NHL Match Forecast: Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild
Utah Mammoth
Minnesota WildMatch result
Utah Mammoth 1:3 Minnesota Wild (0:0, 0:1, 1:2)
The NHL match between Utah Mammoth and Minnesota Wild ended in a 1:3 victory for the visitors. After a goalless first period (0:0), Minnesota scored in the second (0:1) and held their advantage in the third period (1:2). With only four combined goals scored, our Total Over (6) bet lost.
Our prediction: Total Over (6) at 1.84 — the bet lost.
Utah hosts Western Conference leader Minnesota at Delta Center in Salt Lake City on October 27 at 21:00 America/New_York. The Mammoth is fourth with 16 points from 12 games, two points behind the Wild with a game in hand. A win would move Utah closer to Minnesota.
Utah: scoring depth, expensive defensive lapses
Recent results and home balance
The Mammoth has three wins in five games, scoring 19 goals and conceding 21. Its three home games in that span produced two wins and one defeat, with a 12–14 goal balance. The two away games brought one win and one loss. Utah has conceded at least four goals in each of its last four outings, leaving little margin for a quiet offensive night.
Strengths and pressure points
- Utah scored in all five recent games, reaching five goals twice.
- Four of those five games finished above 6.5 goals.
- Its 46 season goals exceed Minnesota’s total, while 40 conceded expose the defensive cost.
Personnel and special teams
Dmitry Simashev scored his first two NHL goals against Tampa Bay, including the overtime winner. Daniil But recorded points in his first four home appearances. Utah last played at home on October 24.
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome5:4
- Seattle Krakenaway3:5
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:4
- Edmonton Oilershome2:6
- Edmonton Oilersaway4:2
Minnesota: tighter scores on a demanding road swing
Form away from home
The Wild also has three wins in five, with a 15–10 goal balance. Four games were on the road: defeats in Edmonton and Calgary followed by wins in Seattle and Vancouver. Minnesota scored nine and allowed three in those two victories. Its only home game in the sample was a 2–1 win over Columbus.
Where the balance differs
- Minnesota conceded no more than two goals in four of five recent games.
- Four of those five games stayed below 6.5 goals.
- Its season balance of 41 goals scored and 30 conceded is less open than Utah’s.
Absences, availability and recovery
Brock Faber is out with a skull injury and Marcus Foligno with a lower-body injury; neither has a return date. Rieger Lorenz was reassigned to Iowa. The October 17 concern over Kirill Kaprizov does not establish his availability for this game, despite John Hynes saying he was fine. Quinn Hughes has a reported power-play goal. Minnesota played on October 24 and 25, with its latest game in Vancouver.
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway5:1
- Calgary Flamesaway1:2
- Edmonton Oilersaway3:4
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome2:1
Head-to-head advantage has not been uniform
Utah won five of seven official meetings, with an aggregate score of 27–16. Four finished above 6.5 goals, and both teams scored in five. The latest meeting broke from Utah’s winning sequence: Minnesota won 5–0 on March 10. That shutout reduces the value of using the overall series edge to describe this matchup.
- 11.03.2026Minnesota Wild5:0Utah MammothNHL
- 28.02.2026Utah Mammoth5:2Minnesota WildNHL
- 25.10.2025Minnesota Wild2:6Utah MammothNHL
- 28.02.2025Utah Mammoth6:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 24.01.2025Minnesota Wild0:4Utah MammothNHL
Coaches’ comments and contract motivation
Andre Tourigny praised Simashev’s overtime finish and said he was happy for the defender. Hughes is described as motivated by his next contract after ending an eight-game goal drought.
Line-ups
Utah Mammoth
Substitutes: 33. Sebastian Cossa
Coach: Andre Tourigny
Minnesota Wild
Substitutes: 31. Calvin Pickard
Coach: John Hynes
Our Pick: Total Over (6) 1.84
Utah Mammoth’s recent games have produced a consistently high goal count: the total reached at least six in all five of its latest matches, with 19 goals scored and 21 conceded. The home side has scored in every game during that run, but its defensive record is less convincing, allowing 6, 5 and 4 goals in three of those five fixtures. That combination supports an open match rather than a low-event contest.
Minnesota Wild has also scored in each of its last five games, including 15 goals across the sequence. Three of the Wild’s four latest away matches cleared the six-goal threshold, while both teams scored in all five recent games. Brock Faber’s absence due to injury further weakens Minnesota’s defensive structure, and Marcus Foligno is also unavailable. The market gives both teams an 89% chance of scoring, reinforcing the expected exchange of chances. A likely score is 4:3 to Utah, with overtime also capable of sending the total beyond the line.
Conclusion
Our selection is Total Over (6) 1.84. Utah’s five-game scoring trend, Minnesota’s productive road stretch and the Wild’s defensive absences create a strong basis for at least seven goals.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome5:4
- Seattle Krakenaway3:5
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:4
- Edmonton Oilershome2:6
- Edmonton Oilersaway4:2
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway5:1
- Calgary Flamesaway1:2
- Edmonton Oilersaway3:4
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome2:1
Standings · Central Division
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild | 14 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 44:31 | 20 |
| 2 | Utah Mammoth | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 47:43 | 16 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 33:25 | 15 |
| 4 | Colorado Avalanche | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 54:42 | 15 |
| 5 | Nashville Predators | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 34:39 | 13 |
| 6 | St. Louis Blues | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35:37 | 11 |
| 7 | Winnipeg Jets | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 28:36 | 11 |
| 8 | Chicago Blackhawks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 26:44 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 11.03.2026Minnesota Wild5:0Utah MammothNHL
- 28.02.2026Utah Mammoth5:2Minnesota WildNHL
- 25.10.2025Minnesota Wild2:6Utah MammothNHL
- 28.02.2025Utah Mammoth6:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 24.01.2025Minnesota Wild0:4Utah MammothNHL
About the match
- 27 October · 21:00 New York
- Venue: Delta Center (Salt Lake City)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market preference is modest, with totals moving upward
Utah is the slight regulation-time favorite at 42.3%, against Minnesota’s 35.2% and a 22.5% draw probability. The home price has shortened over the last 24 hours while the away price has drifted. The market preference does not amount to a majority expectation of a Utah regulation win.
Under 6.5 retains the larger market probability at 57.1%, although movement favors Over. Utah’s high-scoring run and Minnesota’s lower concession rate pull the total in different directions. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 89%, with its price also shortening.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (6)
- Odds
- 1.84
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 51%
- Market estimate
- 51%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.84
- Potential win
- 84 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.85
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
