tendency
Mlada Boleslav are unbeaten in five matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws, 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. They beat Teplice 1:0, drew 1:1 at Slavia Prague, defeated Bohemians 1905 Prague 3:2 and Hradec Kralove 3:1, then drew 0:0 at Jablonec.
They scored in four of those five matches, including 3 or more goals twice, and kept two clean sheets while conceding in three. Their current tournament away record consists of one win, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded.
What can trouble Leipzig
Mlada Boleslav can threaten on the transition, but face a substantial gap in attacking quality. Their latest away draw also showed that their scoring can stall outside home conditions.
Midfielder David Kozel and forward Martin Schubert will miss the match after Czech national-team call-ups. No other injuries, suspensions or starting lineup details have been confirmed.
- Jablonecaway0:0
- Hradec Kralovehome3:1
- Bohemians 1905 Praguehome3:2
- Slavia Pragueaway1:1
- Teplicehome1:0
Previous meetings and scoring pattern
The two previous friendlies were split: Leipzig won 4:0 at home in January 2023, while Mlada Boleslav won 4:2 at the same venue in October 2023. Leipzig lead 6 goals to 4 on aggregate, and both meetings produced at least four goals. Two friendlies carry less weight than current form and player availability.
- 11.10.2023RasenBallsport Leipzig2:4Mlada BoleslavClub Friendlies
- 14.01.2023RasenBallsport Leipzig4:0Mlada BoleslavClub Friendlies
Team news and match context
Leipzig enter after three recent league wins. Admission at Red Bull Arena is free.
Kickoff conditions are expected to be cool at 5°C, with no rain and light wind.
Line-ups
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Starting XI: 3. Esteve, 11. Bakayoko, 16. Lukas Klostermann, 20. Rocco Reitz, 25. Leopold Zingerle, 28. Christopher Nkunku, 30. Maksimovic, 39. Henriks, 40. Romulo, 47. Viggo Gebel, 51. Toni Langsteiner
Substitutes: Manuel Abbey, Franz Hantschmann, Jordy Sebastian, Israel Ogette, Taito Kanda, Hannes Muller
Mlada Boleslav
Starting XI: 3. Martin Kralik, 9. Lukas Letenay, 10. Лехки, 13. Denis Donat, 17. Filip Spatenka, 20. John Solomon, 26. Matej Zachoval, 44. Ondrej Karafiat, 59. Jiri Floder, 70. Jan Buryan, 77. David Pech
Substitutes: 5. Jan Harustak, 11. Matej Hybs, 14. Grygar, 24. Josef Jinoch, 28. Daniel Langhammer, 32. Filip Matousek, 42. Vojtech Vorel
Our Prediction
RasenBallsport Leipzig host Mlada Boleslav at Red Bull Arena in a friendly after four wins in five matches, with 15 goals scored. Leipzig scored in every game, including five against Augsburg and four against Elversberg; their only defeat was 2:3 against Manchester City. They also won their only tournament match at this venue, though their recent results show greater consistency in attack than in defence.
Mlada Boleslav are unbeaten in five matches but are without midfielder David Kozel and forward Martin Schubert, both called up by the Czech national team. Their absences reduce the visitors’ options for sustaining attacking pressure. The hosts’ home-win probability is 87.7%, and their odds are shortening. Our pick is Home Team Total Over (2.5) at 1.4. The expected score is 3:1.
Conclusion
Home Team Total Over (2.5) at 1.4 requires Leipzig to score three goals. They have scored at least twice in three recent wins, with the five-goal and four-goal performances supporting that target.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Augsburghome5:2
- Manchester Cityhome2:3
- Schalke 04away2:0
- Rot-Weiss Essenaway2:1
- Elversberghome4:0
- Jablonecaway0:0
- Hradec Kralovehome3:1
- Bohemians 1905 Praguehome3:2
- Slavia Pragueaway1:1
- Teplicehome1:0
Head-to-head
- 11.10.2023RasenBallsport Leipzig2:4Mlada BoleslavClub Friendlies
- 14.01.2023RasenBallsport Leipzig4:0Mlada BoleslavClub Friendlies
About the match
- 12 November · 05:00 New York
- Venue: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig), Leyptsig
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal expectations
The 1X2 market assigns Leipzig an 87.7% home-win probability, compared with 9% for a draw and 3.3% for an away win. Home-win odds are shortening, while draw and away-win odds are lengthening. The market margin is 5.6%.
Over 3.5 goals is assessed at 56.2%, against 43.8% for Under 3.5, with movement toward the Over. BTTS (both teams to score) No is favored at 55.5% over Yes at 44.5%, with movement also toward No.
The goal markets favor a high total driven primarily by Leipzig rather than both teams scoring.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (2.5)
- Odds
- 1.4
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 64%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.4
- Potential win
- 40 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.45
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +40 $