Norilsk vs Zvezda Moscow match prediction in the VHL
Norilsk
Zvezda MoscowMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.36 won
Match result
Norilsk 5:2 Zvezda Moscow (2:0, 2:0, 1:2)
In the VHL, Norilsk defeated Zvezda Moscow with a final score of 5:2, recording period results of 2:0, 2:0, and 1:2. Our prediction for Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No won as the opening period finished 2:0 without both sides scoring.
Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.27 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.36 — the bet won.
Norilsk host Zvezda Moscow at Sports Palace Arctic in the VHL on November 1. The hosts sit second, two points behind the leaders but with two more games played. The visitors are 25th: points here would help protect their narrow advantage over the team immediately below them.
Norilsk: winning run, uneven defensive returns
Recent form and venue split
Norilsk have four consecutive wins and a 14–10 goal balance across their last five games. Four of those fixtures were away, producing three victories; the only home result in that sample was a 5–4 win over Khimik. That single game cannot establish a reliable home scoring trend.
Strengths and pressure points
- They scored in all five recent matches, with at least two goals each time.
- They conceded only three goals across the three wins preceding Khimik, then allowed four in the latest fixture.
- The season balance is 49–43 after 20 games: 2.45 scored and 2.15 conceded per match.
Availability and preparation
Manson is out for eight weeks through injury. Norilsk played on October 30, leaving a shorter recovery interval than their opponents have had; their latest away fixture was October 25.
- Khimik Voskresenskhome5:4
- Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshmaaway2:0
- Chelmet Chelyabinskaway2:1
- Magnitka Magnitogorskaway3:2
- Yuzhny Uralaway2:3
Zvezda Moscow: scoring keeps pace, defending does not
Results before the trip
Zvezda have won their last two games, beating AKM 4–3 and Kaluga 3–2. Their five-match return is three wins and two defeats, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. The two away games in that sequence produced a 5–3 victory at Neftyanik and a 2–5 defeat at Bars.
Attacking output and defensive exposure
- Both teams scored in all five recent fixtures, each containing at least five goals.
- Zvezda conceded three or more in four of those matches, leaving little margin for a quieter attacking night.
- Their season totals are 42 scored and 53 conceded in 17 games, a deficit of 11 goals.
Personnel and travel context
Goaltender Konstantin Kuzmaul has joined the CSKA system, while forward Semyon Pankratov has departed for Yuzhny Ural; the move does not confirm Kuzmaul as Zvezda's starter. The October 21 update listed no injuries or suspensions. Zvezda last played on October 24; their longer break precedes this trip to Norilsk.
- Kalugahome3:2
- AKM Tula Oblasthome4:3
- Ryazan-VDVhome2:3
- Bars Kazanaway2:5
- Neftyanik Almetyevskaway5:3
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Zvezda have won five of the six official meetings listed, including the latest five. Norilsk's home record in those games is one win and two defeats. The aggregate score is 22–14 to Zvezda, with five meetings exceeding four goals and both sides scoring in all six. That history contrasts with the current league positions, rather than mirroring them.
- 15.02.2026Zvezda Moscow4:1NorilskVHL
- 02.10.2025Norilsk1:2Zvezda MoscowVHL
- 27.02.2025Zvezda Moscow5:4NorilskVHL
- 23.09.2024Norilsk2:4Zvezda MoscowVHL
- 23.01.2024Zvezda Moscow5:1NorilskVHL
Team updates without a confirmed matchday picture
The available personnel updates therefore do not establish how either coach will distribute minutes or alter combinations for this fixture.
Line-ups
Norilsk
Substitutes: 77. Yegor Guskov
Zvezda Moscow
Substitutes: 1. Konstantin Kuzmaul
Our first-period prediction
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.27. Norilsk's position in second place and four straight wins favour the hosts, but Zvezda's historical edge makes backing the match winner less attractive. This selection needs only one side to remain scoreless at the first intermission; it does not require Norilsk to shut out the visitors throughout.
The main reservation is the scoring profile: Zvezda have scored in all five recent games, while Norilsk have conceded in four of five. Those are full-game returns, though, not evidence of regular early exchanges. No period-by-period results are supplied, so confidence in this narrower market should remain measured. Confirmed line combinations are also unavailable. A possible first-period score is 1-0 to Norilsk, rather than a forecast of sustained defensive control.
Betting conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.27 is our cautious selection: it avoids choosing between current form and the head-to-head record. The absence of first-period scoring statistics keeps this a restrained recommendation, not a high-confidence bet.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Khimik Voskresenskhome5:4
- Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshmaaway2:0
- Chelmet Chelyabinskaway2:1
- Magnitka Magnitogorskaway3:2
- Yuzhny Uralaway2:3
- Kalugahome3:2
- AKM Tula Oblasthome4:3
- Ryazan-VDVhome2:3
- Bars Kazanaway2:5
- Neftyanik Almetyevskaway5:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norilsk | 21 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 54:45 | 30 |
| 2 | Omskiye Krylya | 18 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 51:25 | 30 |
| 24 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 31:35 | 16 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 18 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 44:58 | 15 |
| 26 | Dizel Penza | 17 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 33:42 | 14 |
Head-to-head
- 15.02.2026Zvezda Moscow4:1NorilskVHL
- 02.10.2025Norilsk1:2Zvezda MoscowVHL
- 27.02.2025Zvezda Moscow5:4NorilskVHL
- 23.09.2024Norilsk2:4Zvezda MoscowVHL
- 23.01.2024Zvezda Moscow5:1NorilskVHL
About the match
- 1 November · 01:00 New York
- Venue: Sports Palace Arctic (Norilsk)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market confidence centres on the hosts
Norilsk are the 1X2 favourites at a margin-free probability of 50.6%, against 22.9% for the draw and 26.5% for Zvezda. Over the last 24 hours, the home price has shortened while the draw and away prices have drifted. The hosts hold a clear relative advantage in the market, but their probability is only just above half.
Over 4.5 goals has edged ahead at 52.1%, with the line moving towards the higher total. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 79.7%, without a notable price change. These markets distinguish confidence in both attacks contributing from the much narrower preference for the overall goal total.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.27
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +27 $
