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Borna Gojo vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction for ATP Lyon

ATP. Lyon· Round of 16
Borna GojoBorna Gojo
08:00
22 October · New York
Match moved to 22 October 08:00
Daniel AltmaierDaniel Altmaier
11.79
22.01
Our prediction
Handicap 1 (0) 1.74
our estimate 53% · market 53% Stake 100 $, potential win 74 $

Borna Gojo and Daniel Altmaier meet in the round of 16 in Lyon on 22 October, with a quarterfinal place at stake. The match is scheduled for 08:00 America/New_York at Parc de la Tete d'or. Gojo has progressed through qualifying, while Altmaier needed three sets to clear the opening round.

Borna Gojo
Borna GojoLast 5: 4 W, 0 D, 1 L

Gojo brings a three-match winning run

Recent results and the balance of sets

Gojo has won four of his last five matches. That sequence includes a straight-sets victory over Philip Henning and a straight-sets defeat to Jack Pinnington Jones in Villena. In Lyon, he beat Francesco Maestrelli in three sets before defeating Vitaliy Sachko and Arthur Fery without dropping a set. His three consecutive wins show progress through this event, although the main-draw sample remains just one match.

Strengths, limits and physical readiness

The Maestrelli match also shows he can win after conceding a set. Conversely, he took neither set in his only defeat across the sequence. The latest readiness assessment describes him as fresh.

Recent matches
  • Arthur Feryaway2:0
  • Vitaliy Sachkoaway2:0
  • Francesco Maestrelliaway2:1
  • Jack Pinnington Jonesaway0:2
  • Philip Henningaway2:0
Daniel Altmaier
Daniel AltmaierLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L

Altmaier seeks consecutive wins

A mixed sequence before the second round

Altmaier has two wins and three defeats in his last five appearances. He lost in straight sets to Dino Prizmic and Jie Cui, beat Holger Rune in three sets, then fell to Ben Shelton without winning a set. His opening victory over Titouan Droguet in Lyon also required a deciding set. Both recent wins therefore involved recovering from, or responding to, a lost set.

Competitive wins, but frequent set losses

Altmaier conceded at least one set in every match in that sequence. That separates his ability to complete close wins from his difficulty extending matches when beaten. His latest assessment describes an uneven season and weaker results on hard and indoor courts. He has played only one listed match since 9 October, so his recent match load is lighter than Gojo's, although playing time is unavailable.

Recent matches
  • Titouan Droguethome2:1
  • Ben Sheltonaway0:2
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Runeaway2:1
  • Jie Cuiaway0:2
  • Dino Prizmichome0:2

The previous meeting favoured Altmaier

Altmaier won the only recorded meeting within the past five years, beating Gojo in straight sets in Halle qualifying on 17 June 2023. That establishes a head-to-head advantage, but one meeting more than three years earlier offers limited insight into their current matchup. The game score is absent, so it cannot establish whether their previous contest approached this match's total-games line.

Borna Gojo wins 0draws 0Daniel Altmaier wins 2
  • 17.06.2023Daniel Altmaier2:0Borna GojoATP. Halle. Qualification
  • 07.02.2020Borna Gojo0:2Daniel AltmaierChallenger. Launceston

Readiness reports centre on freshness and consistency

The available pre-match assessments concern Gojo's freshness and Altmaier's uneven results; no injury, suspension, withdrawal or separate expert opinion is supplied for either player.

Gojo to carry his momentum forward

Our pick for the Lyon round of 16 is Handicap 1 (0) 1.74. Gojo has turned his qualifying run into progress in the main draw, winning six sets and losing just one across those three matches. That balance matters more for this selection than his older head-to-head defeat: his recent results show he can finish matches without repeatedly needing a deciding set.

Altmaier has lost all six sets across his last three defeats, while both of his recent wins required three sets. His opening-round victory therefore offers less reassurance than Gojo’s two latest straight-sets wins. Both last played on 20 October, so the Croatian has no extra recovery day; the narrower argument for freshness is that he needed fewer sets in the previous round. There is no confirmed injury information for either player. The expected score is a Gojo win in two sets.

The selection

Handicap 1 (0) 1.74 is the recommendation: back Gojo’s cleaner recent progression against an opponent whose wins have required more work, without extending the bet to a wider margin.

Our prediction
Handicap 1 (0) 1.74
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FAQ

When does Borna Gojo — Daniel Altmaier kick off?

The match starts on 22.10.2026 at 08:00 (New York), Parc de la Tete d'or (Lyon).

What is the prediction for Borna Gojo — Daniel Altmaier?

Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.74.

Team form

Borna Gojo
Borna GojoLast 5: 4 W, 0 D, 1 L
  • Arthur Feryaway2:0
  • Vitaliy Sachkoaway2:0
  • Francesco Maestrelliaway2:1
  • Jack Pinnington Jonesaway0:2
  • Philip Henningaway2:0
Daniel Altmaier
Daniel AltmaierLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L
  • Titouan Droguethome2:1
  • Ben Sheltonaway0:2
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Runeaway2:1
  • Jie Cuiaway0:2
  • Dino Prizmichome0:2

Head-to-head

Borna Gojo wins 0draws 0Daniel Altmaier wins 2
  • 17.06.2023Daniel Altmaier2:0Borna GojoATP. Halle. Qualification
  • 07.02.2020Borna Gojo0:2Daniel AltmaierChallenger. Launceston

About the match

  • 22 October · 08:00 New York
  • Venue: Parc de la Tete d'or (Lyon)

Odds

Match result
W11.79
W22.01
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)1.89
Handicap 1 (-0.5)1.83
Handicap 1 (0)1.74
Handicap 2 (0)1.99
Handicap 2 (0.5)1.9
Handicap 2 (1)1.82
Totals
Total Over (23)1.75
Total Over (23.5)1.89
Total Over (24)1.91
Total Under (23)1.98
Total Under (23.5)1.84
Total Under (24)1.81

Odds updated 22.10 00:10

The games market shows only a narrow lean

Under 23.5 games carries a margin-free market probability of 50.7%, against 49.3% for Over. Over the past 24 hours, the line has moved towards Under and away from Over. The difference is small: the market expresses little confidence in either side of this threshold. No match-winner market is supplied, so neither player can be identified as the bookmaker's favourite.

Set scores alone cannot resolve the games question. A straight-sets match can exceed the threshold through extended sets, while a three-set match can stay below it with short sets. Without individual game scores, tie-break frequency or hold and break rates, neither Gojo's recent straight-sets wins nor Altmaier's deciding-set victories can be translated into a reliable games projection.

Our prediction

Market
Handicap 1 (0)
Current odds
1.74
Confidence
Our estimate
53%
Market estimate
53%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.74
Potential win
74 $
Status
pending

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More predictions for this tournament

Our predictionHandicap 1 (0) · 1.74
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