Norilsk vs Khimik Voskresensk forecast: VHL match analysis
Norilsk
Khimik VoskresenskMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.38 pending
Norilsk host Khimik Voskresensk at Sports Palace Arctic on October 30. The hosts are fifth in the VHL, two points behind the leaders; the visitors are 14th. Norilsk rank higher, but Khimik have scored more over the season.
Norilsk: defensive gains after the road trip
Recent results and scoring trends
Norilsk have won four of their last five games. Their three-game winning run came away from home, with goals allowed falling from two to one to zero. They recorded a 3:1 home victory over Molot Perm.
Strengths, limits and selection
Norilsk scored in all five games but never exceeded three goals, relying more on defensive control than scoring volume. Their season totals are 44 scored and 39 conceded in 19 games.
- Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshmaaway2:0
- Chelmet Chelyabinskaway2:1
- Magnitka Magnitogorskaway3:2
- Yuzhny Uralaway2:3
- Molot Permhome3:1
Khimik: season output masks a difficult stretch
Form and the home-away split
Khimik have lost four of their last five, scoring 12 goals and conceding 12. Five of those goals came against Ryazan-VDV; in the other four fixtures they scored no more than two. Both listed away games ended in defeat. Their latest home losses to AKM and Kaluga were decided by shootouts, so the two setbacks were not consecutive regulation defeats. Four of their five listed results reached at least five goals.
Attacking resources and absences
Khimik have scored 55 goals in 17 matches, averaging 3.24, and conceded 35. Egor Varyushkin and Daniil Sobolev returned on October 18. Nikita Buruyanov was reported injured, with Stepan Zvyagin replacing him on the third line; Oleg Lavretsky received a five-game suspension on October 19. The remaining suspension balance and complete matchday lines are unconfirmed. Goaltender save percentages and special-teams conversion rates are unavailable.
- Kalugahome2:3
- AKM Tula Oblasthome2:3
- Ryazan-VDVhome5:1
- Bars Kazanaway1:2
- Neftyanik Almetyevskaway2:3
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Khimik have won four of the six official meetings, with a 21:12 goal advantage. The average is 5.5 goals per game, although only three meetings exceeded 4.5. In Norilsk, the visitors lead 2-1. The latest encounter ended in a 3:2 Norilsk win in February; the series advantage belongs to Khimik, while the scoring pattern has varied.
- 13.02.2026Khimik Voskresensk2:3NorilskVHL
- 04.10.2025Norilsk0:4Khimik VoskresenskVHL
- 16.08.2025Norilsk3:4Khimik VoskresenskClub Friendlies
- 27.01.2025Norilsk2:1Khimik VoskresenskVHL
- 25.10.2024Khimik Voskresensk6:4NorilskVHL
Coaching reaction and the recovery window
Khimik coach Egor Bashkatov called the October 22 match a “good school” for his team; no tactical explanation accompanied the comment. The listed schedule gives Khimik seven clear days before this fixture and Norilsk four. A separate report dates Norilsk’s latest road win to October 29 rather than October 25, so the hosts’ recovery interval is unresolved. Flight timings are unavailable, preventing a precise travel-fatigue comparison.
Our Forecast
Norilsk face Khimik Voskresensk at Sports Palace Arctic. The hosts have won four of their last five games and three in a row, conceding three goals across those victories. Their last two results were 2:1 and 2:0. Khimik have lost four of their last five and conceded in all five.
Our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.26. Norilsk have defended more tightly during their three-game winning run, while Khimik scored more than two goals only in their 5:1 win over Ryazan-VDV across their last five matches. Oleg Lavretsky is disqualified for five matches and Nikita Buruyanov is injured; Stepan Zvyagin is set to replace him on the third line. Egor Varyushkin and Daniil Sobolev have returned, but Khimik still conceded 12 goals in their last five.
Expected score: 2:0 after the first period, with at least one team likely to remain scoreless.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.26 is supported by Norilsk’s three-game defensive run and Khimik’s inconsistent finishing. The most suitable opening-period scorelines are 1:0 and 0:0.
FAQ
When does Norilsk — Khimik Voskresensk kick off?
The match starts on 30.10.2026 at 08:00 (New York), Sports Palace Arctic (Norilsk).
What is the prediction for Norilsk — Khimik Voskresensk?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.26.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Norilsk win — 36%, draw — 24%, Khimik Voskresensk win — 40%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshmaaway2:0
- Chelmet Chelyabinskaway2:1
- Magnitka Magnitogorskaway3:2
- Yuzhny Uralaway2:3
- Molot Permhome3:1
- Kalugahome2:3
- AKM Tula Oblasthome2:3
- Ryazan-VDVhome5:1
- Bars Kazanaway1:2
- Neftyanik Almetyevskaway2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 20 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 41:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Norilsk | 19 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 44:39 | 26 |
| 6 | Kaluga | 20 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 43:34 | 26 |
| 13 | Yugra | 18 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 43:29 | 22 |
| 14 | Khimik Voskresensk | 17 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 55:35 | 22 |
| 15 | Ryazan-VDV | 20 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 43:49 | 20 |
Head-to-head
- 13.02.2026Khimik Voskresensk2:3NorilskVHL
- 04.10.2025Norilsk0:4Khimik VoskresenskVHL
- 16.08.2025Norilsk3:4Khimik VoskresenskClub Friendlies
- 27.01.2025Norilsk2:1Khimik VoskresenskVHL
- 25.10.2024Khimik Voskresensk6:4NorilskVHL
About the match
- 30 October · 08:00 New York
- Venue: Sports Palace Arctic (Norilsk)
Odds
Odds updated 30.10 00:20
A narrow market edge rather than a clear favourite
Khimik are slight favourites in the regulation-time 1X2 market, and the line has moved towards an away win over the past day. Norilsk’s recent results run against that direction. The goals line leans marginally towards Under, with movement reinforcing that side despite Khimik’s higher season scoring rate. BTTS remains favoured, although support has weakened. Both teams can score without the match reaching a high total.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.26
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.26
- Potential win
- 26 $
- Status
- pending
