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Omskiye Krylya — Chelmet Chelyabinsk Forecast: VHL Analysis

VHL
Omskiye KrylyaOmskiye Krylya
02:00
4 November · New York
Chelmet ChelyabinskChelmet Chelyabinsk
11.562%
X4.7520%
25.2618%
Our prediction
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25
Stake 100 $, potential win 25 $

More picks

  • Period 3: No draw 1.33 pending
  • Period 3: Not: Omskiye Krylya win and total over 1.5 1.3 pending

Omskiye Krylya host Chelmet Chelyabinsk at SKK Blinova in the VHL. Omsk are second with 32 points from 19 games, level with the leader with fewer matches played. Chelmet sit 30th with 10 points from 17 matches.

Omskiye Krylya
Omskiye KrylyaLast 5: 5 W, 0 D, 0 L

Omskiye Krylya: defensive control and home momentum

Recent form and performance profile

Omskiye Krylya have won their last five games. They kept clean sheets against Izhstal, Toros Neftekamsk and Magnitka Magnitogorsk, allowing two goals in each of the other two matches. The sequence was followed by home wins of 3:2 against Yuzhny Ural and 1:0 against Magnitka.

Omsk scored in every game of that sequence. Their season totals stand at 52 goals scored and 25 conceded in 19 games.

Strengths, weaknesses and available personnel

The recent home wins came by a single goal, leaving little margin for defensive errors. Pavel Leuka is unavailable through injury, according to media reports.

Recent matches
  • Magnitka Magnitogorskhome1:0
  • Yuzhny Uralhome3:2
  • Molot Permaway3:2
  • Toros Neftekamskaway2:0
  • Izhstalaway3:0
Chelmet Chelyabinsk
Chelmet ChelyabinskLast 5: 1 W, 0 D, 4 L

Chelmet Chelyabinsk: scoring continuity against a fragile defence

Recent form and away challenge

Chelmet have one win and four losses in their last five matches. They scored and conceded in every game. The sequence includes a 5:1 away defeat to Kaluzhskiye Rakety, three consecutive home losses and a 3:1 victory over Dynamo-Altay.

Their season totals underline the defensive gap: 30 goals scored and 62 conceded in 17 games. Chelmet have continued to find the net, but their scoring has not offset the goals allowed.

Personnel losses and tactical balance

Forwards Leonid Kolodiy and Nikita Anufrienko stayed in Chelyabinsk for medical reasons and will not play, reducing the attacking rotation. Timofey Kireev is expected to join the team during the road trip but remains questionable.

Recent matches
  • Dynamo-Altayhome3:1
  • Metallurg Novokuznetskhome1:3
  • Sokol Krasnoyarskhome2:3
  • Norilskhome1:2
  • Kaluzhskiye Raketyaway1:5

Head-to-head record favors neither side strongly

Across 15 official meetings in the last five years, Omskiye Krylya have won 8 and Chelmet 7, with no draws. Chelmet won the first four, followed by four consecutive Omsk victories.

Omsk’s latest home wins in the matchup were 7:2, 2:1 and 3:2. Those results contrast with the hosts’ lower-scoring recent games.

Omskiye Krylya wins 8draws 0Chelmet Chelyabinsk wins 7
  • 03.04.2026Omskiye Krylya3:2Chelmet ChelyabinskVHL (Play-off)
  • 01.04.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:5Omskiye KrylyaVHL (Play-off)
  • 29.03.2026Omskiye Krylya2:1Chelmet ChelyabinskVHL (Play-off)
  • 27.03.2026Omskiye Krylya7:2Chelmet ChelyabinskVHL (Play-off)
  • 24.03.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3Omskiye KrylyaVHL (Play-off)

Team news and motivation around the fixture

Omskiye Krylya began their current home series on October 30. Avangard executive director Maria Markaryan highlighted growing attendance around the VHL team, according to media reports.

No further injuries, suspensions or final lineup announcements have been confirmed.

Our first-period pick

Our pick for Omskiye Krylya against Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25. Omsk have conceded 25 goals in 19 league games. Combined with three shutouts in their last five outings, that defensive record makes a scoreless opening for at least one side more credible than an early exchange of goals.

Chelmet travel without forwards Leonid Kolodiy and Nikita Anufrienko, both absent for medical reasons; Timofey Kireev is due to join during the trip, so his availability for this game is unconfirmed. Those absences reduce their attacking options against a defence that just held Magnitka scoreless. Chelmet have scored in five straight games, but that does not establish a first-period scoring trend. A possible first-period score is 1-0 to Omsk.

Final betting verdict

Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25 is our selection: Omsk's low concession rate and Chelmet's missing forwards support backing at least one team to remain scoreless through the opening period.

Our prediction
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.25
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FAQ

When does Omskiye Krylya — Chelmet Chelyabinsk kick off?

The match starts on 04.11.2026 at 02:00 (New York), SKK Blinova (Omsk).

What is the prediction for Omskiye Krylya — Chelmet Chelyabinsk?

Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.25.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Omskiye Krylya win — 62%, draw — 20%, Chelmet Chelyabinsk win — 18%.

Chances by market estimate

Omskiye Krylya62%
Draw20%
Chelmet Chelyabinsk18%

Team form

Omskiye Krylya
Omskiye KrylyaLast 5: 5 W, 0 D, 0 L
  • Magnitka Magnitogorskhome1:0
  • Yuzhny Uralhome3:2
  • Molot Permaway3:2
  • Toros Neftekamskaway2:0
  • Izhstalaway3:0
Chelmet Chelyabinsk
Chelmet ChelyabinskLast 5: 1 W, 0 D, 4 L
  • Dynamo-Altayhome3:1
  • Metallurg Novokuznetskhome1:3
  • Sokol Krasnoyarskhome2:3
  • Norilskhome1:2
  • Kaluzhskiye Raketyaway1:5

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Norilsk22120557:4732
2Omskiye Krylya19130352:2532
3Neftyanik Almetyevsk1990453:3430
29CSK VVS Samara18301235:6210
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk17301130:6210

Head-to-head

Omskiye Krylya wins 8draws 0Chelmet Chelyabinsk wins 7
  • 03.04.2026Omskiye Krylya3:2Chelmet ChelyabinskVHL (Play-off)
  • 01.04.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:5Omskiye KrylyaVHL (Play-off)
  • 29.03.2026Omskiye Krylya2:1Chelmet ChelyabinskVHL (Play-off)
  • 27.03.2026Omskiye Krylya7:2Chelmet ChelyabinskVHL (Play-off)
  • 24.03.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3Omskiye KrylyaVHL (Play-off)

About the match

  • 4 November · 02:00 New York
  • Venue: SKK Blinova (Omsk)

Odds

Both teams to score
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No1.25

Odds updated 04.11 00:10

Market view and goal-line movement

The 1X2 market assigns a 62.5% probability to the home win, 19.7% to the draw and 17.8% to the away win. None of these lines has moved noticeably during the last day.

The total-goals market assigns 52.9% to Over and 47.1% to Under, although movement has favored Under as confidence in Over has weakened. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 76.6%, with movement toward that outcome.

The move toward Under aligns with Omsk’s recent defensive record. BTTS carries a sharper conflict between Chelmet’s scoring continuity and the hosts’ clean sheets.

Our prediction

Market
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
Current odds
1.25
Confidence
Our estimate
73%
Market estimate
73%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.25
Potential win
25 $
Status
pending

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More predictions for this tournament

Our predictionPeriod 1: Both Teams To Score - No · 1.25
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