ATP Paris Prediction: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Alexander BlockxDaniel Merida Aguilar faces Alexander Blockx in the round of 64 at Bercy Arena in Paris on November 2 at 04:00 America/New_York time. Both have lost three of their last five matches; Blockx also enters after an injury-related withdrawal from Vienna.
Merida Aguilar: two defeats since his Davis Cup win
Recent results and competitive strengths
Merida Aguilar’s last five matches brought wins over Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Tabilo and defeats against Alex Michelsen, Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniil Medvedev, for a 6–9 set balance. He beat Rublev in four sets and Tabilo in a deciding set.
- He won 2 of his last 5 matches, then lost his latest 2.
- He took at least one set in 3 of those 5 appearances and lost the other 2 in straight sets.
- He conceded at least one set in every match.
Recovery window and technical questions
His latest appearance was the straight-sets defeat by Medvedev in Vienna on October 28, five calendar days before this fixture. He has competed more recently than Blockx, though the match duration is unknown.
Without first-serve percentages, service-hold rates or return points won, his defeats cannot be attributed to serving or returning. The home and away labels confer no court advantage in this individual event.
- Daniil Medvedevhome0:2
- Botic Van De Zandschulpaway1:2
- Alejandro Tabiloaway2:1
- Alex Michelsenaway0:3
- Andrey Rublevhome3:1
Blockx: a longer losing sequence and a fitness concern
Early wins followed by declining set returns
Blockx beat Flavio Cobolli and Francisco Cerundolo in four sets before losing to Karen Khachanov, Valentin Vacherot and Quentin Halys. His 7–8 set balance is slightly better than Merida Aguilar’s, but six of his seven sets came in the opening two victories.
- He has lost 3 consecutive matches, winning only 1 set across them.
- Khachanov and Vacherot beat him in straight sets.
- He lost to Halys in a deciding set on October 9.
Withdrawal changes the workload assessment
Blockx’s injury-related withdrawal from the ATP 500 event in Vienna was reported on October 23; it was not a confirmed withdrawal from Paris. His last competitive appearance was 24 calendar days before this fixture. That gap cannot be treated as recovery time alone: the affected area, injury severity and recovery status remain unspecified.
- Quentin Halysaway1:2
- Valentin Vacherotaway0:2
- Karen Khachanovaway0:2
- Francisco Cerundoloaway3:1
- Flavio Cobollihome3:1
Fitness confirmation matters more than speculation
There are no further medical updates, player comments or expert assessments to clarify Blockx’s fitness. Rankings and surface-specific records are also unavailable, leaving no established technical advantage for either player in these conditions.
Our pick for Paris
Our selection is W2 1.58, with Blockx’s US Open wins over Cobolli and Cerundolo the main argument: he took both matches 3–1. Those results show he can sustain a winning level across several sets, rather than relying on one strong passage. Merida Aguilar has lost his last two matches, taking just one set across them, so backing Blockx does not require opposing an opponent in strong recent form.
The reservation is fitness. According to media reports, Blockx withdrew from Vienna through injury; no subsequent medical update confirms his recovery. His three-match losing run also makes this a cautious selection, not a high-confidence call. The available market prices concern total games, so they cannot establish favouritism in the match-winner market. Blockx will not play due to injury, so no winning score is projected for him.
Final betting view
W2 1.58 is not a viable pick because Blockx will not play due to injury. Without confirmation of his recovery, the injury risk limits how strongly this selection can be backed.
FAQ
When does Daniel Merida Aguilar — Alexander Blockx kick off?
The match starts on 02.11.2026 at 04:00 (New York), Bercy Arena (Paris).
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar — Alexander Blockx?
Our pick is W2 at 1.58.
Team form
- Daniil Medvedevhome0:2
- Botic Van De Zandschulpaway1:2
- Alejandro Tabiloaway2:1
- Alex Michelsenaway0:3
- Andrey Rublevhome3:1
- Quentin Halysaway1:2
- Valentin Vacherotaway0:2
- Karen Khachanovaway0:2
- Francisco Cerundoloaway3:1
- Flavio Cobollihome3:1
About the match
- 2 November · 04:00 New York
- Venue: Bercy Arena (Paris)
Odds
Odds updated 01.11 05:00
A narrow lean in the games-total market
The games-total market assigns Under a 51.6% probability and Over 48.4%. Over the last 24 hours, the line has moved toward Under and away from Over. No match-winner market is available to identify a favourite.
Set results alone do not establish game totals: straight-sets defeats can include long sets, and deciding-set matches vary in length. Individual set scores and tie-break frequencies are unavailable, so neither player’s frequency of crossing the current games threshold can be established.
The market preference for Under is narrow, not a strong betting case. Blockx’s unresolved fitness prevents a firm selection on match length.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Current odds
- 1.58
- Odds at prediction
- 1.61
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 59%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
