VHL Match Prediction: Rubin Tyumen vs Yuzhny Ural
Rubin Tyumen
Yuzhny UralMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.38 won
Match result
Rubin Tyumen 3:4 Yuzhny Ural (1:0, 1:3, 1:0, 0:0, 0:1)
In the VHL matchup, Yuzhny Ural secured a 3:4 victory against Rubin Tyumen. The period breakdown was 1:0, 1:3, 1:0, 0:0, and 0:1. Because only Rubin Tyumen scored in the opening frame, the prediction "Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No" turned out to be successful and the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.25 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.38 — the bet won.
Rubin Tyumen host Yuzhny Ural at SK Partikom in the VHL, with Yuzhny Ural seventh in the standings. Yuzhny Ural are seventh with 26 points from 18 games, six points behind the leader. Rubin are 21st with 18 points from as many matches, 14 points off the lead.
Rubin Tyumen: defensive decline and an unstable roster
Recent form and home profile
Rubin have lost four of their last five games. Their only win came away at Izhstal, where they scored five. Defeats at Toros and Molot followed, 1:4 and 2:5 respectively, leaving them on a two-game losing run. Rubin scored in four matches in that sequence and conceded in all five.
Their latest home game ended in a 1:2 defeat by Kristall Saratov. Across 18 league games, Rubin have scored 40 goals and conceded 49: defence has been the greater weakness.
Strengths, weaknesses and available lineup information
Rubin’s attack has yielded only one win in their recent sequence.
- Molot Permaway2:5
- Toros Neftekamskaway1:4
- Izhstalaway5:2
- Olimpiya Kirovo-Chepetskaway0:1
- Kristall Saratovhome1:2
Yuzhny Ural: productive attack, repeated defensive errors
Recent form and travel load
Yuzhny Ural also have one win and four defeats in their last five games. They scored and conceded in every match. Their latest result, a 3:4 loss at Zauralie Kurgan, ended their latest run of defeats.
The loss at Omskiye Krylya ended 2:3. Yuzhny Ural’s season totals of 49 goals scored and 39 conceded put them ahead of Rubin in both attack and defence, despite the recent defeats.
What can decide the visitors’ performance
- They allowed four goals against both Dynamo-Altay and Zauralie Kurgan.
- Their only win in the sequence was a 2:1 home result against Metallurg Novokuznetsk.
Head coach Sergey Reshetnikov attributed the latest defeat to numerous errors. He had earlier said he had failed to reach the players and criticised mistakes by experienced squad members.
- Zauralie Kurganaway3:4
- Omskiye Krylyaaway2:3
- Dynamo-Altayhome3:4
- Metallurg Novokuznetskhome2:1
- Sokol Krasnoyarskhome1:3
Head-to-head record favours Rubin
Rubin have won six of the nine official meetings over the last five years, with Yuzhny Ural winning three and no draws. Rubin won the last three meetings, including a 6:1 home victory in January and a 2:1 away win before it.
The eight-game sequence produced 32 Rubin goals and 20 for Yuzhny Ural, with an average total of 4.00 goals per match. Results range from 1:0 to 5:3, so Rubin’s historical advantage does not establish a consistent total-goals pattern.
- 14.01.2026Rubin Tyumen6:1Yuzhny UralVHL
- 03.11.2025Yuzhny Ural1:2Rubin TyumenVHL
- 28.01.2025Rubin Tyumen1:0Yuzhny UralVHL
- 23.10.2024Yuzhny Ural3:2Rubin TyumenVHL
- 08.02.2024Yuzhny Ural2:1Rubin TyumenVHL
Team news and coaching signals
At the end of October, Rubin announced contract terminations and the departures of defencemen Egor Vdovin and Roman Gapochkin, plus forward Veniamin Ageev, who did not pass his trial. The three departures preceded the defeats by Toros and Molot, but no direct causal link has been established. After the loss to Olimpiya, Rubin’s coach said the team did not deserve to win.
Yuzhny Ural signed defenceman Maksim Sakharov. Reshetnikov praised the team’s effort after the victory over Metallurg before criticising errors in subsequent defeats. No further injuries or suspensions are confirmed.
Line-ups
Rubin Tyumen
Substitutes: 56. Shamil Valiullin
Yuzhny Ural
Substitutes: 91. Vadim Pastukh
Our Forecast
Our bet — Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25. The opening twenty minutes should be more restrained than the recent overall results suggest. Rubin Tyumen have lost four of their last five games and conceded in all five, while Yuzhny Ural are on a three-match losing run. Yet the visitors’ defensive errors and Rubin’s recent squad changes after the departures of two defencemen and a forward make an aggressive start a risky option for both benches.
Yuzhny Ural have scored in each of their last five matches, but their first-period attacking output is not specified in the available figures. The strongest signal is the expected tactical response: Rubin need to reduce the damage after conceding 49 goals in 18 league games, while Yuzhny Ural have allowed 39. The recent head-to-head series also includes Rubin’s 1:0 home win in January 2025. Likely score after the first period: 0:0.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25 is the selected outcome. The teams’ losing runs, defensive pressure and likely cautious opening make at least one side remaining scoreless in the first period more probable than an exchange of goals.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Molot Permaway2:5
- Toros Neftekamskaway1:4
- Izhstalaway5:2
- Olimpiya Kirovo-Chepetskaway0:1
- Kristall Saratovhome1:2
- Zauralie Kurganaway3:4
- Omskiye Krylyaaway2:3
- Dynamo-Altayhome3:4
- Metallurg Novokuznetskhome2:1
- Sokol Krasnoyarskhome1:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 20 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 41:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Yuzhny Ural | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 49:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Kaluga | 20 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 43:34 | 26 |
| 20 | Dynamo Saint Petersburg | 17 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 47:51 | 18 |
| 21 | Rubin Tyumen | 18 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 40:49 | 18 |
| 22 | Dynamo-Altay | 19 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 37:51 | 16 |
Head-to-head
- 14.01.2026Rubin Tyumen6:1Yuzhny UralVHL
- 03.11.2025Yuzhny Ural1:2Rubin TyumenVHL
- 28.01.2025Rubin Tyumen1:0Yuzhny UralVHL
- 23.10.2024Yuzhny Ural3:2Rubin TyumenVHL
- 08.02.2024Yuzhny Ural2:1Rubin TyumenVHL
About the match
- 3 November · 07:00 New York
- Venue: SK Partikom (Tyumen)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market balance and goal-line signals
The 1X2 market assigns Rubin a 37.6% chance of a home win, Yuzhny Ural 36.5% for an away win and the draw 25.9%. Both win prices are drifting, while the draw is receiving stronger support. With a 7.2% market margin, the gap between the teams is too small to indicate a clear favourite.
The total-goals market slightly favours Under at 50.9% over Over at 49.1%, although movement is toward Over. BTTS (both teams to score) “Yes” stands at 79.7% and is receiving stronger support, against 20.4% for “No”.
BTTS “Yes” is the preferred bet on the recent scoring and conceding patterns, rather than either side in the closely balanced 1X2 market.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.25
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +25 $
