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ATP Brussels Prediction: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo Preview

ATP. Brussels· Round of 8
Clement ChidekhClement Chidekh
08:00
23 October · New York
Match moved to 23 October 08:00
Francisco CerundoloFrancisco Cerundolo
12.4
21.57
Our prediction
Handicap 1 (3) 1.72
Stake 100 $, potential win 72 $

Clement Chidekh and Francisco Cerundolo meet at ING Arena for a place in the ATP Brussels semifinals. Chidekh brings a four-match winning run; Cerundolo has faced stronger recent ATP opposition.

Clement Chidekh
Clement ChidekhLast 5: 4 W, 0 D, 1 L

Clement Chidekh: clean scoreboard and sustained momentum

Recent form and tournament position

Chidekh has won four of his last five matches, beating Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Gauthier Onclin, Botic Van De Zandschulp and Jacob Fearnley in straight sets. His only defeat came against Jerome Kym, also in straight sets.

Weapons, vulnerabilities and availability

The defeat to Kym shows that his recent winning sequence has not extended to every opponent; the results alone do not establish a specific technical weakness.

Recent matches
  • Jacob Fearnleyhome2:0
  • Botic Van De Zandschulpaway2:0
  • Gauthier Onclinhome2:0
  • Gilles Arnaud Baillyhome2:0
  • Jerome Kymhome0:2
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco CerundoloLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Francisco Cerundolo: stronger experience, less stable recent sequence

Results before the quarterfinal

Cerundolo has three wins and two losses in his last five matches. He beat Jakub Mensik, Roman Safiullin and Martin Damm, while losing to Daniil Medvedev and Mensik. Those results include a three-set defeat and a straight-set loss.

Competitive profile and match conditions

The wins over Mensik and Safiullin this month demonstrate Cerundolo’s ability to beat those opponents.

Serve, return and the likely set pattern

Neither player can be assigned a measurable serve or return advantage.

A close opening set could increase the game total even without a deciding set. Early breaks followed by a one-sided second set would compress it; longer service games alone would not increase the number of games played.

Surface and court results in Brussels

Chidekh has two wins from two Brussels matches, with four sets won and none lost. These comprise one match designated as home and one as away; his home record is one win, with two sets won and none lost. Cerundolo has one victory from one match, designated as away, also in straight sets.

Chidekh has played one additional match at the venue. That provides more court exposure, although two matches remain too few to establish a sustained level in these conditions.

Schedule load and physical freshness

Chidekh played five matches between October 14 and October 21, including qualification and two main-draw rounds. Cerundolo played five matches from October 3 through October 21, with a longer gap before his Brussels opener and no qualifying sequence.

The denser schedule places more recent playing load on Chidekh, although his short tournament matches have limited time on court. Cerundolo has had more recovery time between his latest events; his previous two events included a three-set match and a defeat.

Game totals: where the line can be decided

The total is 22.5 games. A tight opening set can threaten Under even in a straight-set match, while a three-set contest would increase the risk further. The central question is whether Cerundolo can keep the opening set close rather than allow an early gap.

Recent matches
  • Martin Dammaway2:0
  • Jakub Mensikhome1:2
  • Roman Safiullinhome2:0
  • Daniil Medvedevaway0:2
  • Jakub Mensikhome2:0

News, motivation and confirmed context

Against Fearnley, Chidekh won the opening set in a tiebreak before controlling the second. Cerundolo opened Brussels with a straight-set victory over Damm after a third-round exit in Shanghai; his motivation was positive following that start. No additional injury update, disciplinary issue or expert assessment has been reported.

Our pick

Our selection is Handicap 1 (3) за 1.72. Cerundolo enters as the favorite after a 2:0 win over Martin Damm in his Brussels opener, but the margin required for a comfortable victory is difficult to justify. Chidekh has won four matches in a row, including qualification and two main-draw rounds, and has not dropped a set in any of those victories. His Brussels record is 2 wins from 2, with 4 sets won and none lost.

The Frenchman also won his latest match against Jacob Fearnley 2:0, taking the opening set in a tiebreak before controlling the second. Cerundolo has the stronger recent opposition profile, but his last five matches contain 3 wins and 2 losses, while Chidekh has gone 4-1. The local-court run, clean scoreboard and accumulated match rhythm support protecting Chidekh with a three-game handicap. The likely score is Chidekh winning 2:1 or losing by no more than three games.

Conclusion

Handicap 1 (3) за 1.72 is the preferred play: Chidekh’s four-match streak and four consecutive straight-set wins make a wide Cerundolo victory less probable, despite Cerundolo being named the favorite in the betting rationale.

Our prediction
Handicap 1 (3) 1.72
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FAQ

When does Clement Chidekh — Francisco Cerundolo kick off?

The match starts on 23.10.2026 at 08:00 (New York), ING Arena (Brussels).

What is the prediction for Clement Chidekh — Francisco Cerundolo?

Our pick is Handicap 1 (3) at 1.72.

Team form

Clement Chidekh
Clement ChidekhLast 5: 4 W, 0 D, 1 L
  • Jacob Fearnleyhome2:0
  • Botic Van De Zandschulpaway2:0
  • Gauthier Onclinhome2:0
  • Gilles Arnaud Baillyhome2:0
  • Jerome Kymhome0:2
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco CerundoloLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • Martin Dammaway2:0
  • Jakub Mensikhome1:2
  • Roman Safiullinhome2:0
  • Daniil Medvedevaway0:2
  • Jakub Mensikhome2:0

About the match

  • 23 October · 08:00 New York
  • Venue: ING Arena (Brussels)

Odds

Match result
W12.4
W21.57
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (2)1.98
Handicap 1 (2.5)1.87
Handicap 1 (3)1.72
Handicap 2 (-3)2.02
Handicap 2 (-2.5)1.86
Handicap 2 (-2)1.75
Totals
Total Over (22)1.73
Total Over (22.5)1.88
Total Over (23)1.99
Total Under (22)2
Total Under (22.5)1.85
Total Under (23)1.74

Odds updated 23.10 00:20

Market reading and current balance

The market marginally favors Under 22.5, with only a small probability gap between the two sides; over the last 24 hours, the line has moved toward Under and Over has lost support. Under is the betting preference, but the narrow market edge warrants limited confidence.

Our prediction

Market
Handicap 1 (3)
Current odds
1.72
Confidence
Our estimate
54%
Market estimate
54%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.72
Potential win
72 $
Status
pending

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More predictions for this tournament

Our predictionHandicap 1 (3) · 1.72
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