Hamad Medjedovic — Brandon Nakashima Prediction: ATP Lyon
Hamad Medjedovic
Brandon NakashimaHamad Medjedovic meets Brandon Nakashima in the ATP Lyon round of thirty-two at Parc de la Tete d'or. The match comes after contrasting recent schedules: Medjedovic has won once in his last five matches, while Nakashima has collected two wins, including a victory over Matteo Berrettini in Shanghai.
Medjedovic: recent results and profile
Medjedovic’s last five matches show a record of one win and four losses. His only success was a straight-set victory over Vilius Gaubas in the Davis Cup; the other four defeats included three straight-set losses and a three-set loss to Kamil Majchrzak at the US Open. His most recent appearance ended with a straight-set defeat by Thiago Agustin Tirante in Shanghai.
Where his game can turn the match
- His recent win over Gaubas came without dropping a set.
- He has recorded a clean-sheet result in one of his last five matches, but has failed to win a set in four of those five outings.
As this is an individual ATP match, there is no team lineup or formation to assess. No fresh medical or disciplinary update has been found.
- Thiago Agustin Tiranteaway0:2
- Vilius Gaubashome2:0
- Kamil Majchrzakaway0:3
- Marco Trungellitihome0:2
- Juan Manuel Cerundoloaway0:2
Nakashima brings the steadier recent baseline
Nakashima has won two of his last five matches and lost three. His strongest recent result was a straight-set win over Berrettini in Shanghai, followed by a three-set defeat to Alexander Bublik two days later. He also beat Jakub Mensik at the Laver Cup, while straight-set losses to Alex Michelsen and Ugo Humbert show that his level has fluctuated.
Serve, return and competitive level
- He beat Berrettini in straight sets and Mensik in three sets across the last five matches.
- He has won sets in three of those five matches, compared with one such match for Medjedovic in the same span.
- His latest defeat by Bublik was competitive enough to produce one set, unlike Medjedovic’s latest straight-set loss.
- No current ranking, court-specific record, injury, suspension, or confirmed match plan is supplied for Nakashima.
Nakashima is also listed only as a singles player, so lineup depth and formation do not apply. No fresh facts concerning his physical condition or availability have been found.
- Alexander Bublikaway1:2
- Matteo Berrettiniaway2:0
- Ugo Humberthome0:2
- Jakub Mensikaway2:1
- Alex Michelsenhome0:3
The head-to-head record is split
The players have met twice in official matches during the last five years, with one win apiece for Medjedovic and Nakashima. Medjedovic won their Belgrade meeting in three sets, while Nakashima answered with a straight-set win in Almaty. Across those meetings, Medjedovic has taken two sets and conceded three; Nakashima has taken three and conceded two.
The previous meetings therefore offer no clear overall winner, but they do show two different match patterns: Medjedovic’s victory required a deciding set, whereas Nakashima’s success was completed without one. No additional head-to-head table is needed here.
- 14.10.2025Brandon Nakashima2:0Hamad MedjedovicATP. Almaty
- 03.11.2024Hamad Medjedovic2:1Brandon NakashimaATP. Belgrade
No fresh squad or injury developments
There are no fresh news items, medical updates, suspensions, confirmed lineups, or expert opinions available for this match. The absence of such information leaves recent competitive output as the main basis for assessing the pairing.
The schedule is relevant: Medjedovic last played on October eighth, while Nakashima completed his latest match on October eleventh. Nakashima’s most recent contest was also in Shanghai and ended in three sets, so his match load was heavier immediately before Lyon; Medjedovic had more recovery time after a straight-set defeat.
Our pick for Lyon
Our selection is Handicap 2 (-3) 1.82. Nakashima’s recent results make him the preferred player, but this bet requires a margin in games rather than simply a win. Medjedovic has lost four of his last five matches without taking a set in any of those defeats: his difficulty keeping matches competitive is the strongest argument for backing that margin.
Nakashima has taken sets in three of his last five appearances, compared with just one for Medjedovic. That difference matters here: Nakashima has been better able to stay involved when a match becomes competitive. His own three defeats across that stretch still warrant caution; this is a measured handicap selection, not a claim that he is consistently outplaying every opponent. No fresh injury updates are available to alter that assessment.
The betting verdict
Handicap 2 (-3) 1.82 is our pick. The case rests on Medjedovic’s repeated straight-set defeats rather than on an outright-win prediction alone.
FAQ
When does Hamad Medjedovic — Brandon Nakashima kick off?
The match starts on 20.10.2026 at 14:30 (New York), Parc de la Tete d'or (Lyon).
What is the prediction for Hamad Medjedovic — Brandon Nakashima?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (-3) at 1.82.
Team form
- Thiago Agustin Tiranteaway0:2
- Vilius Gaubashome2:0
- Kamil Majchrzakaway0:3
- Marco Trungellitihome0:2
- Juan Manuel Cerundoloaway0:2
- Alexander Bublikaway1:2
- Matteo Berrettiniaway2:0
- Ugo Humberthome0:2
- Jakub Mensikaway2:1
- Alex Michelsenhome0:3
Head-to-head
- 14.10.2025Brandon Nakashima2:0Hamad MedjedovicATP. Almaty
- 03.11.2024Hamad Medjedovic2:1Brandon NakashimaATP. Belgrade
About the match
- 20 October · 14:30 New York
- Venue: Parc de la Tete d'or (Lyon)
Odds
Odds updated 19.10 13:00
The market gives the games line a narrow edge
The available market is centered on the total-games line. The over is priced by probability at 51.6%, against 48.4% for the under, making the over a marginal market favourite rather than a strongly supported position. The line has moved toward the over during the last twenty-four hours, while the under has lost market support.
This balance reflects the split signals in the matchup. Nakashima has produced three set-winning matches in his last five, and their first meeting went to a deciding set. Medjedovic’s recent profile points the other way: four of his last five defeats were straight-set losses, and his latest match ended quickly. With the market edge only narrow, the total-games assessment depends heavily on whether Medjedovic can extend sets or force a longer contest.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (-3)
- Current odds
- 1.82
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 51%
- Market estimate
- 51%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.82
- Potential win
- 82 $
- Status
- pending