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Iva Jovic – Jasmine Paolini prediction: WTA Ningbo

WTA. Ningbo· Round of 16
Iva JovicIva Jovic
22:00
20 October · New York
Jasmine PaoliniJasmine Paolini
11.45
22.77
Our prediction
Handicap 1 (-3.5) 1.78
Stake 100 $, potential win 78 $

Iva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini meet in the Round of 16 at the WTA event in Ningbo. Both played on 20 October, leaving the same recovery window before competing for a quarterfinal place.

Iva Jovic
Iva JovicLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Iva Jovic: recent level and tournament position

Form across the latest matches

Jovic has won three of her last five matches, taking six sets and losing five. She beat Harriet Dart, Kamilla Rakhimova and Dayana Yastremska, with two victories coming in straight sets. Her defeats came against Iga Swiatek and, most recently, Maja Chwalinska. She won sets in three of those five matches and conceded sets in three.

Strengths, pressure points and ranking

Jovic followed a straight-set win over Yastremska with a loss to Chwalinska in which she won no sets and conceded two. She is ranked 11th in the WTA standings.

Available squad and physical information

Jovic is scheduled to play. No injury, suspension or withdrawal has been reported, and no further medical information is available.

Recent matches
  • Maja Chwalinskahome0:2
  • Dayana Yastremskahome2:0
  • Iga Swiatekhome0:2
  • Kamilla Rakhimovahome2:0
  • Harriet Darthome2:1
Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine PaoliniLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Jasmine Paolini: sharper start in Ningbo

Form and match rhythm

Paolini has also won three of her last five matches, with six sets won and four lost. She defeated Sara Bejlek, Nikola Bartunkova and Anhelina Kalinina in straight sets. Her losses came against Daria Snigur and Sonay Kartal, conceding two sets in each.

What her numbers indicate

Paolini has taken at least one set in four of her last five matches and conceded sets in two. Her latest match, against Kalinina, was played on the Ningbo court, giving her tournament match practice before the Round of 16.

Player status and available news

Paolini is scheduled to play after completing her opening Ningbo match. No injury, suspension or participation concern has been reported; no further medical information is available.

Recent matches
  • Anhelina Kalininahome2:0
  • Sonay Kartalhome0:2
  • Nikola Bartunkovahome2:0
  • Sara Bejlekhome2:0
  • Daria Snigurhome1:2

Head-to-head record and matchup history

The players have met three times in official competition during the last five years. Paolini leads two wins to one, but Jovic won their most recent meeting in straight sets at the Australian Open. Paolini won the earlier meetings at Indian Wells and the US Open, including one three-set match.

The head-to-head set totals are inconsistent: one count puts Paolini ahead five to four, while another credits Jovic with three sets and Paolini with four. The match sequence contains one three-set contest and two straight-set results.

Iva Jovic wins 1draws 0Jasmine Paolini wins 2
  • 23.01.2026Iva Jovic2:0Jasmine PaoliniAustralian Open. Women
  • 27.08.2025Iva Jovic0:2Jasmine PaoliniUS Open. Women
  • 08.03.2025Iva Jovic1:2Jasmine PaoliniWTA. Indian Wells

News context before the Round of 16

No expert quotation, tactical interview, disciplinary announcement or fresh injury report is available.

The immediate results differ despite the shared schedule: Paolini advanced in Ningbo, while Jovic’s latest listed match ended in defeat.

Our Forecast

Our pick is Handicap 1 (-3.5) 1.78. Iva Jovic's most recent head-to-head victory over Jasmine Paolini was a convincing 2:0 result at the Australian Open. That result is especially relevant because it showed Jovic could prevent Paolini from extending the contest across three sets.

The recent records are level at three wins and two losses, but Jovic has produced two straight-set victories in her last five matches, while Paolini also has three wins in that span and arrived after a 2:0 victory over Anhelina Kalinina on the same day. The shared schedule removes any clear recovery advantage. The available line movement concerns only the total of 20.5 and does not indicate a move toward Jovic or her winning market. A likely score is 2:0 to Jovic, consistent with the selected handicap.

Conclusion

Handicap 1 (-3.5) 1.78 is the selection. Jovic’s latest straight-set win over Paolini is confirmed, but the available data do not show market movement toward the home player.

FAQ

When does Iva Jovic — Jasmine Paolini kick off?

The match starts on 20.10.2026 at 22:00 (New York), Ningbo Taishi Tennis Club (Ningbo).

What is the prediction for Iva Jovic — Jasmine Paolini?

Our pick is Handicap 1 (-3.5) at 1.78.

Team form

Iva Jovic
Iva JovicLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • Maja Chwalinskahome0:2
  • Dayana Yastremskahome2:0
  • Iga Swiatekhome0:2
  • Kamilla Rakhimovahome2:0
  • Harriet Darthome2:1
Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine PaoliniLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • Anhelina Kalininahome2:0
  • Sonay Kartalhome0:2
  • Nikola Bartunkovahome2:0
  • Sara Bejlekhome2:0
  • Daria Snigurhome1:2

Head-to-head

Iva Jovic wins 1draws 0Jasmine Paolini wins 2
  • 23.01.2026Iva Jovic2:0Jasmine PaoliniAustralian Open. Women
  • 27.08.2025Iva Jovic0:2Jasmine PaoliniUS Open. Women
  • 08.03.2025Iva Jovic1:2Jasmine PaoliniWTA. Indian Wells

About the match

  • 20 October · 22:00 New York
  • Venue: Ningbo Taishi Tennis Club (Ningbo)

Odds

Match result
W11.45
W22.77
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-3.5)1.78
Handicap 2 (3.5)2.04
Totals
Total Over (20.5)1.85
Total Under (20.5)1.81

Odds updated 20.10 07:20

Market view and total-games balance

The total-games market is close to balanced, with Under assigned a marginally higher probability than Over. Odds on both sides have shortened during the last twenty-four hours, without a decisive move toward either outcome.

Under has a slight market edge, but the mixed match lengths do not support a firm selection. No Ningbo court-surface trend is established, so a surface-specific adjustment is unavailable.

Our prediction

Market
Handicap 1 (-3.5)
Current odds
1.78
Confidence
Our estimate
53%
Market estimate
53%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.78
Potential win
78 $
Status
pending

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